1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. TNTC @ ARIZ
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Arizona Wildcats

McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona
#282TNTCTennessee Tech
@
#5ARIZArizona AP #5
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
TNTCThis seasonARIZ
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ARIZ 95–56 · win probability ARIZ 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 151.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ARIZ has more of the edges

TNTC 0, ARIZ 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
TNTC has played the 353rd-hardest schedule, ARIZ the 11th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ARIZBig
ARIZ offense vs TNTC defense
Offense 4th of 366 against a defense 288th, on the model’s ratings
ARIZBig
TNTC offense vs ARIZ defense
Offense 276th of 366 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
ARIZBig
Three-pointers
TNTC hits 31.1% and allows 35.8%; ARIZ hits 36.6% and allows 31.4%. Threes are 36.5% and 26.4% of their shots
ARIZBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: TNTC 48.9 and allows 51.5; ARIZ 54.7 and allows 45.3
ARIZBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: TNTC 19.1%, ARIZ 15.1%. Forced: TNTC 15.0%, ARIZ 16.2%
ARIZBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: TNTC 31.3%, ARIZ 38.4%. Defensive: TNTC 69.3%, ARIZ 73.1%
ARIZSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: TNTC 35.5, ARIZ 43.9. Allowed: TNTC 31.3, ARIZ 27.1
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: TNTC plays 68.3 a game (214th fastest), ARIZ 71.6 (49th). Faster games mean more points
ARIZSmall
Home court
ARIZ at home. This season: ARIZ 0-0 at home, TNTC 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: TNTC 18%, ARIZ 29%. Transfers in: TNTC 6, ARIZ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ARIZ -39.2—
Total—151.1—
Projected score—TNTC 55.9 · ARIZ 95.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadARIZ -23.2—
1H total70.6—
1H projected scoreTNTC 23.7 · ARIZ 46.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Arizona has the better starters

Position by position: Tennessee Tech 0, Arizona 3, even 2
Tennessee TechBetterArizona
G T. Mosquera TR13.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 55
Even
G D. Dixon TR6.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast Score 55
G T. Owens7.4 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17
ARIZBig
G J. Mandaquit TR5.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.2 ast Score 62
G D. Hackett TR13.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 78
Even
F I. Kharchenkov10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 83
G C. Newton TR10.5 pts · 2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55
ARIZBig
F R. Godfrey TR12 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast Score 96
G C. Hollenbeck TR5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6
ARIZBig
C M. Krivas10.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 95
Tennessee TechBetterArizona
TNTC offense276th of 366 · -8.4
ARIZBig
ARIZ defense7th of 366 · +8.8
TNTC defense288th of 366 · -7.2
ARIZBig
ARIZ offense4th of 366 · +11.0
Backcourt-4.8 · 5 players
ARIZBig
Backcourt-0.3 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+10.8 · 3 players
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
ARIZSmall
Bench-0.1 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestTNTC betterARIZ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Tennessee Tech
Guards
T. Mosquera32 min · TRT. Owens28 minD. Hackett28 min · TRC. Newton26 min · TRC. Hollenbeck17 min · TRC. GonzalesNew
Forwards
D. Christensen13 min · TRM. Turner8 minC. Sanders8 min · TRD. GreenNewS. ArnoldNewK. FoxNew
Arizona
Guards
D. Dixon22 min · TRJ. Mandaquit20 min · TRA. Arnold2 minJ. Cook1 minB. JamesNewC. HolmesNew
Forwards
I. Kharchenkov28 minR. Godfrey25 min · TRE. Otten15 min · TRU. Jarusevicius11 min · TRM. MawutNewE. AiyamenkhueNew
Centers
M. Krivas25 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
TNTCARIZ
Scoring
70.3 #280Points per game86.2 #11
1.03 #287Points per possession1.21 #11
68.3 #214Pace (possessions)71.6 #49
Shooting
48.9 #293Effective FG%54.7 #45
31.1 #3163-point %36.6 #37
36.5 #2383-point attempt rate26.4 #363
35.5 #164Free throw rate43.9 #11
Possessions
19.1 #325Turnover rate15.1 #76
31.3 #151Offensive rebound rate38.4 #5
11.0 #337Assists per game16.4 #38
Defense
75.6 #207Points allowed69.4 #53
1.11 #231Points allowed per possession0.97 #6
51.5 #186Opponent effective FG%45.3 #4
35.8 #295Opponent 3-point %31.4 #42
15.0 #285Turnovers forced16.2 #209
69.3 #192Defensive rebound rate73.1 #34
5.4 #312Steals per game7.4 #95
2.7 #275Blocks per game4.2 #55
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Tennessee Tech

10-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ SE Missouri73–89
  • L@ UT Martin49–64
  • Wvs Lindenwood Lions72–57
  • Wvs SIUE62–52
  • W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles82–74

A week or more of rest.

Arizona

36-3 in 2025-26 overall · 19-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan73–91
  • Wvs Purdue79–64
  • Wvs Arkansas109–88
  • Wvs Utah State78–66
  • Wvs Long Island92–58

A week or more of rest.