Draddy Gymnasium · at Manhattan · Conference game
Closing line
FAIR -1.5✓ MAN covered by 5.5
FAIR -1.5✓ MAN covered by 5.5Closing total155.5Under by 19.5
| FAIR | This season | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 2-5 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 1-6 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 81–81 MAN · ✗ FAIR (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 26 | 40 | 66 |
| MAN | 31 | 39 | 70 |
1st half: FAIR 26, MAN 31 (MAN by 5). The model had FAIR by 0.3 and a total of 76.1 (actual 57).
Team stats
| FAIR | MAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-73 36% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 8-30 27% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 45 20 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 14 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 37 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 8-16 | 4-9 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 34 | 15 | 19 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Deuce Turner G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-11 | 1-8 |
| Eric Mejia G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 22 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Estevez G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-0 |
| Michael Rogan G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Nasir Rodriguez, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Noah Best
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston G | 38 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Devin Dinkins G | 35 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 31 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-5 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush G | 30 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrance Jones G | 22 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Quron Elliott G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Delaney G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jaeden Robley, Jameson Borodawka, Omari Moore, Nick Lukmann, Asier Miguel, Will Sydnor, Louis Fairtlough, Michael Lawlor, Aryan Arora, Brett Rumpel
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFAIR -1.5
ModelFAIR -0.2
Model edgeMAN +1.3
W MAN covered
Total
Market155.5
Model162.6
Model edgeOver 7.1
L Under
Projected score
FAIR 81.4 · MAN 81.2
FAIR 66 · MAN 70
Win probability
FAIR 51%
1st half
Spread
FAIR -0.3
MAN -5.0
Total
76.1
57 points
Projected score
FAIR 38.2 · MAN 37.9
FAIR 26 · MAN 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMAN -1.5
3 → FAIR
CloseFAIR -1.5
3 pts toward FAIR
Total
Open158.5
▼ 3
Close155.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR -115 · MAN -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MAN -1.5 · closed FAIR -1.5 · moved 3 toward FAIRmodel FAIR -0
model FAIR -0
Opened 158.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 3 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIRlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% | 5-3 63% |
| MANlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 1-6 14% | 4-3 57% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
FAIR 4–4 MANSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · FAIR 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | MAN 80 @ FAIR 67 | FAIR +1.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | FAIR 87 @ MAN 84 | MAN -3.5 | FAIR W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | MAN 68 @ FAIR 77 | FAIR -9.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | FAIR 82 @ MAN 75 | MAN +8.5 | MAN W |
| Feb 19, 2022-23 | MAN 73 @ FAIR 72 | FAIR -4.5 | MAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +8.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
over 5under 3avg +8.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Manhattan
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
1-6
14% covers · avg −7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +14.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 6avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
over 4under 3avg +14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Hampshire72–68
- Lvs Columbia77–106
- W@ Le Moyne97–83
- Wvs Loyola MD85–82
- Wvs Stonehill73–71
5 days since their last game.
Manhattan
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Army78–81
- Lvs Wagner101–103
- L@ Texas A&M68–109
- Wvs Miss Valley St80–73
- L@ Hawai'i56–86
6 days since their last game.