M&T Bank Center at Gampel Pavilion · at UConn
Closing line
CONN -36.5✓ ETAM covered by 12.5
CONN -36.5✓ ETAM covered by 12.5Closing total141.5Over by 0.5
 ETAM | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 7-1 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ETAM 53–87 CONN · ✓ CONN (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETAM | 27 | 32 | 59 |
| CONN | 38 | 45 | 83 |
1st half: ETAM 27, CONN 38 (CONN by 11). The model had CONN by 20.3 and a total of 65.4 (actual 65).
Team stats
| ETAM | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 34-65 52% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| ETAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Hunt G | 28 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Damian Garcia G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-12 | 3-7 |
| Josh Taylor F | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Noah Pagotto F | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Evan Phelps G | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ronnie Harrison F | 26 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Michael Folarin F | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Vinny Sigona G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| London Fields G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Tay Mosher F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Alex McCray G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kollin Tolbert, Mykol Sanchez-Vega, Chris Adlam, Kamren Robinson, Parker Whisenhunt
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 30 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 27 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Eric Reibe C | 26 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Stewart F | 23 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Solo Ball G | 22 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Ross F | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Malachi Smith G | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Koroma F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Furphy G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alec Millender G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Uros Paunovic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rrezon Elezaj C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jacob Ross, Tarris Reed Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCONN -36.5
ModelCONN -34.0
Model edgeETAM +2.5
W ETAM covered
Total
Market141.5
Model139.5
Model edgeUnder 2.0
L Over
Projected score
ETAM 52.8 · CONN 86.7
ETAM 59 · CONN 83
Win probability
CONN 100%
1st half
Spread
CONN -20.3
CONN -11.0
Total
65.4
65 points
Projected score
ETAM 22.5 · CONN 42.8
ETAM 27 · CONN 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -37.5
1 → ETAM
CloseCONN -36.5
1 pt toward ETAM
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -37.5 · closed CONN -36.5 · moved 1 toward ETAMmodel CONN -34
model CONN -34
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETAMlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| CONNlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 3-5 38% | 2-6 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ETAM 0–1 CONNCONN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ETAM 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024-25 | ETAM 46 @ CONN 81 | CONN -38.5 | ETAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
East Texas A&M
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@
UNM
UNML 54-76
+0.5
10
@
HAW
HAWL 74-100
−7.5
14
@
RICE
RICEL 64-71
+3.5
24
@
FDU
FDUW 70-65
+1.5
25
vs
ARMY
ARMYW 84-67
+14.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@UNM
UNML 54-76
−13.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 74-100
+28.5
14
@RICE
RICEL 64-71
−11.5
24
@FDU
FDUW 70-65
−14.5
25
vsARMY
ARMYW 84-67
+7.5
over 2under 3avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
over 2under 6avg −10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
East Texas A&M
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Army84–67
- W@ FDU70–65
- L@ Rice64–71
- L@ Hawai'i74–100
- L@ New Mexico54–76
A week or more of rest.
UConn
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas61–56
- Wvs Illinois74–61
- Wvs Bryant72–49
- Lvs Arizona67–71
- Wvs BYU86–84
3 days since their last game.