1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 2
  3. CAM @ NCSU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 2

Campbell Fighting Camels at NC State Wolfpack

Lenovo Center · at NC State
#243CAMCampbell
@
#48NCSUNC State
LineNCSU -23.5no move
Total158.5no move
CAMThis seasonNCSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NCSU 90–66 · win probability NCSU 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
NCSU -23.5
no move since the open
Total
158.5
model 155.8 · Under by 2.5
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NCSU has more of the edges

CAM 2, NCSU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NCSUBig
NCSU offense vs CAM defense
Offense 42nd of 366 against a defense 275th, on the model’s ratings
NCSUBig
CAM offense vs NCSU defense
Offense 217th of 366 against a defense 58th, on the model’s ratings
NCSUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAM 17.6%, NCSU 13.1%. Forced: CAM 17.0%, NCSU 18.2%
NCSUBig
Three-pointers
CAM hits 32.3% and allows 35.5%; NCSU hits 38.8% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 36.9% and 43.4% of their shots
NCSUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAM 50.1 and allows 53.9; NCSU 55.0 and allows 52.7
Context
Schedule so far
CAM has played the 134th-hardest schedule, NCSU the 51st. A record against a soft schedule means less
CAMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAM 43.5, NCSU 35.1. Allowed: CAM 37.0, NCSU 36.9
CAMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAM 33.5%, NCSU 28.2%. Defensive: CAM 68.0%, NCSU 69.5%
NCSUSmall
Home court
NCSU at home. This season: NCSU 0-0 at home, CAM 0-0 away
NCSUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAM 0%, NCSU 28%. Transfers in: CAM 2, NCSU 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: CAM plays 70.0 a game (118th fastest), NCSU 70.2 (103rd). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 20 or more116599%50%52%
Non-conference games at this spread109099%50%52%
Games with a total of 155 to 159.5155574%51%49%
A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current
Spread
No change since the open
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
CAM +2200 · NCSU -10000
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -23.5 · now NCSU -23.5 · moved 0.5 toward CAMmodel NCSU -23.5
Opened 158.5 · unchangedmodel 156
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
Over 158.5TotalUnder 158.5
Bets
Money
CAMWinnerNCSU
Bets
Money
Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read . ⓘ

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
CAMNCSUOverUnderCAMNCSU
BetMGMMGM-23.5-110+23.5-110158.5-110158.5-110+2000-10000
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-23-110+23-110158.5-110158.5-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-23.5-113+23.5-110158.5-115158.5-108——
BetUSBetUS-23-110+23-110158.5-110158.5-110——
BovadaBovada-24-110+24-110158.5-110158.5-110——
DraftKingsDK-23.5-110+23.5-110158.5-105158.5-115+2200-8000
FanDuelFD-22.5-102+22.5-120159.5-112159.5-108+2400-10000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-23-106+23-106158.5-108158.5-108——
Prices from The Odds API, updated 8:30 AM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadNCSU -23.5NCSU -23.5—
Total158.5155.8Under 2.7
Projected score—CAM 66.1 · NCSU 89.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadNCSU -13.9—
1H total72.8—
1H projected scoreCAM 29.5 · NCSU 43.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

NC State has the better starters

Position by position: Campbell 0, NC State 1, even 4
CampbellBetterNC State
G L. Waddles TR11.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 2 ast Score 48
NCSUBig
G P. Edmead TR16.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.3 ast Score 83
G E. Butkus NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G C. Hammond TR15.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.5 ast Score 87
G A. Wright NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G P. McNeil13.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 90
G J. Browder NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F K. Evans TR11.8 pts · 8.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 95
F N. Kapic TR3.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
Even
F E. Yalaho TR10.1 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 58
CampbellBetterNC State
CAM offense217th of 366 · -6.7
NCSUBig
NCSU defense58th of 366 · +1.3
CAM defense275th of 366 · -6.9
NCSUBig
NCSU offense42nd of 366 · +4.6
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
NCSUBig
Backcourt+6.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 1 player
NCSUBig
Frontcourt+4.6 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+2.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCAM betterNCSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Campbell
Guards
L. Waddles29 min · TRE. ButkusNewA. WrightNewJ. BrowderNewB. RitgerNewC. McAbeeNew
Forwards
N. Kapic11 min · TRK. RogersNewS. MooreNewB. ThetNew
NC State
Guards
P. Edmead35 min · TRC. Hammond30 min · TRP. McNeil29 minD. Adams26 min · TRR. Keene23 min · TRJ. Brim5 min · TR
Forwards
K. Evans30 min · TRE. Yalaho29 min · TRV. Lubin28 minC. Emuobor19 min · TRR. JurkovicNewS. HallNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CAMNCSU
Scoring
76.1 #140Points per game83.2 #25
1.08 #175Points per possession1.18 #30
70.0 #118Pace (possessions)70.2 #103
Shooting
50.1 #230Effective FG%55.0 #35
32.3 #2673-point %38.8 #6
36.9 #2323-point attempt rate43.4 #104
43.5 #16Free throw rate35.1 #175
Possessions
17.6 #240Turnover rate13.1 #7
33.5 #77Offensive rebound rate28.2 #258
11.4 #315Assists per game15.4 #70
Defense
78.8 #289Points allowed76.3 #224
1.13 #282Points allowed per possession1.09 #186
53.9 #295Opponent effective FG%52.7 #256
35.5 #277Opponent 3-point %35.5 #281
17.0 #153Turnovers forced18.2 #90
68.0 #254Defensive rebound rate69.5 #181
6.5 #179Steals per game8.1 #37
1.5 #361Blocks per game3.4 #159
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Campbell

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Monmouth64–74
  • Wvs UNC Wilmington85–70
  • Wvs Stony Brook96–89
  • Wvs NC A&T90–72
  • L@ Towson67–71

A week or more of rest.

NC State

20-14 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas66–68
  • Lvs Virginia74–81
  • Wvs Pitt98–88
  • Lvs Stanford84–85
  • Lvs Duke64–93

A week or more of rest.