SAP Center at San Jose · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
ARIZ -8.5✓ ARIZ covered by 12.5
Closing total166.5Over by 30.5
| This season | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-8 | Record | 34-2 |
| 23-13 | ATS | 21-15 |
| 21-15 | O/U | 18-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARK 81–88 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 43 | 45 | 88 |
| ARIZ | 54 | 55 | 109 |
1st half: ARK 43, ARIZ 54 (ARIZ by 11). The model had ARIZ by 4.3 and a total of 78.8 (actual 97).
Team stats
| ARK | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-65 48% | Field goals | 37-58 64% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 5-8 63% |
| 21-26 81% | Free throws | 30-39 77% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 30 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 26 | Fouls | 16 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meleek Thomas G | 38 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 37 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 8-19 | 1-5 |
| Malique Ewin F | 31 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 29 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 25 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Pringle F | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| DJ Wagner G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Jaden Karuletwa, Karter Knox, Amere Brown
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 35 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Brayden Burries G | 34 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Koa Peat F | 30 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 23 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 24 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Jackson Francois, Sven Djopmo, Jackson Cook, Addison Arnold, Bryce James
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -9.5
1 → ARK
CloseARIZ -8.5
1 pt toward ARK
Total
Open165.5
▲ 1
Close166.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARK +330 · ARIZ -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -9.5 · closed ARIZ -8.5 · moved 1 toward ARKmodel ARIZ -7.5
model ARIZ -7.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 upmodel 169
model 169
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARIZ -8.5 | ARIZ -7.5 | ARK +1.0 | L ARIZ covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 168.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ARK 80.7 · ARIZ 88.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARIZ -4.3 | ARIZ -11.0 |
| 1H total | 78.8 | 97 |
| 1H projected score | ARK 37.2 · ARIZ 41.6 | ARK 43 · ARIZ 54 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | |
| 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas
36 games played
Straight up
28-8
78% wins
Against the spread
23-13
64% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-15
58% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @ | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 99-84 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 77-111 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 105-85 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 82-79 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 93-90 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 15 | vs | W 86-75 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 19 | vs | W 97-78 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 21 | vs | W 94-88 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 171.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SOU
W 109-77
+5.5
8
@
MSU
L 66-69
−0.5
11
vs
CARK
W 93-56
+1.5
14
vs
SAM
W 79-75
−20.5
18
vs
WIN
W 84-83
−22.5
21
vs
JKST
W 115-61
+24.5
27
vs
DUKE
L 71-80
+3.5
3
vs
LOU
W 89-80
+10.5
6
vs
FRES
W 82-58
+4.5
13
vs
TTU
W 93-86
+9.5
16
vs
QUC
W 108-80
+4.5
20
vs
HOU
L 85-94
−3.5
29
vs
JMU
W 103-74
+5.5
3
vs
TENN
W 86-75
+12.5
7
@
MISS
W 94-87
+3.5
10
@
AUB
L 73-95
−19.5
14
vs
SC
W 108-74
+21.5
17
@
UGA
L 76-90
−11.5
20
vs
VAN
W 93-68
+23.5
24
vs
LSU
W 85-81
−6.5
27
@
OU
W 83-79
+0.5
31
vs
UK
L 77-85
−14.5
7
@
MSST
W 88-68
+14.5
10
@
LSU
W 91-62
+24.5
14
vs
AUB
W 88-75
+5.5
18
@
ALA
L 115-117
+1.5
21
vs
MIZ
W 94-86
−1.5
25
vs
TA&M
W 99-84
+7.5
28
@
FLA
L 77-111
−24.5
4
vs
TEX
W 105-85
+13.5
7
@
MIZ
W 88-84
+6.5
13
vs
OU
W 82-79
−3.5
14
vs
MISS
W 93-90
−5.5
15
vs
VAN
W 86-75
+13.5
19
vs
HAW
W 97-78
+4.5
21
vs
HPU
W 94-88
−6.5
covered 23didn’t cover 13avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SOU
W 109-77
+35.5
8
@
MSU
L 66-69
−20.5
11
vs
CARK
W 93-56
−9.5
14
vs
SAM
W 79-75
−4.5
18
vs
WIN
W 84-83
−1.5
21
vs
JKST
W 115-61
+16.5
27
vs
DUKE
L 71-80
−8.5
3
vs
LOU
W 89-80
+2.5
6
vs
FRES
W 82-58
−21.5
13
vs
TTU
W 93-86
+23.5
16
vs
QUC
W 108-80
+18.5
20
vs
HOU
L 85-94
+32.5
29
vs
JMU
W 103-74
+17.5
3
vs
TENN
W 86-75
+2.5
7
@
MISS
W 94-87
+27.5
10
@
AUB
L 73-95
−1.5
14
vs
SC
W 108-74
+26.5
17
@
UGA
L 76-90
−15.5
20
vs
VAN
W 93-68
−12.5
24
vs
LSU
W 85-81
+2.5
27
@
OU
W 83-79
−5.5
31
vs
UK
L 77-85
+2.5
7
@
MSST
W 88-68
−7.5
10
@
LSU
W 91-62
−6.5
14
vs
AUB
W 88-75
−2.5
18
@
ALA
L 115-117
+50.5
21
vs
MIZ
W 94-86
+20.5
25
vs
TA&M
W 99-84
+12.5
28
@
FLA
L 77-111
+18.5
4
vs
TEX
W 105-85
+26.5
7
@
MIZ
W 88-84
+8.5
13
vs
OU
W 82-79
−5.5
14
vs
MISS
W 93-90
+23.5
15
vs
VAN
W 86-75
−4.5
19
vs
HAW
W 97-78
+16.5
21
vs
HPU
W 94-88
+10.5
over 21under 15avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
36 games played
Straight up
34-2
94% wins
Against the spread
21-15
58% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-18
50% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @ | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 87-74 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 84-47 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 9 | @ | L 78-82 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 75-78 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 73-66 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 24 | @ | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 84-61 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 2 | vs | W 73-57 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 89-79 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 81-59 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 82-80 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 79-74 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 20 | vs | W 92-58 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 22 | vs | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FLA
W 93-87
+9.5
7
vs
UTU
W 93-67
−7.5
11
vs
NAU
W 84-49
−0.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 69-65
+2.5
19
@
CONN
W 71-67
+8.5
24
vs
DEN
W 103-73
−2.5
29
vs
NORF
W 98-61
+1.5
6
vs
AUB
W 97-68
+17.5
13
vs
ALA
W 96-75
+18.5
16
vs
ACU
W 96-62
−0.5
20
vs
SDSU
W 68-45
+9.5
22
vs
BCU
W 107-71
−3.5
29
vs
SDST
W 99-71
−3.5
3
@
UTAH
W 97-78
+1.5
7
vs
KSU
W 101-76
+7.5
10
@
TCU
W 86-73
+5.5
14
vs
ASU
W 89-82
−14.5
17
@
UCF
W 84-77
−2.5
21
vs
CIN
W 77-51
+12.5
24
vs
WVU
W 88-53
+17.5
26
@
BYU
W 86-83
+1.5
31
@
ASU
W 87-74
−1.5
7
vs
OKST
W 84-47
+16.5
9
@
KU
L 78-82
−9.5
14
vs
TTU
L 75-78
−11.5
18
vs
BYU
W 75-68
−4.5
21
@
HOU
W 73-66
+13.5
24
@
BAY
W 87-80
−0.5
28
vs
KU
W 84-61
+13.5
2
vs
ISU
W 73-57
+8.5
7
@
COLO
W 89-79
−3.5
12
vs
UCF
W 81-59
+6.5
13
vs
ISU
W 82-80
−1.5
14
vs
HOU
W 79-74
+3.5
20
vs
LIU
W 92-58
+3.5
22
vs
USU
W 78-66
+0.5
covered 21didn’t cover 15avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
FLA
W 93-87
+15.5
7
vs
UTU
W 93-67
−2.5
11
vs
NAU
W 84-49
−30.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 69-65
−19.5
19
@
CONN
W 71-67
−18.5
24
vs
DEN
W 103-73
+21.5
29
vs
NORF
W 98-61
+12.5
6
vs
AUB
W 97-68
+2.5
13
vs
ALA
W 96-75
−7.5
16
vs
ACU
W 96-62
+12.5
20
vs
SDSU
W 68-45
−40.5
22
vs
BCU
W 107-71
+23.5
29
vs
SDST
W 99-71
+10.5
3
@
UTAH
W 97-78
+12.5
7
vs
KSU
W 101-76
+5.5
10
@
TCU
W 86-73
+1.5
14
vs
ASU
W 89-82
+3.5
17
@
UCF
W 84-77
−4.5
21
vs
CIN
W 77-51
−24.5
24
vs
WVU
W 88-53
−2.5
26
@
BYU
W 86-83
+2.5
31
@
ASU
W 87-74
−2.5
7
vs
OKST
W 84-47
−37.5
9
@
KU
L 78-82
+7.5
14
vs
TTU
L 75-78
−3.5
18
vs
BYU
W 75-68
−22.5
21
@
HOU
W 73-66
−3.5
24
@
BAY
W 87-80
+11.5
28
vs
KU
W 84-61
−6.5
2
vs
ISU
W 73-57
−19.5
7
@
COLO
W 89-79
+11.5
12
vs
UCF
W 81-59
−19.5
13
vs
ISU
W 82-80
+17.5
14
vs
HOU
W 79-74
+14.5
20
vs
LIU
W 92-58
+2.5
22
vs
USU
W 78-66
−9.5
over 18under 18avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas
28-8 overall · 16-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs High Point94–88
- Wvs Hawai'i97–78
- Wvs Vanderbilt86–75
- Wvs Ole Miss93–90
- Wvs Oklahoma82–79
5 days since their last game.
Arizona
34-2 overall · 19-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah State78–66
- Wvs Long Island92–58
- Wvs Houston79–74
- Wvs Iowa State82–80
- Wvs UCF81–59
4 days since their last game.