1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. UPST @ CAM
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

South Carolina Upstate Spartans at Campbell Fighting Camels

John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · at Campbell
#325UPSTSC Upstate
@
#243CAMCampbell
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UPSTThis seasonCAM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CAM 79–72 · win probability CAM 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CAM has more of the edges

UPST 0, CAM 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
UPST has played the 281st-hardest schedule, CAM the 134th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CAMBig
CAM offense vs UPST defense
Offense 217th of 366 against a defense 338th, on the model’s ratings
CAMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UPST 32.8, CAM 43.5. Allowed: UPST 36.0, CAM 37.0
CAMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UPST 29.2%, CAM 33.5%. Defensive: UPST 68.6%, CAM 68.0%
CAMSmall
Home court
CAM at home. This season: CAM 0-0 at home, UPST 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UPST 18.1%, CAM 17.6%. Forced: UPST 16.5%, CAM 17.0%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UPST 48.3 and allows 51.0; CAM 50.1 and allows 53.9
Even
Three-pointers
UPST hits 31.4% and allows 35.6%; CAM hits 32.3% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 35.6% and 36.9% of their shots
Even
UPST offense vs CAM defense
Offense 299th of 366 against a defense 275th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UPST 9%, CAM 0%. Transfers in: UPST 3, CAM 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: UPST plays 70.5 a game (97th fastest), CAM 70.0 (118th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CAM -7.8—
Total—150.7—
Projected score—UPST 71.5 · CAM 79.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCAM -4.5—
1H total70.5—
1H projected scoreUPST 33 · CAM 37.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Campbell has the better starters

Position by position: SC Upstate 0, Campbell 1, even 4
SC UpstateBetterCampbell
G C. Rich0 pts · 0 reb · 2 ast Not ranked
No call
G L. Waddles TR11.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 2 ast Score 48
F M. Webb TR9.9 pts · 5.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 56
No call
G E. Butkus NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F D. Tubek TR2 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G A. Wright NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F Z. Johnson TR0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Browder NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
C C. Collier1.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 10
CAMBig
F N. Kapic TR3.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
SC UpstateBetterCampbell
UPST offense299th of 366 · -9.2
Even
CAM defense275th of 366 · -6.9
UPST defense338th of 366 · -8.9
CAMSmall
CAM offense217th of 366 · -6.7
Backcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.0 · 4 players
CAMSmall
Frontcourt-0.0 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestUPST betterCAM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SC Upstate
Guards
C. Rich5 minA. Allen-JohnsonNewW. TessemaNewR. NaugleNewJ. PattersonNewN. MvulaNew
Forwards
M. Webb27 min · TRD. Tubek7 min · TRZ. Johnson2 min · TRK. PayneNewD. EdmondNewA. PerottiNew
Centers
C. Collier14 min
Campbell
Guards
L. Waddles29 min · TRE. ButkusNewA. WrightNewJ. BrowderNewB. RitgerNewC. McAbeeNew
Forwards
N. Kapic11 min · TRK. RogersNewS. MooreNewB. ThetNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UPSTCAM
Scoring
71.0 #265Points per game76.1 #140
1.00 #324Points per possession1.08 #175
70.5 #97Pace (possessions)70.0 #118
Shooting
48.3 #307Effective FG%50.1 #230
31.4 #3083-point %32.3 #267
35.6 #2563-point attempt rate36.9 #232
32.8 #239Free throw rate43.5 #16
Possessions
18.1 #274Turnover rate17.6 #240
29.2 #231Offensive rebound rate33.5 #77
11.7 #304Assists per game11.4 #315
Defense
75.7 #210Points allowed78.8 #289
1.08 #170Points allowed per possession1.13 #282
51.0 #156Opponent effective FG%53.9 #295
35.6 #289Opponent 3-point %35.5 #277
16.5 #185Turnovers forced17.0 #153
68.6 #224Defensive rebound rate68.0 #254
6.1 #220Steals per game6.5 #179
4.7 #24Blocks per game1.5 #361
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

SC Upstate

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gardner-Webb64–65
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb71–61
  • L@ Radford59–71
  • Wvs Presbyterian76–74
  • L@ Winthrop64–68

A week or more of rest.

Campbell

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Monmouth64–74
  • Wvs UNC Wilmington85–70
  • Wvs Stony Brook96–89
  • Wvs NC A&T90–72
  • L@ Towson67–71

A week or more of rest.