1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. ETAM @ MRSH
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

East Texas A&M Lions at Marshall Thundering Herd

Cam Henderson Center · at Marshall
#342ETAMEast Texas A&M
@
#230MRSHMarshall
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ETAMThis seasonMRSH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MRSH 78–70 · win probability MRSH 77%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MRSH has more of the edges

ETAM 1, MRSH 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MRSHBig
Three-pointers
ETAM hits 31.3% and allows 37.3%; MRSH hits 36.8% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 46.2% and 44.3% of their shots
MRSHBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: ETAM 49.2 and allows 52.9; MRSH 54.8 and allows 50.3
MRSHBig
MRSH offense vs ETAM defense
Offense 198th of 366 against a defense 317th, on the model’s ratings
ETAMBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: ETAM 32.0, MRSH 29.2. Allowed: ETAM 34.5, MRSH 41.1
MRSHSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ETAM 25.7%, MRSH 31.9%. Defensive: ETAM 67.2%, MRSH 66.2%
MRSHSmall
ETAM offense vs MRSH defense
Offense 344th of 366 against a defense 277th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: ETAM plays 68.5 a game (203rd fastest), MRSH 70.7 (86th). Faster games mean more points
MRSHSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ETAM 19.2%, MRSH 16.6%. Forced: ETAM 17.0%, MRSH 16.2%
MRSHSmall
Home court
MRSH at home. This season: MRSH 0-0 at home, ETAM 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ETAM 7%, MRSH 27%. Transfers in: ETAM 2, MRSH 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
ETAM has played the 265th-hardest schedule, MRSH the 234th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MRSH -8.5—
Total—148.3—
Projected score—ETAM 69.9 · MRSH 78.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMRSH -4.9—
1H total69.4—
1H projected scoreETAM 32.2 · MRSH 37.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: East Texas A&M 1, Marshall 1, even 3
East Texas A&MBetterMarshall
G A. Dodd TR14.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 4.1 ast Score 82
ETAMBig
G N. Otshudi14.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.5 ast Score 45
G E. Phelps1.3 pts · 0.7 reb · 1 ast Score 0
MRSHBig
G F. Oshodi TR8.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 47
G K. Tolbert NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G L. Rasmussen TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 15
F J. Ford TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Johnson TR2.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.2 ast Score 17
F B. Aldridge NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F E. Harding3.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
East Texas A&MBetterMarshall
ETAM offense344th of 366 · -11.8
MRSHSmall
MRSH defense277th of 366 · -7.0
ETAM defense317th of 366 · -8.2
MRSHSmall
MRSH offense198th of 366 · -6.1
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
ETAMSmall
Backcourt-4.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestETAM betterMRSH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
East Texas A&M
Guards
A. Dodd32 min · TRE. Phelps15 minK. TolbertNewC. AdlamNewK. RobinsonNewG. SkorjancNew
Forwards
J. Ford10 min · TRB. AldridgeNewY. VidalNewM. DiakiteNewC. DinuNewM. CarrioNew
Marshall
Guards
N. Otshudi32 minF. Oshodi20 min · TRL. Rasmussen15 min · TRD. Johnson15 min · TRB. Slay8 minE. Manyuon2 min · TR
Forwards
E. Harding14 minC. Langdon3 min · TRV. Kuridza2 min · TRB. DjigoNew
Centers
K. Maker6 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ETAMMRSH
Scoring
67.1 #331Points per game80.5 #56
0.98 #342Points per possession1.14 #71
68.5 #203Pace (possessions)70.7 #86
Shooting
49.2 #282Effective FG%54.8 #42
31.3 #3133-point %36.8 #34
46.2 #433-point attempt rate44.3 #82
32.0 #257Free throw rate29.2 #328
Possessions
19.2 #330Turnover rate16.6 #172
25.7 #328Offensive rebound rate31.9 #127
14.6 #109Assists per game16.2 #43
Defense
76.0 #218Points allowed78.9 #292
1.11 #240Points allowed per possession1.11 #253
52.9 #261Opponent effective FG%50.3 #118
37.3 #347Opponent 3-point %33.6 #162
17.0 #156Turnovers forced16.2 #206
67.2 #288Defensive rebound rate66.2 #316
6.7 #150Steals per game6.1 #225
3.1 #196Blocks per game4.8 #23
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

East Texas A&M

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 6-16 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Texas A&M-CC71–84
  • L@ UT Rio Grande55–63
  • Lvs Hou Christian68–69
  • Lvs Incarnate Word73–82
  • Wvs SE Louisiana70–53

A week or more of rest.

Marshall

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern78–82
  • Lvs GA Southern82–99
  • Wvs Old Dominion97–88
  • L@ Coastal75–79
  • W@ App State94–93

A week or more of rest.