MVP Arena · at Siena · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -12.5✓ SIE covered by 16.5
SIE -12.5✓ SIE covered by 16.5Closing total129.5Over by 7.5
 NIA | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 7-2 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 2-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIA 60–74 SIE · ✓ SIE (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 21 | 33 | 54 |
| SIE | 46 | 37 | 83 |
1st half: NIA 21, SIE 46 (SIE by 25). The model had SIE by 8.1 and a total of 62.4 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NIA | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-60 37% | Field goals | 31-59 53% |
| 4-22 18% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 26 7 off | Rebounds | 43 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 8 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 27 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Justin Hawkins F | 25 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Vice Zanki F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Justin Page G | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Will Shortt F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kabeya Tshibangu C | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Landon Williams G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Brian Griffith G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Josiah Sabino G | 16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Drew Larson F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| AJ McBride G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Gael Dalmau G | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Trenton Walters
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 7-17 | 1-1 |
| Gavin Doty G | 28 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 24 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tasman Goodrick F | 17 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Francis Folefac F | 24 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 21 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Christian Jones G | 18 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Cooper Nadler G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mosi Clayton G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Chris Torres G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Danny Murray G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tajae Jones, Owen Schlager, Riley Mulvey, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -12.5
ModelSIE -13.7
Model edgeSIE +1.2
W SIE covered
Total
Market129.5
Model133.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
W Over
Projected score
NIA 59.7 · SIE 73.5
NIA 54 · SIE 83
Win probability
SIE 88%
1st half
Spread
SIE -8.1
SIE -25.0
Total
62.4
67 points
Projected score
NIA 27.2 · SIE 35.3
NIA 21 · SIE 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -13.5
1 → NIA
CloseSIE -12.5
1 pt toward NIA
Total
Open131.5
▼ 2
Close129.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NIA +750 · SIE -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -13.5 · closed SIE -12.5 · moved 1 toward NIAmodel SIE -13.5
model SIE -13.5
Opened 131.5 · closed 129.5 · moved 2 downmodel 133
model 133
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIAlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% | 3-4 43% |
| SIElast 9 | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NIA 6–4 SIENIA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NIA 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | NIA 60 @ SIE 94 | SIE -5.5 | SIE W |
| Dec 6, 2024-25 | SIE 68 @ NIA 69 | NIA -2.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | SIE 65 vs NIA 67 | NIA -10.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | NIA 66 @ SIE 59 | SIE +7.5 | SIE W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | SIE 93 @ NIA 88 | NIA -5.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Niagara
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@
BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vs
DSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@
LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
21
@
DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−18.5
22
vs
HOW
HOWL 70-80
−5.5
29
vs
DETM
DETML 66-70
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−4.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
+11.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−6.5
over 3under 4avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
over 2under 7avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Niagara
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Detroit Mercy66–70
- Lvs Howard70–80
- L@ Duke42–100
- L@ Le Moyne68–74
- Wvs Delaware St68–57
6 days since their last game.
Siena
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine64–60
- W@ American59–55
- Wvs Longwood70–63
- W@ Holy Cross73–69
- Wvs UAlbany73–63
5 days since their last game.