McCann Arena · at Marist · Conference game
Closing line
MRST -8.5✓ MSM covered by 0.5
MRST -8.5✓ MSM covered by 0.5Closing total136.5Under by 16.5
 MSM | This season | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 3-2 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSM 62–74 MRST · ✓ MRST (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 20 | 36 | 56 |
| MRST | 30 | 34 | 64 |
1st half: MSM 20, MRST 30 (MRST by 10). The model had MRST by 7.0 and a total of 63.5 (actual 50).
Team stats
| MSM | MRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-55 35% | Field goals | 23-53 43% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 12-21 57% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 11 | Steals | 15 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 34 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 32 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Mason So G | 32 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Luke McEldon F | 23 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Amadi F | 27 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Justin May, John Miller IV, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Anthony Arrington Jr.
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Lewis G | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Justin Menard G | 29 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-15 | 2-7 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 25 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 24 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 14 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 33 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Jason Schofield C | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Myles Parker F | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Tarik Watson C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Martin Kawa G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Trace Salton F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Gabriel, Antoni Vlogianitis, Ricky McKenzie
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRST -9.5
1 → MSM
CloseMRST -8.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open134.5
▲ 2
Close136.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MSM +340 · MRST -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRST -9.5 · closed MRST -8.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel MRST -12
model MRST -12
Opened 134.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 upmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MRST -8.5 | MRST -11.8 | MRST +3.3 | L MSM covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 135.6 | Under 0.9 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MSM 61.9 · MRST 73.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MRST -7.0 | MRST -10.0 |
| 1H total | 63.5 | 50 |
| 1H projected score | MSM 28.3 · MRST 35.3 | MSM 20 · MRST 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSMlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| MRSTlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MSM 5–2 MRSTMSM leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 2 meetings · MSM 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | MSM 62 vs MRST 58 | MRST -4.5 | MSM W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | MRST 52 @ MSM 62 | MSM -2.5 | MSM W |
| Dec 6, 2024-25 | MSM 50 @ MRST 53 | MRST -5.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | MSM 76 @ MRST 58 | MRST -2 | MSM W |
| Jan 19, 2023-24 | MRST 48 @ MSM 65 | MSM -2.5 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mount St Marys
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
over 4under 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marist
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@
DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vs
HARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vs
ARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vs
LEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
over 2under 3avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mount St Marys
2-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–87
- Wvs Howard79–75
- L@ Ohio State60–113
- L@ W Michigan60–83
- L@ Maryland90–95
2 days since their last game.
Marist
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lehigh78–55
- Wvs Army76–65
- Lvs Harvard54–56
- W@ Dartmouth75–56
- L@ Xavier62–66
A week or more of rest.