Siegel Center · at VCU
Closing line
VCU -19.5✓ VCU covered by 6.5
VCU -19.5✓ VCU covered by 6.5Closing total154.5Under by 14.5
 SAM | This season | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 5-3 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAM 67–86 VCU · ✓ VCU (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM | 31 | 26 | 57 |
| VCU | 34 | 49 | 83 |
1st half: SAM 31, VCU 34 (VCU by 3). The model had VCU by 11.1 and a total of 71.4 (actual 65).
Team stats
| SAM | VCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-60 35% | Field goals | 29-65 45% |
| 2-20 10% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 13-22 59% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 52 17 off |
| 6 | Assists | 17 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 32 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Cade Norris G | 28 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Keaton Norris G | 26 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 25 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kam Martin G | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Jaxon Pollard F | 14 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Zion Wilburn G | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Judson Bjornstad F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Shaver C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Harrison F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Lamey, Joshua Hughes, Corey Brown, DaJion Humphrey, JD Gossett, Cooper Davenport
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans F | 29 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 22 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Brandon Jennings G | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 25 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 8-14 | 5-9 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Tillery G | 17 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-2 |
| Michael Belle F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jordann Dumont F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Obinnaya Okafor, Christian Fermin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -19.5
ModelVCU -18.6
Model edgeSAM +0.9
L VCU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model152.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
W Under
Projected score
SAM 67 · VCU 85.6
SAM 57 · VCU 83
Win probability
VCU 95%
1st half
Spread
VCU -11.1
VCU -3.0
Total
71.4
65 points
Projected score
SAM 30.2 · VCU 41.3
SAM 31 · VCU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -19.5
no move
CloseVCU -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▲ 3
Close154.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
SAM +1300 · VCU -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -19.5 · unchangedmodel VCU -18.5
model VCU -18.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 3 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAMlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% |
| VCUlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SAM 0–1 VCUVCU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SAM 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023-24 | SAM 65 @ VCU 75 | VCU -4.5 | VCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Samford
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs SCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs FGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
over 4under 5avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
VCU
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs COPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
over 4under 4avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Samford
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah Valley45–89
- Wvs Georgia St78–63
- L@ New Mexico St72–81
- Lvs FGCU62–77
- W@ C Arkansas84–77
A week or more of rest.
VCU
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Virginia Tech86–68
- Lvs Vanderbilt74–89
- Wvs South Florida78–66
- Wvs Coppin St101–58
- L@ NC State79–85
A week or more of rest.