1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. LEM @ CREI
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Le Moyne Dolphins at Creighton Bluejays

CHI Health Center Omaha · at Creighton
#332LEMLe Moyne
@
#37CREICreighton
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LEMThis seasonCREI
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CREI 90–61 · win probability CREI 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CREI has more of the edges

LEM 1, CREI 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
LEM has played the 344th-hardest schedule, CREI the 40th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CREIBig
LEM offense vs CREI defense
Offense 333rd of 366 against a defense 43rd, on the model’s ratings
CREIBig
CREI offense vs LEM defense
Offense 33rd of 366 against a defense 308th, on the model’s ratings
LEMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: LEM 39.5, CREI 28.3. Allowed: LEM 32.7, CREI 24.8
CREISmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LEM 19.1%, CREI 16.4%. Forced: LEM 15.0%, CREI 13.7%
CREISmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LEM 24%, CREI 53%. Transfers in: LEM 7, CREI 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
CREISmall
Home court
CREI at home. This season: CREI 0-0 at home, LEM 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: LEM 52.6 and allows 49.3; CREI 53.0 and allows 51.1
Even
Three-pointers
LEM hits 34.3% and allows 36.0%; CREI hits 34.1% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 40.8% and 48.2% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: LEM plays 69.2 a game (168th fastest), CREI 68.9 (187th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LEM 25.2%, CREI 26.9%. Defensive: LEM 71.0%, CREI 70.5%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CREI -28.9—
Total—150.6—
Projected score—LEM 60.9 · CREI 89.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCREI -17.1—
1H total70.4—
1H projected scoreLEM 26.7 · CREI 43.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Creighton has the better starters

Position by position: Le Moyne 0, Creighton 4, even 1
Le MoyneBetterCreighton
G A. Moss10 pts · 7 reb · 5 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Robinson TR17.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 6.7 ast Score 86
G J. Clayville TR6.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 11
CREIBig
G W. Enis TR16.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 72
G D. King TR4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 59
CREISmall
F J. Green10.5 pts · 6.3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 92
F K. Stuckey TR4.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 5
CREIBig
F O. Erhunmwunse TR6.9 pts · 8.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 74
F T. Francis TR4.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 27
CREIBig
C F. King TR13.1 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 92
Le MoyneBetterCreighton
LEM offense333rd of 366 · -10.8
CREIBig
CREI defense43rd of 366 · +2.7
LEM defense308th of 366 · -8.0
CREIBig
CREI offense33rd of 366 · +5.5
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
CREIBig
Backcourt+3.2 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
CREIBig
Frontcourt+8.6 · 3 players
Bench-6.1 · 5 players
CREIBig
Bench+5.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLEM betterCREI betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Le Moyne
Guards
A. Moss37 minJ. Clayville20 min · TRD. King14 min · TRJ. Teat14 min · TRK. Williams12 min · TRJ. Lee4 min
Forwards
K. Stuckey19 min · TRT. Francis15 min · TRT. Roe7 minI. BrownNewC. SchreinerNewC. JohnsonNew
Centers
P. Hartman9 min · TR
Creighton
Guards
B. Robinson36 min · TRW. Enis34 min · TRB. Davis23 min · TRA. Swartz22 minH. Greer14 minK. Edwards7 min · TR
Forwards
J. Green28 minO. Erhunmwunse25 min · TRJ. McAndrew21 minI. Traudt19 minT. Carter-GivensNew
Centers
F. King25 min · TRW. RosaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LEMCREI
Scoring
72.3 #234Points per game75.2 #159
1.04 #265Points per possession1.09 #156
69.2 #168Pace (possessions)68.9 #187
Shooting
52.6 #118Effective FG%53.0 #103
34.3 #1523-point %34.1 #167
40.8 #1513-point attempt rate48.2 #23
39.5 #68Free throw rate28.3 #340
Possessions
19.1 #323Turnover rate16.4 #161
25.2 #337Offensive rebound rate26.9 #301
14.0 #149Assists per game15.4 #72
Defense
73.9 #154Points allowed75.2 #196
1.07 #132Points allowed per possession1.09 #197
49.3 #75Opponent effective FG%51.1 #165
36.0 #303Opponent 3-point %35.1 #256
15.0 #289Turnovers forced13.7 #341
71.0 #107Defensive rebound rate70.5 #132
5.5 #300Steals per game5.7 #278
3.3 #177Blocks per game2.8 #255
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Le Moyne

14-17 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Stonehill71–81
  • L@ New Haven59–66
  • Wvs FDU76–59
  • L@ Stonehill68–77
  • L@ C Connecticut77–78

A week or more of rest.

Creighton

16-18 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs West Virginia70–87
  • Wvs Rutgers82–69
  • Lvs Seton Hall61–72
  • W@ Butler76–59
  • Lvs Providence76–79

A week or more of rest.