1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. ORU vs ARK
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Simmons Bank Arena · Neutral site
#305ORUOral Roberts
vs
#18ARKArkansas AP #12
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ORUThis seasonARK
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ARK 95–65 · win probability ARK 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 160.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ARK has more of the edges

ORU 1, ARK 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ARKBig
ARK offense vs ORU defense
Offense 6th of 366 against a defense 326th, on the model’s ratings
ARKBig
Three-pointers
ORU hits 32.0% and allows 37.4%; ARK hits 38.2% and allows 31.8%. Threes are 45.6% and 33.0% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
ORU has played the 246th-hardest schedule, ARK the 8th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ARKBig
ORU offense vs ARK defense
Offense 279th of 366 against a defense 47th, on the model’s ratings
ARKBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ORU 18.4%, ARK 12.2%. Forced: ORU 14.7%, ARK 15.5%
ARKBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: ORU 49.6 and allows 53.6; ARK 56.4 and allows 51.8
ARKBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: ORU 34.8, ARK 35.9. Allowed: ORU 39.1, ARK 31.2
ARKSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ORU 28.4%, ARK 32.0%. Defensive: ORU 68.2%, ARK 69.1%
ORUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ORU 54%, ARK 19%. Transfers in: ORU 2, ARK 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: ORU plays 69.7 a game (134th fastest), ARK 73.8 (12th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ARK -29.9—
Total—160.0—
Projected score—ORU 65.1 · ARK 94.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadARK -17.6—
1H total74.7—
1H projected scoreORU 28.5 · ARK 46.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Arkansas has the better starters

Position by position: Oral Roberts 0, Arkansas 3, even 2
Oral RobertsBetterArkansas
G C. Dow12.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 50
ARKBig
G B. Richmond11.2 pts · 4.3 reb · 2 ast Score 85
G C. Furnish3.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 10
ARKBig
G J. Wilkinson TR17.4 pts · 2 reb · 1.7 ast Score 98
G C. Martin2.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 8
No call
G A. Brown0.1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G M. Kilups3.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9
ARKBig
F C. Bowser TR13.7 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 91
F L. Gray7.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 57
No call
F I. Sealy2.9 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
Oral RobertsBetterArkansas
ORU offense279th of 366 · -8.5
ARKBig
ARK defense47th of 366 · +2.2
ORU defense326th of 366 · -8.4
ARKBig
ARK offense6th of 366 · +10.8
Backcourt-7.9 · 4 players
ARKBig
Backcourt+5.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player
ARKBig
Frontcourt+3.7 · 2 players
Bench-1.5 · 2 players
ARKSmall
Bench-0.0 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestORU betterARK betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Oral Roberts
Guards
C. Dow33 minC. Furnish21 minC. Martin20 minM. Kilups18 minC. Haffner13 min · TRA. Robinson9 min · TR
Forwards
L. Gray17 minT. ZorbasNewM. PavlovicNewM. GavazovNewA. BlancoNew
Arkansas
Guards
B. Richmond28 minJ. Wilkinson26 min · TRA. Brown2 minA. Kelley2 minJ. SmithNewD. ThompsonNew
Forwards
C. Bowser30 min · TRI. Sealy7 minP. SemedoNewM. MakerNewJ. AndrewsNewM. MuurinenNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ORUARK
Scoring
71.8 #250Points per game90.2 #2
1.03 #291Points per possession1.23 #3
69.7 #134Pace (possessions)73.8 #12
Shooting
49.6 #256Effective FG%56.4 #16
32.0 #2823-point %38.2 #16
45.6 #563-point attempt rate33.0 #315
34.8 #187Free throw rate35.9 #155
Possessions
18.4 #293Turnover rate12.2 #1
28.4 #249Offensive rebound rate32.0 #121
11.5 #312Assists per game17.2 #20
Defense
79.7 #312Points allowed81.0 #333
1.15 #319Points allowed per possession1.09 #213
53.6 #289Opponent effective FG%51.8 #201
37.4 #348Opponent 3-point %31.8 #54
14.7 #310Turnovers forced15.5 #246
68.2 #247Defensive rebound rate69.1 #197
5.7 #268Steals per game7.3 #96
3.4 #154Blocks per game5.2 #12
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Oral Roberts

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-13 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St65–76
  • Wvs Kansas City84–62
  • W@ Kansas City94–70
  • Wvs Denver102–80
  • Wvs South Dakota67–62

A week or more of rest.

Arkansas

28-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arizona88–109
  • Wvs High Point94–88
  • Wvs Hawai'i97–78
  • Wvs Vanderbilt86–75
  • Wvs Ole Miss93–90

A week or more of rest.