Lenovo Center · at NC State · Conference game
Closing line
NCSU -9.5✓ STAN covered by 10.5
NCSU -9.5✓ STAN covered by 10.5Closing total152.5Over by 16.5
 STAN | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 19-11 | Record | 19-11 |
| 16-14 | ATS | 14-16 |
| 13-17 | O/U | 18-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STAN 73–81 NCSU · ✗ NCSU (76%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 37 | 48 | 85 |
| NCSU | 34 | 50 | 84 |
1st half: STAN 37, NCSU 34 (STAN by 3). The model had NCSU by 4.7 and a total of 72.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| STAN | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-68 49% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 25-34 74% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 38 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 13-22 | 5-8 |
| Benny Gealer G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 26 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-6 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 26 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donavin Young F | 25 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tallis Toure, Evan Stinson, Cameron Grant, Anthony Batson Jr., Ethan Kitch, Chisom Okpara, Myles Jones, Kristers Skrinda
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Williams F | 35 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 34 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 29 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Tre Holloman G | 25 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Snell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 30 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 24 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Scottie Ebube C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alyn Breed G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jerry Deng, Colt Langdon, Zymicah Wilkins, Jayme Kontuniemi
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -8.5
1 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -9.5
1 pt toward NCSU
Total
Open154.5
▼ 2
Close152.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
STAN +350 · NCSU -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -8.5 · closed NCSU -9.5 · moved 1 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -8
model NCSU -8
Opened 154.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NCSU -9.5 | NCSU -8.0 | STAN +1.5 | W STAN covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 154.6 | Over 2.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | STAN 73.3 · NCSU 81.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NCSU -4.7 | STAN -3.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | STAN 33.8 · NCSU 38.5 | STAN 37 · NCSU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| NCSU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STAN 1–0 NCSUSTAN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · STAN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | NCSU 73 @ STAN 74 | STAN -6.5 | NCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stanford
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vs ND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vs LOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @ UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vs UNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vs DUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs CAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vs CLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vs GT | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | @ BC | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @ WAKE | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @CAL | L 66-72 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | vs PITT | W 75-67 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | vs SMU | W 95-75 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 4 | @ND | W 86-78 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+13.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
+2.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−0.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−4.5
25
vsPITT
PITTW 75-67
−0.5
28
vsSMU
SMUW 95-75
+21.5
4
@ND
NDW 86-78
+6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+15.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
−5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−11.5
25
vsPITT
PITTW 75-67
+3.5
28
vsSMU
SMUW 95-75
+14.5
4
@ND
NDW 86-78
+16.5
over 13under 17avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vsWAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsUVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 6 | @BC | W 79-71 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @FSU | W 113-69 | -4.5 | W +39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | vsGT | L 74-78 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | @CLEM | W 80-76 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @PITT | W 81-72 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs SYR | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @WAKE | W 96-78 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 3 | @SMU | W 84-83 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | vsVT | W 82-73 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 9 | @LOU | L 77-118 | +6.5 | L −34.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 14 | vsMIA | L 76-77 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | vsUNC | W 82-58 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 24 | @UVA | L 61-90 | +6.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | @ND | L 90-96 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Mar 2 | vsDUKE | L 64-93 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
−3.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+39.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−21.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+6.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+2.5
27
vsSYR
SYRW 88-68
+9.5
31
@WAKE
WAKEW 96-78
+12.5
3
@SMU
SMUW 84-83
−0.5
7
vsVT
VTW 82-73
−1.5
9
@LOU
LOUL 77-118
−34.5
14
vsMIA
MIAL 76-77
−6.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 82-58
+15.5
24
@UVA
UVAL 61-90
−22.5
28
@ND
NDL 90-96
−12.5
2
vsDUKE
DUKEL 64-93
−20.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
+8.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+21.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−2.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+13.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+8.5
27
vsSYR
SYRW 88-68
+4.5
31
@WAKE
WAKEW 96-78
+17.5
3
@SMU
SMUW 84-83
+7.5
7
vsVT
VTW 82-73
+0.5
9
@LOU
LOUL 77-118
+33.5
14
vsMIA
MIAL 76-77
−4.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 82-58
−16.5
24
@UVA
UVAL 61-90
−0.5
28
@ND
NDL 90-96
+32.5
2
vsDUKE
DUKEL 64-93
+6.5
over 18under 12avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stanford
19-11 overall · 8-9 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Notre Dame86–78
- Wvs SMU95–75
- Wvs Pitt75–67
- L@ California66–72
- L@ Wake Forest63–68
3 days since their last game.
NC State
19-11 overall · 10-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duke64–93
- L@ Notre Dame90–96
- L@ Virginia61–90
- Wvs North Carolina82–58
- Lvs Miami76–77
5 days since their last game.