Canisius Golden Griffins at Saint Peter's Peacocks: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Dec 5, 7:00 PM ETYanitelli Center · at Saint Peter's · Conference game

#359CANCanisius57final

Final

Closing lineSPU -9.5✓ SPU covered by 2.5

Closing total129.5Under by 3.5

Season records: Canisius and Saint Peter's
CAN	This season	SPU
3-4	Record	2-4
3-4	ATS	2-4
2-5	O/U	3-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: CAN 62–72 SPU · ✓ SPU (81%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
CAN	32	25	57
SPU	32	37	69

1st half: CAN 32, SPU 32 (tied). The model had SPU by 6.0 and a total of 63.0 (actual 64).

Team stats

CAN		SPU
17-54 31%	Field goals	21-55 38%
5-19 26%	3-pointers	6-25 24%
18-28 64%	Free throws	21-26 81%
41 17 off	Rebounds	38 12 off
7	Assists	11
2	Steals	8
2	Blocks	1
13	Turnovers	10
21	Fouls	25
22	Points in paint	24
13	Fast-break points	18

Players

CAN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kahlil Singleton G	37	15	7	3	5-12	3-10
Mike Evbagharu G	32	6	3	1	2-4	0-1
Brendan Oliver F	30	15	7	0	4-13	1-4
Bryan Ndjonga F	21	6	3	0	1-7	0-1
Myles Wilmoth F	16	4	3	1	1-5	0-0
Bench
Javantae Edwards G	22	2	3	1	1-4	0-1
Max Jusianiec G	16	7	5	1	2-5	1-2
Chris Kumu G	13	2	2	0	1-3	0-0
Evan van der Plas F	11	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
King Ijeoma F	2	0	2	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Nicco DiGiulio, Trevor Augustine, Anthony Benard, Zach Christian, Andreo Ash, Marcus Niblack

SPU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Brent Bland G	38	12	8	2	3-12	2-8
Bryce Eaton G	32	14	1	4	4-10	3-6
Zaakir Williamson F	20	8	2	0	4-6	0-1
J'Quan Ewing F	9	4	0	1	2-2	0-0
Adetokunbo Bakare G	9	2	1	1	0-2	0-2
Bench
Jahki Gupton F	28	6	9	0	2-9	0-3
Elijah Perkins G	18	3	3	2	1-4	0-2
TJ Robinson G	18	14	1	0	3-8	1-3
Lucas Scroggins F	13	2	3	1	1-1	0-0
Shaedon Simpson G	11	4	4	0	1-1	0-0
Eric Morgan Jr. G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Bol Agu F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Akil Watson

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SPU -9.5	SPU -10.1	SPU +0.6	W SPU covered
Total	129.5	134.4	Over 4.9	L Under
Projected score	—	CAN 62.1 · SPU 72.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SPU -6.0	PK
1H total	63.0	64
1H projected score	CAN 28.5 · SPU 34.5	CAN 32 · SPU 32

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAN WLLWL	3-4	43%	1-2	2-3
SPU WWLLL	2-4	33%	1-2	1-2

Venue/role: CAN away, as underdog; SPU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAN UUUOU	2-5	29%	3-4
SPU OUOUO	3-3	50%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CANlast 7	3-4 43%	3-4 43%	2-5 29%
SPUlast 6	2-4 33%	2-4 33%	3-3 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22

CAN 3–5 SPUSPU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SPU has won the last 4 meetings · CAN 4-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Mar 8, 2024-25	CAN 62 @ SPU 70	SPU -12.5	CAN W
Jan 12, 2024-25	SPU 62 @ CAN 49	CAN +5.5	SPU W
Jan 21, 2023-24	CAN 59 @ SPU 70	SPU -3.5	SPU W
Dec 3, 2023-24	SPU 54 @ CAN 52	CAN -4.5	SPU W
Feb 24, 2022-23	SPU 53 @ CAN 66	CAN -3.5	CAN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Canisius

7 games played

Straight up

3-4

43% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-5

29% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-443%

L L W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-443%

L W W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-529%

U O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@DAY	L 48-88	+25.5	L −14.5	142.5	U 136
Nov 8	@SBU	L 70-89	+21.5	W +2.5	136.5	O 159
Nov 12	vsMERC	W 58-55	+1.5	W +4.5	135.5	U 113
Nov 17	@HPU	L 50-93	+23.5	L −19.5	152.5	U 143
Nov 21	vsUMES	W 60-57	-3.5	L −0.5	128.5	U 117
Nov 23	vsBING	W 75-66	-2.5	W +6.5	129.5	O 141
Nov 29	vsBUF	L 53-71	+9.5	L −8.5	139.5	U 124

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DAY

L 48-88

−14.5

SBU

L 70-89

+2.5

MERC

W 58-55

+4.5

HPU

L 50-93

−19.5

UMES

W 60-57

−0.5

BING

W 75-66

+6.5

BUF

L 53-71

−8.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DAY

L 48-88

−6.5

SBU

L 70-89

+22.5

MERC

W 58-55

−22.5

HPU

L 50-93

−9.5

UMES

W 60-57

−11.5

BING

W 75-66

+11.5

BUF

L 53-71

−15.5

over 2under 5avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Saint Peter's

6 games played

Straight up

2-4

33% wins

Against the spread

2-4

33% covers · avg −8.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-3

50% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-433%

L W L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-433%

L W W L L L

3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-350%

U O U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@HALL	L 50-77	+13.5	L −13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 8	vsFDU	W 93-83	-6.5	W +3.5	137.5	O 176
Nov 12	@VCU	L 61-78	+20.5	W +3.5	147.5	U 139
Nov 18	@DEL	L 70-81	+4.5	L −6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 22	vsUML	W 68-66	-8.5	L −6.5	147.5	U 134
Nov 29	vsDART	L 61-87	-3.5	L −29.5	144.5	O 148

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−13.5

FDU

W 93-83

+3.5

VCU

L 61-78

+3.5

DEL

L 70-81

−6.5

UML

W 68-66

−6.5

DART

L 61-87

−29.5

covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−2.5

FDU

W 93-83

+38.5

VCU

L 61-78

−8.5

DEL

L 70-81

+13.5

UML

W 68-66

−13.5

DART

L 61-87

+3.5

over 3under 3avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Canisius @ Saint Peter's

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Canisius

Saint Peter's

Canisius

Saint Peter's