Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State · Conference game
Closing line
ILL -3.5✓ ILL covered by 4.5
ILL -3.5✓ ILL covered by 4.5Closing total162.5Over by 5.5
| ILL | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 7-1 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 2-7 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILL 84–80 OSU · ✓ ILL (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 48 | 40 | 88 |
| OSU | 42 | 38 | 80 |
1st half: ILL 48, OSU 42 (ILL by 6). The model had ILL by 2.5 and a total of 76.8 (actual 90).
Team stats
| ILL | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 28-61 46% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 29-32 91% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 0 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 27 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler G | 39 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| David Mirkovic F | 33 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-5 |
| Kylan Boswell G | 31 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 27 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 18 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Jake Davis F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mihailo Petrovic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Jakstys, AJ Redd, Ty Rodgers, Brandon Lee, Blake Fagbemi
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 40 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 13-17 | 6-9 |
| Devin Royal F | 37 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4-15 | 1-6 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 31 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Brandon Noel F | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amare Bynum F | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braylen Nash, Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic, Josh Ojianwuna, Taison Chatman
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -3.5
no move
CloseILL -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 8
Close162.5
Up 8 since the open
Moneyline
ILL -162 · OSU +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -3.5 · unchangedmodel ILL -4
model ILL -4
Opened 154.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 8 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -3.5 | ILL -4.0 | ILL +0.5 | W ILL covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 164.2 | Over 1.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ILL 84.1 · OSU 80.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -2.5 | ILL -6.0 |
| 1H total | 76.8 | 90 |
| 1H projected score | ILL 39.7 · OSU 37.1 | ILL 48 · OSU 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILLlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% |
| OSUlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
ILL 4–2 OSUILL leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · ILL has won the last 3 meetings · ILL 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | OSU 79 @ ILL 87 | ILL -6.5 | ILL W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | OSU 74 vs ILL 77 | ILL -5.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | ILL 87 @ OSU 75 | OSU +2.5 | ILL W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | ILL 60 @ OSU 72 | OSU +4.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | OSU 60 @ ILL 69 | ILL -3.5 | ILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
over 2under 7avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
over 4under 4avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee75–62
- Lvs UConn61–74
- Wvs UT Rio Grande87–73
- Wvs Long Island98–58
- Lvs Alabama86–90
3 days since their last game.
Ohio State
7-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Northwestern86–82
- L@ Pitt66–67
- Wvs Mount St Marys113–60
- Wvs W Michigan91–58
- Wvs Notre Dame64–63
3 days since their last game.