Worthen Arena · at Ball State
Closing line
SDST -5.5✓ BALL covered by 1.5
SDST -5.5✓ BALL covered by 1.5Closing total142.5Under by 10.5
| SDST | This season | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 2-6 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 2-6 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 2-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDST 74–68 BALL · ✓ SDST (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 39 | 29 | 68 |
| BALL | 40 | 24 | 64 |
1st half: SDST 39, BALL 40 (BALL by 1). The model had SDST by 3.9 and a total of 66.2 (actual 79).
Team stats
| SDST | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 22-61 36% |
| 8-19 42% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 38 11 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 18 | Assists | 18 |
| 2 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalen Garry G | 33 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 5-11 | 3-4 |
| Jaden Jackson G | 32 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-7 |
| Joe Sayler G | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Matthew Mors F | 28 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Alec Squires C | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damon Wilkinson F | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Bubz Alvarez G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Luke Haertle G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Davis Kern, Jaden Rogers, Andrell Burton Jr., Trey Buchanan
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones F | 39 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Armoni Zeigler G | 32 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Joey Hart G | 24 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Davion Hill G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Preston Copeland F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kayden Fish F | 23 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Elmore James IV G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-6 |
| Devon Barnes G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
Did not play: Alex Farley, Easton Foster, Kody Clancy, Jai Anthoni Bearden, Cam Denson, Zane Doughty
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDST -5.5
ModelSDST -6.3
Model edgeSDST +0.8
L BALL covered
Total
Market142.5
Model141.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
SDST 73.8 · BALL 67.5
SDST 68 · BALL 64
Win probability
SDST 71%
1st half
Spread
SDST -3.9
BALL -1.0
Total
66.2
79 points
Projected score
SDST 35.1 · BALL 31.2
SDST 39 · BALL 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDST -6.5
1 → BALL
CloseSDST -5.5
1 pt toward BALL
Total
Open138.5
▲ 4
Close142.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SDST -250 · BALL +205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDST -6.5 · closed SDST -5.5 · moved 1 toward BALLmodel SDST -6.5
model SDST -6.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 4 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSTlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
| BALLlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 2-6 25% | 2-6 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Dakota St
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 9 | @ UNI | L 58-65 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORE | L 69-83 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs GAST | W 105-58 | -12.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVU | L 52-75 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCI | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 3 | @ NAU | W 75-62 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs IDHO | L 81-84 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−21.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−9.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
+10.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
−8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−24.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−28.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
−11.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
+17.5
over 3under 5avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ball State
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −9.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UL | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ WIS | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs LR | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ INST | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs MONM | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ LAF | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs LEM | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ EVAN | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−20.5
over 2under 6avg −9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Dakota St
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Idaho81–84
- W@ N Arizona75–62
- Lvs UC Irvine52–64
- Lvs Utah Valley52–75
- Wvs Georgia St105–58
3 days since their last game.
Ball State
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Evansville52–64
- Wvs Le Moyne96–85
- L@ Lafayette37–55
- Lvs Monmouth73–80
- L@ Indiana St52–70
6 days since their last game.