Prairie View A&M Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 25, 4:00 PM ETCam Henderson Center · at Marshall

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Prairie View and Marshall
PV	This season	MRSH
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MRSH 81–72 · win probability MRSH 80%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 153.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MRSH has more of the edges

PV 2, MRSH 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

MRSHBig

MRSH offense vs PV defense

Offense 198th of 366 against a defense 359th, on the model’s ratings

MRSHBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: PV 47.4 and allows 50.9; MRSH 54.8 and allows 50.3

MRSHBig

Three-pointers

PV hits 32.9% and allows 35.0%; MRSH hits 36.8% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 30.6% and 44.3% of their shots

PVBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: PV 41.6, MRSH 29.2. Allowed: PV 42.6, MRSH 41.1

PVSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: PV 15.8%, MRSH 16.6%. Forced: PV 19.0%, MRSH 16.2%

MRSHSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: PV 26.7%, MRSH 31.9%. Defensive: PV 64.6%, MRSH 66.2%

Context

Schedule so far

PV has played the 331st-hardest schedule, MRSH the 238th. A record against a soft schedule means less

MRSHSmall

Home court

MRSH at home. This season: MRSH 0-0 at home, PV 0-0 away

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: PV 6%, MRSH 27%. Transfers in: PV 5, MRSH 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Tempo

About 72 possessions: PV plays 72.7 a game (20th fastest), MRSH 70.7 (86th). Faster games mean more points

Even

PV offense vs MRSH defense

Offense 310th of 366 against a defense 277th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	MRSH -9.7	—
Total	—	153.1	—
Projected score	—	PV 71.7 · MRSH 81.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	MRSH -5.6	—
1H total	71.5	—
1H projected score	PV 33 · MRSH 38.6	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PV WWWWL	23-10	70%	11-5	—
MRSH WLWLL	10-21	32%	4-12	—

Venue/role: PV away; MRSH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
PV UUUUO	13-20	39%	15-18
MRSH OOOOU	19-12	61%	18-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PV	8-2 80%	9-1 90%	2-8 20%
MRSH	5-5 50%	2-8 20%	9-1 90%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Prairie View

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ IOWA	No recent meeting
Dec 9	@ PEPP	No recent meeting
Dec 11	@ USD	No recent meeting

Marshall

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs ETAM	No recent meeting
Dec 2	vs UNCW	L69–70WU
Dec 5	vs BCU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Prairie View

33 games played

Straight up

15-18

45% wins

Against the spread

23-10

70% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1845%

L L L L W L L L L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W L W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

23-1070%

L W W W L W L W W W W L W L L L L W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-2039%

O U U U O U O O O U O U U U U O U O O O O U U O U U U U U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@WICH	L 62-105	+20.5	L −22.5	156.5	O 167
Nov 12	@OKST	L 67-94	+30.5	W +3.5	168.5	U 161
Nov 17	@MIZ	L 73-91	+35.5	W +17.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 22	vsUTM	L 68-69	+10.5	W +9.5	155.5	U 137
Nov 23	vsUNF	W 85-82	-3.5	L −0.5	160.5	O 167
Nov 30	@UNT	L 69-72	+16.5	W +13.5	141.5	U 141
Dec 13	@SDAK	L 85-97	+6.5	L −5.5	168.5	O 182
Dec 22	@LSU	L 90-104	+29.5	W +15.5	161.5	O 194
Dec 29	@TA&M	L 82-111	+29.5	W +0.5	177.5	O 193
Jan 3	@GRAM	L 72-76	+7.5	W +3.5	155.5	U 148
Jan 5	@SOU	W 89-85	+7.5	W +11.5	160.5	O 174
Jan 10	vsMVSU	W 70-69	-18.5	L −17.5	152.5	U 139
Jan 12	vsUAPB	W 73-61	-3.5	W +8.5	164.5	U 134
Jan 17	@JKST	L 78-82	+1.5	L −2.5	160.5	U 160
Jan 19	@ALCN	L 75-76	-2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsALST	L 80-95	+1.5	L −13.5	158.5	O 175
Jan 27	vsAAMU	L 60-80	-2.5	L −22.5	152.5	U 140
Jan 31	vsTXSO	W 85-78	+1.5	W +8.5	157.5	O 163
Feb 7	@BCU	L 76-82	+10.5	W +4.5	157.5	O 158
Feb 9	@FAMU	L 96-100	+3.5	L −0.5	149.5	O 196
Feb 14	vsSOU	L 82-87	+5.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 169
Feb 16	vsGRAM	W 68-63	+1.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 131
Feb 19	@MVSU	W 72-62	-8.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 134
Feb 21	@UAPB	L 82-84	+3.5	W +1.5	159.5	O 166
Feb 26	vsJKST	W 85-76	-3.5	W +5.5	161.5	U 161
Feb 28	vsALCN	W 72-51	-4.5	W +16.5	150.5	U 123
Mar 5	@TXSO	W 70-59	+1.5	W +12.5	154.5	U 129
Mar 10	vsALCN	W 65-56	-6.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 121
Mar 11	vsBCU	W 71-67	+5.5	W +9.5	147.5	U 138
Mar 13	vsAAMU	W 74-55	+1.5	W +20.5	140.5	U 129
Mar 14	vsSOU	W 72-66	+3.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 138
Mar 18	vsLEH	W 67-55	+3.5	W +15.5	140.5	U 122
Mar 20	vsFLA	L 55-114	+35.5	L −23.5	154.5	O 169

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

−22.5

OKST

L 67-94

+3.5

MIZ

L 73-91

+17.5

UTM

L 68-69

+9.5

UNF

W 85-82

−0.5

UNT

L 69-72

+13.5

SDAK

L 85-97

−5.5

LSU

L 90-104

+15.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+0.5

GRAM

L 72-76

+3.5

SOU

W 89-85

+11.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−17.5

UAPB

W 73-61

+8.5

JKST

L 78-82

−2.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−3.5

ALST

L 80-95

−13.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−22.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+8.5

BCU

L 76-82

+4.5

FAMU

L 96-100

−0.5

SOU

L 82-87

+0.5

GRAM

W 68-63

+6.5

MVSU

W 72-62

+1.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+1.5

JKST

W 85-76

+5.5

ALCN

W 72-51

+16.5

TXSO

W 70-59

+12.5

ALCN

W 65-56

+2.5

BCU

W 71-67

+9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

+20.5

SOU

W 72-66

+9.5

LEH

W 67-55

+15.5

FLA

L 55-114

−23.5

covered 23didn’t cover 10avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

+10.5

OKST

L 67-94

−7.5

MIZ

L 73-91

−2.5

UTM

L 68-69

−18.5

UNF

W 85-82

+6.5

UNT

L 69-72

−0.5

SDAK

L 85-97

+13.5

LSU

L 90-104

+32.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+15.5

GRAM

L 72-76

−7.5

SOU

W 89-85

+13.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−13.5

UAPB

W 73-61

−30.5

JKST

L 78-82

−0.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−1.5

ALST

L 80-95

+16.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−12.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+5.5

BCU

L 76-82

+0.5

FAMU

L 96-100

+46.5

SOU

L 82-87

+9.5

GRAM

W 68-63

−20.5

MVSU

W 72-62

−19.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+6.5

JKST

W 85-76

−0.5

ALCN

W 72-51

−27.5

TXSO

W 70-59

−25.5

ALCN

W 65-56

−21.5

BCU

W 71-67

−9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

−11.5

SOU

W 72-66

−7.5

LEH

W 67-55

−18.5

FLA

L 55-114

+14.5

over 13under 20avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Marshall

31 games played

Straight up

18-13

58% wins

Against the spread

10-21

32% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-12

61% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

18-1358%

W W W L W W L L L W W L W W W L L W W L W W L W L W W L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

10-2132%

W W L L W L L W L W L L L L W L L L W L W L L L L L W L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-1261%

U U O O O U U U O U O U O O U O O U O U U O O O O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@MASS	W 78-72	+4.5	W +10.5	152.5	U 150
Nov 8	@TOL	W 85-73	+2.5	W +14.5	160.5	U 158
Nov 12	vsELON	W 96-89	-8.5	L −1.5	155.5	O 185
Nov 15	@UVA	L 78-104	+20.5	L −5.5	155.5	O 182
Nov 20	vsUAPB	W 98-70	-20.5	W +7.5	164.5	O 168
Nov 23	vsMERC	W 69-60	-11.5	L −2.5	147.5	U 129
Nov 26	vsLIP	L 67-90	-7.5	L −30.5	157.5	U 157
Dec 3	@UNCW	L 69-70	+8.5	W +7.5	150.5	U 139
Dec 6	@OHIO	L 81-88	+3.5	L −3.5	157.5	O 169
Dec 10	vsWKU	W 77-61	-1.5	W +14.5	159.5	U 138
Dec 13	vsWRST	W 76-74	-3.5	L −1.5	149.5	O 150
Dec 20	@TROY	L 63-70	+4.5	L −2.5	155.5	U 133
Dec 31	vsGAST	W 84-80	-13.5	L −9.5	151.5	O 164
Jan 3	vsAPP	W 88-81	-7.5	L −0.5	141.5	O 169
Jan 7	@JMU	W 66-64	+1.5	W +3.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 10	@GAST	L 73-81	-4.5	L −12.5	153.5	O 154
Jan 14	vsCCU	L 83-85	-9.5	L −11.5	151.5	O 168
Jan 17	vsJMU	W 77-72	-6.5	L −1.5	149.5	U 149
Jan 22	vsULM	W 115-60	-18.5	W +36.5	160.5	O 175
Jan 28	@TXST	L 68-72	-3.5	L −7.5	147.5	U 140
Jan 31	@ARST	W 70-61	+3.5	W +12.5	165.5	U 131
Feb 4	vsUSM	W 81-77	-10.5	L −6.5	148.5	O 158
Feb 7	vsM-OH	L 74-90	+1.5	L −14.5	162.5	O 164
Feb 11	@ODU	W 81-79	-3.5	L −1.5	155.5	O 160
Feb 14	@GASO	L 87-101	-2.5	L −16.5	162.5	O 188
Feb 16	vsUSA	W 84-80	-6.5	L −2.5	150.5	O 164
Feb 19	@APP	W 94-93	+3.5	W +4.5	143.5	O 187
Feb 21	@CCU	L 75-79	-2.5	L −6.5	153.5	O 154
Feb 24	vsODU	W 97-88	-7.5	W +1.5	159.5	O 185
Feb 27	vsGASO	L 82-99	-7.5	L −24.5	168.5	O 181
Mar 8	vsGASO	L 78-82	-2.5	L −6.5	166.5	U 160

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MASS

W 78-72

+10.5

TOL

W 85-73

+14.5

ELON

W 96-89

−1.5

UVA

L 78-104

−5.5

UAPB

W 98-70

+7.5

MERC

W 69-60

−2.5

LIP

L 67-90

−30.5

UNCW

L 69-70

+7.5

OHIO

L 81-88

−3.5

WKU

W 77-61

+14.5

WRST

W 76-74

−1.5

TROY

L 63-70

−2.5

GAST

W 84-80

−9.5

APP

W 88-81

−0.5

JMU

W 66-64

+3.5

GAST

L 73-81

−12.5

CCU

L 83-85

−11.5

JMU

W 77-72

−1.5

ULM

W 115-60

+36.5

TXST

L 68-72

−7.5

ARST

W 70-61

+12.5

USM

W 81-77

−6.5

M-OH

L 74-90

−14.5

ODU

W 81-79

−1.5

GASO

L 87-101

−16.5

USA

W 84-80

−2.5

APP

W 94-93

+4.5

CCU

L 75-79

−6.5

ODU

W 97-88

+1.5

GASO

L 82-99

−24.5

GASO

L 78-82

−6.5

covered 10didn’t cover 21avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MASS

W 78-72

−2.5

TOL

W 85-73

−2.5

ELON

W 96-89

+29.5

UVA

L 78-104

+26.5

UAPB

W 98-70

+3.5

MERC

W 69-60

−18.5

LIP

L 67-90

−0.5

UNCW

L 69-70

−11.5

OHIO

L 81-88

+11.5

WKU

W 77-61

−21.5

WRST

W 76-74

+0.5

TROY

L 63-70

−22.5

GAST

W 84-80

+12.5

APP

W 88-81

+27.5

JMU

W 66-64

−22.5

GAST

L 73-81

+0.5

CCU

L 83-85

+16.5

JMU

W 77-72

−0.5

ULM

W 115-60

+14.5

TXST

L 68-72

−7.5

ARST

W 70-61

−34.5

USM

W 81-77

+9.5

M-OH

L 74-90

+1.5

ODU

W 81-79

+4.5

GASO

L 87-101

+25.5

USA

W 84-80

+13.5

APP

W 94-93

+43.5

CCU

L 75-79

+0.5

ODU

W 97-88

+25.5

GASO

L 82-99

+12.5

GASO

L 78-82

−6.5

over 19under 12avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Prairie View 1, Marshall 1, even 3

Prairie ViewBetterMarshall

G D. Williams TR7.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 14

MRSHSmall

G N. Otshudi14.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.5 ast Score 45

G M. Eley TR13 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 98

PVBig

G F. Oshodi TR8.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 47

G S. Tidor TR4.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 21

Even

G L. Rasmussen TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 15

G E. Mitchell2.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7

Even

G D. Johnson TR2.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.2 ast Score 17

F J. Wharton TR1.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked

No call

F E. Harding3.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11

Prairie ViewBetterMarshall

PV offense310th of 366 · -9.7

Even

MRSH defense277th of 366 · -7.0

PV defense359th of 366 · -10.4

MRSHBig

MRSH offense198th of 366 · -6.1

Backcourt-2.4 · 4 players

PVSmall

Backcourt-4.7 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player

Even

Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player

Bench+0.0 · 1 player

PVSmall

Bench-1.4 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestPV betterMRSH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Prairie View

Guards

D. Williams26 min · TRM. Eley19 min · TRS. Tidor12 min · TRE. Mitchell12 minJ. LeeNewM. BellNew

Forwards

J. Wharton7 min · TRJ. Fazande1 min · TRE. PageNewD. BynumNewB. AjieroNew

Marshall

Guards

N. Otshudi32 minF. Oshodi20 min · TRL. Rasmussen15 min · TRD. Johnson15 min · TRB. Slay8 minE. Manyuon2 min · TR

Forwards

E. Harding14 minC. Langdon3 min · TRV. Kuridza2 min · TRB. DjigoNew

Centers

K. Maker6 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

PV74.8 #170

MRSH80.5 #56

Points per possession

PV1.03 #286

MRSH1.14 #71

Pace (possessions)

PV72.7 #20

MRSH70.7 #86

Shooting

Effective FG%

PV47.4 #330

MRSH54.8 #42

3-point %

PV32.9 #237

MRSH36.8 #34

3-point attempt rate

PV30.6 #348

MRSH44.3 #82

Free throw rate

PV41.6 #35

MRSH29.2 #328

Possessions

Turnover rate

PV15.8 #122

MRSH16.6 #172

Offensive rebound rate

PV26.7 #305

MRSH31.9 #127

Assists per game

PV10.8 #341

MRSH16.2 #43

Defense

Points allowed

PV78.9 #295

MRSH78.9 #292

Points allowed per possession

PV1.08 #182

MRSH1.11 #253

Opponent effective FG%

PV50.9 #149

MRSH50.3 #118

Opponent 3-point %

PV35.0 #247

MRSH33.6 #162

Turnovers forced

PV19.0 #49

MRSH16.2 #206

Defensive rebound rate

PV64.6 #344

MRSH66.2 #316

Steals per game

PV7.0 #127

MRSH6.1 #225

Blocks per game

PV4.9 #19

MRSH4.8 #23

PV		MRSH
Scoring
74.8 #170	Points per game	80.5 #56
1.03 #286	Points per possession	1.14 #71
72.7 #20	Pace (possessions)	70.7 #86
Shooting
47.4 #330	Effective FG%	54.8 #42
32.9 #237	3-point %	36.8 #34
30.6 #348	3-point attempt rate	44.3 #82
41.6 #35	Free throw rate	29.2 #328
Possessions
15.8 #122	Turnover rate	16.6 #172
26.7 #305	Offensive rebound rate	31.9 #127
10.8 #341	Assists per game	16.2 #43
Defense
78.9 #295	Points allowed	78.9 #292
1.08 #182	Points allowed per possession	1.11 #253
50.9 #149	Opponent effective FG%	50.3 #118
35.0 #247	Opponent 3-point %	33.6 #162
19.0 #49	Turnovers forced	16.2 #206
64.6 #344	Defensive rebound rate	66.2 #316
7.0 #127	Steals per game	6.1 #225
4.9 #19	Blocks per game	4.8 #23

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Prairie View

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Florida55–114
Wvs Lehigh67–55
Wvs Southern72–66
Wvs Alabama A&M74–55
Wvs Bethune71–67

A week or more of rest.

Marshall

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs GA Southern78–82
Lvs GA Southern82–99
Wvs Old Dominion97–88
L@ Coastal75–79
W@ App State94–93

A week or more of rest.

Prairie View A&M Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd

What could decide it: MRSH has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Prairie View

Marshall

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Prairie View

Marshall