Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Creighton Bluejays: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 1, 8:00 PM ETCHI Health Center Omaha · at Creighton

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Oral Roberts and Creighton
ORU	This season	CREI
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CREI 90–63 · win probability CREI 99%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 152.6

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CREI has more of the edges

ORU 0, CREI 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

CREIBig

CREI offense vs ORU defense

Offense 33rd of 366 against a defense 326th, on the model’s ratings

CREIBig

ORU offense vs CREI defense

Offense 279th of 366 against a defense 43rd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

ORU has played the 246th-hardest schedule, CREI the 40th. A record against a soft schedule means less

CREIBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: ORU 49.6 and allows 53.6; CREI 53.0 and allows 51.1

CREISmall

Three-pointers

ORU hits 32.0% and allows 37.4%; CREI hits 34.1% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 45.6% and 48.2% of their shots

CREISmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: ORU 34.8, CREI 28.3. Allowed: ORU 39.1, CREI 24.8

CREISmall

Home court

CREI at home. This season: CREI 0-0 at home, ORU 0-0 away

CREISmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: ORU 18.4%, CREI 16.4%. Forced: ORU 14.7%, CREI 13.7%

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: ORU 28.4%, CREI 26.9%. Defensive: ORU 68.2%, CREI 70.5%

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: ORU plays 69.7 a game (134th fastest), CREI 68.9 (187th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: ORU 54%, CREI 53%. Transfers in: ORU 2, CREI 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	CREI -26.7	—
Total	—	152.6	—
Projected score	—	ORU 62.9 · CREI 89.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CREI -15.8	—
1H total	71.3	—
1H projected score	ORU 27.8 · CREI 43.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORU WWWWW	14-16	47%	6-8	—
CREI LWLWL	11-23	32%	4-12	—

Venue/role: ORU away; CREI home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORU UOOUU	13-17	43%	7-23
CREI UUUUO	16-18	47%	16-18

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
CREI	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Oral Roberts

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	vs ARK	No recent meeting
Dec 12	vs UL	No recent meeting

Creighton

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	vs NEB	L50–71LU
Dec 12	vs GONZ	L63–90LU
Dec 15	vs MSM	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Oral Roberts

30 games played

Straight up

7-23

23% wins

Against the spread

14-16

47% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-17

43% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-2323%

L L L L L W L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1647%

L W L W W W L L W W W L L W L L L L L L L L W L L W W W W W

5 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-1743%

O O U U O O U O U U U U U O O O U U U U O O U O U U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166
Nov 24	@FGCU	L 88-93	+11.5	W +6.5	153.5	O 181
Nov 25	vsKENN	W 91-83	+8.5	W +16.5	166.5	O 174
Nov 26	vsRICE	L 62-81	+5.5	L −13.5	150.5	U 143
Dec 3	@WEB	L 66-92	+7.5	L −18.5	157.5	O 158
Dec 6	vsMTST	W 72-68	+6.5	W +10.5	150.5	U 140
Dec 16	@MOST	L 62-63	+4.5	W +3.5	146.5	U 125
Dec 18	@TCU	L 53-72	+23.5	W +4.5	147.5	U 125
Dec 22	vsUTA	L 57-69	+3.5	L −8.5	136.5	U 126
Jan 1	@UND	L 61-72	+1.5	L −9.5	148.5	U 133
Jan 3	@NDSU	L 77-79	+13.5	W +11.5	146.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsSTMN	L 71-82	+8.5	L −2.5	152.5	O 153
Jan 14	@DEN	L 87-98	+6.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 185
Jan 17	vsOMA	L 62-73	-1.5	L −12.5	149.5	U 135
Jan 22	vsUND	L 62-79	-1.5	L −18.5	149.5	U 141
Jan 24	vsNDSU	L 58-86	+10.5	L −17.5	151.5	U 144
Jan 29	@SDAK	L 69-77	+3.5	L −4.5	154.5	U 146
Jan 31	@SDST	L 72-95	+13.5	L −9.5	150.5	O 167
Feb 7	@STMN	L 75-92	+15.5	L −1.5	151.5	O 167
Feb 12	vsKC	W 69-60	-6.5	W +2.5	150.5	U 129
Feb 14	vsSDST	L 69-87	+5.5	L −12.5	147.5	O 156
Feb 18	@OMA	L 71-80	+6.5	L −2.5	151.5	U 151
Feb 21	vsSDAK	W 67-62	-1.5	W +3.5	151.5	U 129
Feb 26	vsDEN	W 102-80	+2.5	W +24.5	156.5	O 182
Feb 28	@KC	W 94-70	-3.5	W +20.5	149.5	O 164
Mar 4	vsKC	W 84-62	-8.5	W +13.5	149.5	U 146
Mar 5	vsNDSU	L 65-76	+12.5	W +1.5	147.5	U 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+6.5

KENN

W 91-83

+16.5

RICE

L 62-81

−13.5

WEB

L 66-92

−18.5

MTST

W 72-68

+10.5

MOST

L 62-63

+3.5

TCU

L 53-72

+4.5

UTA

L 57-69

−8.5

UND

L 61-72

−9.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+11.5

STMN

L 71-82

−2.5

DEN

L 87-98

−4.5

OMA

L 62-73

−12.5

UND

L 62-79

−18.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−17.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−4.5

SDST

L 72-95

−9.5

STMN

L 75-92

−1.5

W 69-60

+2.5

SDST

L 69-87

−12.5

OMA

L 71-80

−2.5

SDAK

W 67-62

+3.5

DEN

W 102-80

+24.5

W 94-70

+20.5

W 84-62

+13.5

NDSU

L 65-76

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+27.5

KENN

W 91-83

+7.5

RICE

L 62-81

−7.5

WEB

L 66-92

+0.5

MTST

W 72-68

−10.5

MOST

L 62-63

−21.5

TCU

L 53-72

−22.5

UTA

L 57-69

−10.5

UND

L 61-72

−15.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+9.5

STMN

L 71-82

+0.5

DEN

L 87-98

+28.5

OMA

L 62-73

−14.5

UND

L 62-79

−8.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−7.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−8.5

SDST

L 72-95

+16.5

STMN

L 75-92

+15.5

W 69-60

−21.5

SDST

L 69-87

+8.5

OMA

L 71-80

−0.5

SDAK

W 67-62

−22.5

DEN

W 102-80

+25.5

W 94-70

+14.5

W 84-62

−3.5

NDSU

L 65-76

−6.5

over 13under 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Creighton

34 games played

Straight up

16-18

47% wins

Against the spread

11-23

32% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-18

47% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1847%

W L W W L L W W L L W W W W L W L W L W L L L W L L W L L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

11-2332%

L L W L L L W W L L W W W L W W L L L L L L L L L L W L L L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1847%

U U U U O U U O U U O U O O U O O O O O U O U U O O O U O U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsSDAK	W 92-76	-29.5	L −13.5	169.5	U 168
Nov 11	@GONZ	L 63-90	+12.5	L −14.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 14	vsUMES	W 84-45	-33.5	W +5.5	135.5	U 129
Nov 19	vsUND	W 75-60	-29.5	L −14.5	155.5	U 135
Nov 24	vsBAY	L 74-81	+3.5	L −3.5	154.5	O 155
Nov 25	vsISU	L 60-78	+9.5	L −8.5	152.5	U 138
Nov 27	vsORE	W 76-66	-2.5	W +7.5	150.5	U 142
Dec 2	vsNICH	W 96-76	-18.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 172
Dec 7	@NEB	L 50-71	+5.5	L −15.5	155.5	U 121
Dec 13	vsKSU	L 76-83	-4.5	L −11.5	159.5	U 159
Dec 17	@XAV	W 98-57	+2.5	W +43.5	151.5	O 155
Dec 20	vsMARQ	W 84-63	-6.5	W +14.5	151.5	U 147
Dec 22	vsUTU	W 92-69	-19.5	W +3.5	147.5	O 161
Dec 30	vsBTLR	W 89-85	-5.5	L −1.5	156.5	O 174
Jan 4	@HALL	L 54-56	+3.5	W +1.5	143.5	U 110
Jan 7	@VILL	W 76-72	+4.5	W +8.5	142.5	O 148
Jan 10	vsSJU	L 73-90	+2.5	L −14.5	152.5	O 163
Jan 13	vsGTWN	W 86-83	-8.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 169
Jan 16	@PROV	L 88-93	-2.5	L −7.5	161.5	O 181
Jan 21	vsXAV	W 94-93	-8.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 187
Jan 27	@MARQ	L 62-86	-1.5	L −25.5	154.5	U 148
Jan 31	vsCONN	L 58-85	+6.5	L −20.5	142.5	O 143
Feb 4	@GTWN	L 68-76	+1.5	L −6.5	146.5	U 144
Feb 7	vsHALL	W 69-68	-1.5	L −0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 11	@DEP	L 71-72	-1.5	L −2.5	141.5	O 143
Feb 14	vsVILL	L 69-80	+1.5	L −9.5	145.5	O 149
Feb 18	@CONN	W 91-84	+15.5	W +22.5	143.5	O 175
Feb 21	@SJU	L 52-81	+12.5	L −16.5	156.5	U 133
Feb 25	vsDEP	L 71-72	-3.5	L −4.5	142.5	O 143
Feb 28	vsPROV	L 76-79	-3.5	L −6.5	166.5	U 155
Mar 4	@BTLR	W 76-59	+2.5	W +19.5	155.5	U 135
Mar 12	vsHALL	L 61-72	+2.5	L −8.5	136.5	U 133
Apr 2	vsRUTG	W 82-69	-4.5	W +8.5	151.5	U 151
Apr 4	vsWVU	L 70-87	+1.5	L −15.5	137.5	O 157

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SDAK

W 92-76

−13.5

GONZ

L 63-90

−14.5

UMES

W 84-45

+5.5

UND

W 75-60

−14.5

BAY

L 74-81

−3.5

ISU

L 60-78

−8.5

ORE

W 76-66

+7.5

NICH

W 96-76

+1.5

NEB

L 50-71

−15.5

KSU

L 76-83

−11.5

XAV

W 98-57

+43.5

MARQ

W 84-63

+14.5

UTU

W 92-69

+3.5

BTLR

W 89-85

−1.5

HALL

L 54-56

+1.5

VILL

W 76-72

+8.5

SJU

L 73-90

−14.5

GTWN

W 86-83

−5.5

PROV

L 88-93

−7.5

XAV

W 94-93

−7.5

MARQ

L 62-86

−25.5

CONN

L 58-85

−20.5

GTWN

L 68-76

−6.5

HALL

W 69-68

−0.5

DEP

L 71-72

−2.5

VILL

L 69-80

−9.5

CONN

W 91-84

+22.5

SJU

L 52-81

−16.5

DEP

L 71-72

−4.5

PROV

L 76-79

−6.5

BTLR

W 76-59

+19.5

HALL

L 61-72

−8.5

RUTG

W 82-69

+8.5

WVU

L 70-87

−15.5

covered 11didn’t cover 23avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SDAK

W 92-76

−1.5

GONZ

L 63-90

−11.5

UMES

W 84-45

−6.5

UND

W 75-60

−20.5

BAY

L 74-81

+0.5

ISU

L 60-78

−14.5

ORE

W 76-66

−8.5

NICH

W 96-76

+28.5

NEB

L 50-71

−34.5

KSU

L 76-83

−0.5

XAV

W 98-57

+3.5

MARQ

W 84-63

−4.5

UTU

W 92-69

+13.5

BTLR

W 89-85

+17.5

HALL

L 54-56

−33.5

VILL

W 76-72

+5.5

SJU

L 73-90

+10.5

GTWN

W 86-83

+21.5

PROV

L 88-93

+19.5

XAV

W 94-93

+31.5

MARQ

L 62-86

−6.5

CONN

L 58-85

+0.5

GTWN

L 68-76

−2.5

HALL

W 69-68

−3.5

DEP

L 71-72

+1.5

VILL

L 69-80

+3.5

CONN

W 91-84

+31.5

SJU

L 52-81

−23.5

DEP

L 71-72

+0.5

PROV

L 76-79

−11.5

BTLR

W 76-59

−20.5

HALL

L 61-72

−3.5

RUTG

W 82-69

−0.5

WVU

L 70-87

+19.5

over 16under 18avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Creighton has the better starters

Position by position: Oral Roberts 0, Creighton 5, even 0

Oral RobertsBetterCreighton

G C. Dow12.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 50

CREIBig

G B. Robinson TR17.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 6.7 ast Score 86

G C. Furnish3.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 10

CREIBig

G W. Enis TR16.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 72

G C. Martin2.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 8

CREIBig

F J. Green10.5 pts · 6.3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 92

G M. Kilups3.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9

CREIBig

F O. Erhunmwunse TR6.9 pts · 8.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 74

F L. Gray7.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 57

CREIBig

C F. King TR13.1 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 92

Oral RobertsBetterCreighton

ORU offense279th of 366 · -8.5

CREIBig

CREI defense43rd of 366 · +2.7

ORU defense326th of 366 · -8.4

CREIBig

CREI offense33rd of 366 · +5.5

Backcourt-7.9 · 4 players

CREIBig

Backcourt+3.2 · 2 players

Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player

CREIBig

Frontcourt+8.6 · 3 players

Bench-1.5 · 2 players

CREIBig

Bench+5.7 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestORU betterCREI betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Oral Roberts

Guards

C. Dow33 minC. Furnish21 minC. Martin20 minM. Kilups18 minC. Haffner13 min · TRA. Robinson9 min · TR

Forwards

L. Gray17 minT. ZorbasNewM. PavlovicNewM. GavazovNewA. BlancoNew

Creighton

Guards

B. Robinson36 min · TRW. Enis34 min · TRB. Davis23 min · TRA. Swartz22 minH. Greer14 minK. Edwards7 min · TR

Forwards

J. Green28 minO. Erhunmwunse25 min · TRJ. McAndrew21 minI. Traudt19 minT. Carter-GivensNew

Centers

F. King25 min · TRW. RosaNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

ORU71.8 #250

CREI75.2 #159

Points per possession

ORU1.03 #291

CREI1.09 #156

Pace (possessions)

ORU69.7 #134

CREI68.9 #187

Shooting

Effective FG%

ORU49.6 #256

CREI53.0 #103

3-point %

ORU32.0 #282

CREI34.1 #167

3-point attempt rate

ORU45.6 #56

CREI48.2 #23

Free throw rate

ORU34.8 #187

CREI28.3 #340

Possessions

Turnover rate

ORU18.4 #293

CREI16.4 #161

Offensive rebound rate

ORU28.4 #249

CREI26.9 #301

Assists per game

ORU11.5 #312

CREI15.4 #72

Defense

Points allowed

ORU79.7 #312

CREI75.2 #196

Points allowed per possession

ORU1.15 #319

CREI1.09 #197

Opponent effective FG%

ORU53.6 #289

CREI51.1 #165

Opponent 3-point %

ORU37.4 #348

CREI35.1 #256

Turnovers forced

ORU14.7 #310

CREI13.7 #341

Defensive rebound rate

ORU68.2 #247

CREI70.5 #132

Steals per game

ORU5.7 #268

CREI5.7 #278

Blocks per game

ORU3.4 #154

CREI2.8 #255

ORU		CREI
Scoring
71.8 #250	Points per game	75.2 #159
1.03 #291	Points per possession	1.09 #156
69.7 #134	Pace (possessions)	68.9 #187
Shooting
49.6 #256	Effective FG%	53.0 #103
32.0 #282	3-point %	34.1 #167
45.6 #56	3-point attempt rate	48.2 #23
34.8 #187	Free throw rate	28.3 #340
Possessions
18.4 #293	Turnover rate	16.4 #161
28.4 #249	Offensive rebound rate	26.9 #301
11.5 #312	Assists per game	15.4 #72
Defense
79.7 #312	Points allowed	75.2 #196
1.15 #319	Points allowed per possession	1.09 #197
53.6 #289	Opponent effective FG%	51.1 #165
37.4 #348	Opponent 3-point %	35.1 #256
14.7 #310	Turnovers forced	13.7 #341
68.2 #247	Defensive rebound rate	70.5 #132
5.7 #268	Steals per game	5.7 #278
3.4 #154	Blocks per game	2.8 #255

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Oral Roberts

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-13 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs N Dakota St65–76
Wvs Kansas City84–62
W@ Kansas City94–70
Wvs Denver102–80
Wvs South Dakota67–62

A week or more of rest.

Creighton

16-18 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs West Virginia70–87
Wvs Rutgers82–69
Lvs Seton Hall61–72
W@ Butler76–59
Lvs Providence76–79

A week or more of rest.

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Creighton Bluejays

What could decide it: CREI has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Oral Roberts

Creighton

Creighton has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Oral Roberts

Creighton