1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. CAM @ ETSU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

Campbell Fighting Camels at East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Freedom Hall (TN) · at ETSU
#243CAMCampbell
@
#173ETSUETSU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CAMThis seasonETSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ETSU 78–70 · win probability ETSU 73%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 147.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ETSU has more of the edges

CAM 1, ETSU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
CAM has played the 134th-hardest schedule, ETSU the 309th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ETSUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAM 50.1 and allows 53.9; ETSU 55.3 and allows 51.0
ETSUBig
Three-pointers
CAM hits 32.3% and allows 35.5%; ETSU hits 34.7% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 36.9% and 37.8% of their shots
ETSUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAM 17.6%, ETSU 15.2%. Forced: CAM 17.0%, ETSU 18.4%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: CAM plays 70.0 a game (118th fastest), ETSU 67.0 (279th). Faster games mean more points
ETSUSmall
CAM offense vs ETSU defense
Offense 217th of 366 against a defense 140th, on the model’s ratings
CAMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAM 43.5, ETSU 35.0. Allowed: CAM 37.0, ETSU 36.4
ETSUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAM 0%, ETSU 29%. Transfers in: CAM 2, ETSU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
ETSUSmall
Home court
ETSU at home. This season: ETSU 0-0 at home, CAM 0-0 away
ETSUSmall
ETSU offense vs CAM defense
Offense 224th of 366 against a defense 275th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAM 33.5%, ETSU 28.3%. Defensive: CAM 68.0%, ETSU 72.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ETSU -7.2—
Total—147.8—
Projected score—CAM 70.3 · ETSU 77.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadETSU -4.1—
1H total69.1—
1H projected scoreCAM 32.5 · ETSU 36.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Campbell has the better starters

Position by position: Campbell 1, ETSU 0, even 4
CampbellBetterETSU
G L. Waddles TR11.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 2 ast Score 48
CAMSmall
G B. Ward TR11.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.6 ast Score 29
G E. Butkus NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Cooper TR11.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast Score 34
G A. Wright NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G T. Hennig TR9.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.5 ast Score 24
G J. Browder NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G M. Johnson5.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 28
F N. Kapic TR3.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
Even
F J. McCullum7.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 49
CampbellBetterETSU
CAM offense217th of 366 · -6.7
ETSUSmall
ETSU defense140th of 366 · -2.9
CAM defense275th of 366 · -6.9
Even
ETSU offense224th of 366 · -6.9
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
CAMBig
Backcourt-7.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.5 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestCAM betterETSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Campbell
Guards
L. Waddles29 min · TRE. ButkusNewA. WrightNewJ. BrowderNewB. RitgerNewC. McAbeeNew
Forwards
N. Kapic11 min · TRK. RogersNewS. MooreNewB. ThetNew
ETSU
Guards
B. Ward31 min · TRJ. Cooper31 min · TRT. Hennig25 min · TRM. Johnson22 minT. Mason17 min · TRD. PayneNew
Forwards
J. McCullum22 minB. Crump15 minM. Marion12 min · TRK. CampbellNewE. SmithNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CAMETSU
Scoring
76.1 #140Points per game76.8 #121
1.08 #175Points per possession1.15 #59
70.0 #118Pace (possessions)67.0 #279
Shooting
50.1 #230Effective FG%55.3 #33
32.3 #2673-point %34.7 #132
36.9 #2323-point attempt rate37.8 #216
43.5 #16Free throw rate35.0 #180
Possessions
17.6 #240Turnover rate15.2 #79
33.5 #77Offensive rebound rate28.3 #252
11.4 #315Assists per game13.9 #154
Defense
78.8 #289Points allowed70.1 #61
1.13 #282Points allowed per possession1.04 #77
53.9 #295Opponent effective FG%51.0 #161
35.5 #277Opponent 3-point %32.9 #110
17.0 #153Turnovers forced18.4 #79
68.0 #254Defensive rebound rate72.1 #64
6.5 #179Steals per game8.6 #16
1.5 #361Blocks per game3.3 #180
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Campbell

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Monmouth64–74
  • Wvs UNC Wilmington85–70
  • Wvs Stony Brook96–89
  • Wvs NC A&T90–72
  • L@ Towson67–71

A week or more of rest.

ETSU

21-11 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Furman61–76
  • Wvs W Carolina69–67
  • Wvs The Citadel83–76
  • L@ Mercer76–82
  • Lvs Wofford69–72

A week or more of rest.