1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. MRSH @ YSU
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Marshall Thundering Herd at Youngstown State Penguins

Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · at Youngstown St
#231MRSHMarshall
@
#265YSUYoungstown St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MRSHThis seasonYSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects YSU 76–74 · win probability YSU 56%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MRSH has more of the edges

MRSH 3, YSU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MRSHBig
Three-pointers
MRSH hits 36.8% and allows 33.6%; YSU hits 33.8% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 44.3% and 49.4% of their shots
YSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: MRSH 29.2, YSU 31.4. Allowed: MRSH 41.1, YSU 36.0
MRSHSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: MRSH 54.8 and allows 50.3; YSU 53.6 and allows 52.3
Context
Schedule so far
MRSH has played the 238th-hardest schedule, YSU the 304th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MRSHSmall
MRSH offense vs YSU defense
Offense 198th of 366 against a defense 264th, on the model’s ratings
YSUSmall
Home court
YSU at home. This season: YSU 0-0 at home, MRSH 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: MRSH plays 70.7 a game (86th fastest), YSU 68.9 (188th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MRSH 31.9%, YSU 30.4%. Defensive: MRSH 66.2%, YSU 69.3%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MRSH 27%, YSU 8%. Transfers in: MRSH 7, YSU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MRSH 16.6%, YSU 18.8%. Forced: MRSH 16.2%, YSU 17.8%
Even
YSU offense vs MRSH defense
Offense 267th of 366 against a defense 277th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—YSU -1.6—
Total—150.2—
Projected score—MRSH 74.3 · YSU 75.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadYSU -0.8—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreMRSH 34.7 · YSU 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Marshall has the better starters

Position by position: Marshall 2, Youngstown St 0, even 3
MarshallBetterYoungstown St
G N. Otshudi14.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.5 ast Score 45
MRSHSmall
G L. Holmstrom TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 30
G F. Oshodi TR8.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 47
MRSHSmall
G J. Haynes3.9 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 16
G L. Rasmussen TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 15
Even
G J. Tyler TR4.3 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast Score 18
G D. Johnson TR2.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.2 ast Score 17
Even
G J. Nwankwo TR3 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 28
F E. Harding3.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
Even
F J. Coleman TR3.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 5
MarshallBetterYoungstown St
MRSH offense198th of 366 · -6.1
MRSHSmall
YSU defense264th of 366 · -6.8
MRSH defense277th of 366 · -7.0
Even
YSU offense267th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-4.7 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.8 · 1 player
Bench-1.4 · 5 players
Even
Bench-2.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestMRSH betterYSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Marshall
Guards
N. Otshudi32 minF. Oshodi20 min · TRL. Rasmussen15 min · TRD. Johnson15 min · TRB. Slay8 minE. Manyuon2 min · TR
Forwards
E. Harding14 minC. Langdon3 min · TRV. Kuridza2 min · TRB. DjigoNew
Centers
K. Maker6 min · TR
Youngstown St
Guards
L. Holmstrom27 min · TRJ. Haynes15 minJ. Tyler13 min · TRJ. Nwankwo12 min · TRD. Aekins7 min · TRJ. LivingstonNew
Forwards
J. Coleman13 min · TRJ. Moupadele12 min · TRL. LokhmanchukNewE. Summers-LivingstonNew
Centers
K. AmoakoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MRSHYSU
Scoring
80.5 #56Points per game75.1 #162
1.14 #71Points per possession1.09 #160
70.7 #86Pace (possessions)68.9 #188
Shooting
54.8 #42Effective FG%53.6 #76
36.8 #343-point %33.8 #184
44.3 #823-point attempt rate49.4 #17
29.2 #328Free throw rate31.4 #272
Possessions
16.6 #172Turnover rate18.8 #314
31.9 #127Offensive rebound rate30.4 #182
16.2 #43Assists per game14.0 #144
Defense
78.9 #292Points allowed74.9 #185
1.11 #253Points allowed per possession1.09 #190
50.3 #118Opponent effective FG%52.3 #228
33.6 #162Opponent 3-point %35.5 #280
16.2 #206Turnovers forced17.8 #106
66.2 #316Defensive rebound rate69.3 #191
6.1 #225Steals per game6.7 #151
4.8 #23Blocks per game3.5 #146
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Marshall

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern78–82
  • Lvs GA Southern82–99
  • Wvs Old Dominion97–88
  • L@ Coastal75–79
  • W@ App State94–93

A week or more of rest.

Youngstown St

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Robert Morris53–68
  • L@ Green Bay63–85
  • L@ Milwaukee65–78
  • Wvs N Kentucky64–58
  • Wvs Cleveland St106–82

A week or more of rest.