Quinnipiac Bobcats at Iona Gaels: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Dec 5, 7:00 PM ETHynes Athletics Center · at Iona · Conference game

#241QUINQuinnipiac89▲ winner

Final

#233IONAIona68final

Closing lineIONA -2.5✓ QUIN covered by 23.5

Closing total163.5Under by 6.5

Season records: Quinnipiac and Iona
QUIN	This season	IONA
4-3	Record	6-2
4-3	ATS	5-3
4-3	O/U	6-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: QUIN 80–83 IONA · ✗ IONA (58%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
QUIN	36	53	89
IONA	34	34	68

1st half: QUIN 36, IONA 34 (QUIN by 2). The model had IONA by 1.2 and a total of 76.2 (actual 70).

Team stats

QUIN		IONA
35-73 48%	Field goals	24-65 37%
9-26 35%	3-pointers	5-23 22%
10-14 71%	Free throws	15-22 68%
49 18 off	Rebounds	35 15 off
23	Assists	15
8	Steals	6
3	Blocks	3
12	Turnovers	12
18	Fouls	12
46	Points in paint	32
13	Fast-break points	3

Players

QUIN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jaden Zimmerman G	39	19	6	5	7-16	1-6
Grant Randall F	35	13	10	2	5-10	1-4
Amarri Monroe F	29	11	7	5	5-10	1-4
Asim Jones G	17	13	4	6	6-8	1-1
Spence Wewe F	9	0	1	1	0-0	0-0
Bench
Nate Guerengomba G	21	11	4	0	4-10	1-2
Keith McKnight F	19	10	7	1	4-9	0-1
Tai Turnage G	16	6	1	2	2-6	2-4
Samson Reilly G	8	6	1	0	2-4	2-4
Sam Nosakhare C	7	0	3	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Braylan Ritvo, Akintola Akinniyi, Jayden Reid, Christopher Skenderi, Ronell Giles Jr.

IONA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Lamin Sabally F	36	27	14	1	10-14	0-0
Kosy Akametu G	31	9	5	4	2-12	1-4
CJ Anthony G	28	10	2	7	4-14	2-7
Keshawn Williams G	26	10	5	1	4-8	0-2
Denver Anglin G	26	8	0	1	3-9	2-6
Bench
Toby Harris F	19	2	3	0	0-3	0-3
Khalil Badru G	17	0	4	1	0-3	0-1
Alliou Fall F	9	2	0	0	1-2	0-0
Luke Jungers F	6	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Chase Cormier G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Connor Horan, Matt Reed, Deondrea Lindsey, Oscar Hourruitiner Jr., Marko Pandiloski, Ore Odutayo

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	IONA -2.5	IONA -2.2	QUIN +0.3	W QUIN covered
Total	163.5	162.9	Under 0.6	W Under
Projected score	—	QUIN 80.4 · IONA 82.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	IONA -1.2	QUIN -2.0
1H total	76.2	70
1H projected score	QUIN 37.5 · IONA 38.7	QUIN 36 · IONA 34

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
QUIN LWWWL	4-3	57%	3-1	2-2
IONA WLWLW	5-3	63%	2-1	3-2

Venue/role: QUIN away, as underdog; IONA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
QUIN OUOOU	4-3	57%	4-3
IONA OUOOO	6-2	75%	6-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
QUINlast 7	4-3 57%	4-3 57%	4-3 57%
IONAlast 8	6-2 75%	5-3 63%	6-2 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

QUIN 5–4 IONAQUIN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · QUIN 4-5 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Mar 14, 2024-25	IONA 81 vs QUIN 73	QUIN -4.5	IONA W
Feb 16, 2024-25	IONA 74 @ QUIN 79	QUIN -6.5	IONA W
Jan 12, 2024-25	QUIN 63 @ IONA 62	IONA +1.5	IONA W
Mar 1, 2023-24	QUIN 82 @ IONA 64	IONA -3.5	QUIN W
Jan 21, 2023-24	IONA 87 @ QUIN 91	QUIN -0.5	QUIN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Quinnipiac

7 games played

Straight up

4-3

57% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-3

57% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-357%

L W L W W L W

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-357%

L W L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-357%

O U O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SJU	L 74-108	+26.5	L −7.5	156.5	O 182
Nov 6	vsCCSU	W 71-49	-9.5	W +12.5	150.5	U 120
Nov 11	vsYALE	L 60-97	+6.5	L −30.5	156.5	O 157
Nov 16	@ME	W 70-64	-3.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 134
Nov 23	@PITT	W 83-75	+12.5	W +20.5	140.5	O 158
Nov 25	@UCF	L 91-102	+13.5	W +2.5	162.5	O 193
Nov 30	vsSTO	W 76-62	-15.5	L −1.5	148.5	U 138

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SJU

L 74-108

−7.5

CCSU

W 71-49

+12.5

YALE

L 60-97

−30.5

W 70-64

+2.5

PITT

W 83-75

+20.5

UCF

L 91-102

+2.5

STO

W 76-62

−1.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SJU

L 74-108

+25.5

CCSU

W 71-49

−30.5

YALE

L 60-97

+0.5

W 70-64

−3.5

PITT

W 83-75

+17.5

UCF

L 91-102

+30.5

STO

W 76-62

−10.5

over 4under 3avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Iona

8 games played

Straight up

6-2

75% wins

Against the spread

5-3

63% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-2

75% overs · avg +8.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

6-275%

W W W W L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

5-363%

W W L W L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

6-275%

O O U O U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsHOF	W 81-73	+1.5	W +9.5	144.5	O 154
Nov 11	@KC	W 105-91	-4.5	W +9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 14	vsFOR	W 76-71	-5.5	L −0.5	157.5	U 147
Nov 18	vsPRIN	W 89-69	-2.5	W +17.5	154.5	O 158
Nov 21	vsAKR	L 75-96	+11.5	L −9.5	173.5	U 171
Nov 22	vsORST	W 91-84	+3.5	W +10.5	157.5	O 175
Nov 24	vsGB	L 75-80	-5.5	L −10.5	150.5	O 155
Dec 1	@DEL	W 89-66	-1.5	W +21.5	149.5	O 155

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+9.5

FOR

W 76-71

−0.5

PRIN

W 89-69

+17.5

AKR

L 75-96

−9.5

ORST

W 91-84

+10.5

L 75-80

−10.5

DEL

W 89-66

+21.5

covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+39.5

FOR

W 76-71

−10.5

PRIN

W 89-69

+3.5

AKR

L 75-96

−2.5

ORST

W 91-84

+17.5

L 75-80

+4.5

DEL

W 89-66

+5.5

over 6under 2avg +8.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Quinnipiac @ Iona

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Quinnipiac

Iona

Quinnipiac

Iona