Central Michigan Chippewas at Eastern Michigan Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 12, 2:00 PM ETGervin GameAbove Center · at E Michigan · Conference game

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: C Michigan and E Michigan
CMU	This season	EMU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects EMU 77–69 · win probability EMU 74%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 146.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: EMU has more of the edges

CMU 0, EMU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

EMUSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: CMU 29.2%, EMU 27.8%. Defensive: CMU 65.7%, EMU 70.9%

EMUSmall

EMU offense vs CMU defense

Offense 206th of 366 against a defense 287th, on the model’s ratings

EMUSmall

CMU offense vs EMU defense

Offense 258th of 366 against a defense 188th, on the model’s ratings

EMUSmall

Home court

EMU at home. This season: EMU 0-0 at home, CMU 0-0 away

EMUSmall

Three-pointers

CMU hits 33.9% and allows 35.5%; EMU hits 32.4% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 34.0% and 31.8% of their shots

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: CMU 51.8 and allows 54.0; EMU 49.6 and allows 50.3

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: CMU 18.1%, EMU 17.5%. Forced: CMU 16.9%, EMU 15.5%

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: CMU 31.4, EMU 29.3. Allowed: CMU 39.0, EMU 35.5

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: CMU plays 68.3 a game (212th fastest), EMU 68.9 (190th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: CMU 43%, EMU 37%. Transfers in: CMU 1, EMU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Schedule so far

CMU has played the 158th-hardest schedule, EMU the 157th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	EMU -7.5	—
Total	—	146.2	—
Projected score	—	CMU 69.4 · EMU 76.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	EMU -4.3	—
1H total	68.4	—
1H projected score	CMU 32 · EMU 36.4	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CMU WWWLL	16-13	55%	6-10	—
EMU WLLWL	20-10	67%	9-4	—

Venue/role: CMU away; EMU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
CMU OOUUO	13-16	45%	8-21
EMU UOUUO	9-21	30%	9-21

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CMU	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
EMU	1-9 10%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

C Michigan

No more games listed yet.

E Michigan

No more games listed yet.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

CMU 4–5 EMUEMU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CMU 3-6 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 17, 2025-26	CMU 54 @ EMU 66	EMU -4.5	EMU W
Jan 27, 2025-26	EMU 65 @ CMU 100	CMU +2.5	CMU W
Feb 28, 2024-25	CMU 73 @ EMU 84	EMU +2.5	EMU W
Jan 14, 2024-25	EMU 63 @ CMU 82	CMU -8.5	CMU W
Mar 8, 2023-24	EMU 62 @ CMU 65	CMU -8.5	EMU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

C Michigan

29 games played

Straight up

8-21

28% wins

Against the spread

16-13

55% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-16

45% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-2128%

W L L W L L L L L L L L L L W L L L W W L L W L W L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

16-1355%

W L W W L W L L L W L L W W W L W L W W W L W L W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-1645%

O U U U O O O O U U U U U U O O U U O U O O U U O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsAPP	W 82-66	-1.5	W +14.5	142.5	O 148
Nov 8	@BRAD	L 54-85	+9.5	L −21.5	147.5	U 139
Nov 13	vsUSA	L 64-66	+5.5	W +3.5	142.5	U 130
Nov 14	vsCOPP	W 82-59	-10.5	W +12.5	142.5	U 141
Nov 20	vsNKU	L 66-90	-4.5	L −28.5	146.5	O 156
Nov 22	@MARQ	L 71-85	+25.5	W +11.5	152.5	O 156
Dec 2	@LUC	L 72-83	+6.5	L −4.5	140.5	O 155
Dec 7	@SLU	L 65-107	+24.5	L −17.5	160.5	O 172
Dec 13	@STBK	L 55-78	+7.5	L −15.5	145.5	U 133
Dec 20	@NIU	L 73-74	+2.5	W +1.5	149.5	U 147
Dec 22	@WIS	L 61-88	+26.5	L −0.5	152.5	U 149
Dec 30	vsOHIO	L 64-80	+6.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 144
Jan 3	vsTOL	L 75-78	+7.5	W +4.5	158.5	U 153
Jan 6	@AKR	L 69-82	+23.5	W +10.5	164.5	U 151
Jan 10	vsKENT	W 87-85	+10.5	W +12.5	156.5	O 172
Jan 13	@M-OH	L 61-100	+15.5	L −23.5	158.5	O 161
Jan 20	vsBALL	L 67-68	+1.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 135
Jan 24	@WMU	L 65-77	+5.5	L −6.5	148.5	U 142
Jan 27	vsEMU	W 100-65	+2.5	W +37.5	139.5	O 165
Jan 31	vsBGSU	W 62-59	+8.5	W +11.5	149.5	U 121
Feb 3	@MASS	L 89-95	+11.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 184
Feb 7	@UL	L 80-85	+2.5	L −2.5	134.5	O 165
Feb 14	vsNIU	W 88-46	-4.5	W +37.5	146.5	U 134
Feb 17	@EMU	L 54-66	+4.5	L −7.5	140.5	U 120
Feb 21	vsWMU	W 83-70	-3.5	W +9.5	150.5	O 153
Feb 24	@KENT	L 81-83	+11.5	W +9.5	156.5	O 164
Feb 28	@BUF	W 75-70	+5.5	W +10.5	151.5	U 145
Mar 3	vsAKR	L 64-77	+11.5	L −1.5	158.5	U 141
Mar 6	@BALL	L 69-85	+2.5	L −13.5	134.5	O 154

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

APP

W 82-66

+14.5

BRAD

L 54-85

−21.5

USA

L 64-66

+3.5

COPP

W 82-59

+12.5

NKU

L 66-90

−28.5

MARQ

L 71-85

+11.5

LUC

L 72-83

−4.5

SLU

L 65-107

−17.5

STBK

L 55-78

−15.5

NIU

L 73-74

+1.5

WIS

L 61-88

−0.5

OHIO

L 64-80

−9.5

TOL

L 75-78

+4.5

AKR

L 69-82

+10.5

KENT

W 87-85

+12.5

M-OH

L 61-100

−23.5

BALL

L 67-68

+0.5

WMU

L 65-77

−6.5

EMU

W 100-65

+37.5

BGSU

W 62-59

+11.5

MASS

L 89-95

+5.5

L 80-85

−2.5

NIU

W 88-46

+37.5

EMU

L 54-66

−7.5

WMU

W 83-70

+9.5

KENT

L 81-83

+9.5

BUF

W 75-70

+10.5

AKR

L 64-77

−1.5

BALL

L 69-85

−13.5

covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

APP

W 82-66

+5.5

BRAD

L 54-85

−8.5

USA

L 64-66

−12.5

COPP

W 82-59

−1.5

NKU

L 66-90

+9.5

MARQ

L 71-85

+3.5

LUC

L 72-83

+14.5

SLU

L 65-107

+11.5

STBK

L 55-78

−12.5

NIU

L 73-74

−2.5

WIS

L 61-88

−3.5

OHIO

L 64-80

−7.5

TOL

L 75-78

−5.5

AKR

L 69-82

−13.5

KENT

W 87-85

+15.5

M-OH

L 61-100

+2.5

BALL

L 67-68

−7.5

WMU

L 65-77

−6.5

EMU

W 100-65

+25.5

BGSU

W 62-59

−28.5

MASS

L 89-95

+31.5

L 80-85

+30.5

NIU

W 88-46

−12.5

EMU

L 54-66

−20.5

WMU

W 83-70

+2.5

KENT

L 81-83

+7.5

BUF

W 75-70

−6.5

AKR

L 64-77

−17.5

BALL

L 69-85

+19.5

over 13under 16avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

E Michigan

30 games played

Straight up

9-21

30% wins

Against the spread

20-10

67% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

9-21

30% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-2130%

W L L W W L W W L L L L W L W L W L L L L L L L L W L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

20-1067%

W W L W W L W W W L L W W W W L W W W L W W W W L W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

9-2130%

U O U U O U U U U U O U O U U U U O U O U U U O U U O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsGAST	W 71-49	-3.5	W +18.5	149.5	U 120
Nov 10	@PITT	L 66-78	+15.5	W +3.5	141.5	O 144
Nov 14	vsIUIN	L 83-90	-4.5	L −11.5	186.5	U 173
Nov 18	@DETM	W 72-62	+1.5	W +11.5	157.5	U 134
Nov 21	vsOAK	W 97-91	+1.5	W +7.5	153.5	O 188
Nov 24	@LOU	L 46-87	+33.5	L −7.5	162.5	U 133
Nov 26	@CIN	W 64-56	+22.5	W +30.5	146.5	U 120
Nov 28	vsNJIT	W 73-55	-14.5	W +3.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 2	@BTLR	L 68-84	+17.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 152
Dec 10	@PFW	L 65-80	+3.5	L −11.5	147.5	U 145
Dec 19	@AKR	L 72-93	+15.5	L −5.5	155.5	O 165
Dec 22	@WRST	L 64-70	+10.5	W +4.5	142.5	U 134
Dec 30	vsMASS	W 80-74	+2.5	W +8.5	148.5	O 154
Jan 3	vsOHIO	L 67-68	+2.5	W +1.5	150.5	U 135
Jan 6	@BALL	W 74-52	+1.5	W +23.5	137.5	U 126
Jan 10	@WMU	L 62-79	-1.5	L −18.5	145.5	U 141
Jan 13	vsNIU	W 77-59	-7.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 136
Jan 17	@BGSU	L 79-85	+11.5	W +5.5	141.5	O 164
Jan 24	vsKENT	L 75-76	+4.5	W +3.5	154.5	U 151
Jan 27	@CMU	L 65-100	-2.5	L −37.5	139.5	O 165
Jan 31	@MASS	L 67-70	+8.5	W +5.5	148.5	U 137
Feb 3	vsAKR	L 64-66	+12.5	W +10.5	153.5	U 130
Feb 7	@APP	L 60-65	+7.5	W +2.5	131.5	U 125
Feb 11	@KENT	L 91-95	+10.5	W +6.5	145.5	O 186
Feb 14	vsWMU	L 62-76	-6.5	L −20.5	143.5	U 138
Feb 17	vsCMU	W 66-54	-4.5	W +7.5	140.5	U 120
Feb 21	@TOL	L 75-94	+8.5	L −10.5	145.5	O 169
Feb 24	vsM-OH	L 64-74	+8.5	L −1.5	151.5	U 138
Mar 3	@BUF	L 67-72	+5.5	W +0.5	143.5	U 139
Mar 6	vsBGSU	L 69-77	+5.5	L −2.5	142.5	O 146

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

GAST

W 71-49

+18.5

PITT

L 66-78

+3.5

IUIN

L 83-90

−11.5

DETM

W 72-62

+11.5

OAK

W 97-91

+7.5

LOU

L 46-87

−7.5

CIN

W 64-56

+30.5

NJIT

W 73-55

+3.5

BTLR

L 68-84

+1.5

PFW

L 65-80

−11.5

AKR

L 72-93

−5.5

WRST

L 64-70

+4.5

MASS

W 80-74

+8.5

OHIO

L 67-68

+1.5

BALL

W 74-52

+23.5

WMU

L 62-79

−18.5

NIU

W 77-59

+10.5

BGSU

L 79-85

+5.5

KENT

L 75-76

+3.5

CMU

L 65-100

−37.5

MASS

L 67-70

+5.5

AKR

L 64-66

+10.5

APP

L 60-65

+2.5

KENT

L 91-95

+6.5

WMU

L 62-76

−20.5

CMU

W 66-54

+7.5

TOL

L 75-94

−10.5

M-OH

L 64-74

−1.5

BUF

L 67-72

+0.5

BGSU

L 69-77

−2.5

covered 20didn’t cover 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

GAST

W 71-49

−29.5

PITT

L 66-78

+2.5

IUIN

L 83-90

−13.5

DETM

W 72-62

−23.5

OAK

W 97-91

+34.5

LOU

L 46-87

−29.5

CIN

W 64-56

−26.5

NJIT

W 73-55

−13.5

BTLR

L 68-84

−1.5

PFW

L 65-80

−2.5

AKR

L 72-93

+9.5

WRST

L 64-70

−8.5

MASS

W 80-74

+5.5

OHIO

L 67-68

−15.5

BALL

W 74-52

−11.5

WMU

L 62-79

−4.5

NIU

W 77-59

−5.5

BGSU

L 79-85

+22.5

KENT

L 75-76

−3.5

CMU

L 65-100

+25.5

MASS

L 67-70

−11.5

AKR

L 64-66

−23.5

APP

L 60-65

−6.5

KENT

L 91-95

+40.5

WMU

L 62-76

−5.5

CMU

W 66-54

−20.5

TOL

L 75-94

+23.5

M-OH

L 64-74

−13.5

BUF

L 67-72

−4.5

BGSU

L 69-77

+3.5

over 9under 21avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

E Michigan has the better starters

Position by position: C Michigan 0, E Michigan 2, even 3

C MichiganBetterE Michigan

G J. Petty TR10.5 pts · 4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 35

EMUBig

G J. Fitzpatrick TR15.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 75

G P. Phat Brooks11.1 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast Score 46

Even

G E. Richards TR9.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 32

G J. Whitaker5.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 1 ast Score 11

Even

G B. Green4.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 9

G J. Kampen4.1 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 16

EMUBig

F M. Habhab14.2 pts · 8.3 reb · 3.1 ast Score 64

F K. Garner7.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 35

Even

F K. Brockhoff TR10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2 ast Score 44

C MichiganBetterE Michigan

CMU offense258th of 366 · -8.0

EMUSmall

EMU defense188th of 366 · -4.4

CMU defense287th of 366 · -7.2

EMUSmall

EMU offense206th of 366 · -6.3

Backcourt-6.1 · 4 players

EMUBig

Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players

Frontcourt-1.1 · 1 player

EMUSmall

Frontcourt+0.1 · 2 players

BenchNo numbers yet

No call

Bench-0.3 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestCMU betterEMU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

C Michigan

Guards

J. Petty31 min · TRP. Phat Brooks29 minJ. Whitaker18 minJ. Kampen14 minJ. HackettNewU. AmeneNew

Forwards

K. Garner25 minT. AmbroseNewN. UsenNewJ. BascomNew

Centers

C. LuczynskiNewK. AburashedNewB. MendozaNew

E Michigan

Guards

J. Fitzpatrick36 min · TRE. Richards27 min · TRB. Green20 minG. Lawson18 minS. Harris17 min · TRD. PorterNew

Forwards

M. Habhab36 minK. Brockhoff22 min · TRK. JohnsonNewJ. WrightNewO. SuleimanNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

CMU71.7 #256

EMU70.2 #282

Points per possession

CMU1.05 #248

EMU1.02 #298

Pace (possessions)

CMU68.3 #212

EMU68.9 #190

Shooting

Effective FG%

CMU51.8 #158

EMU49.6 #264

3-point %

CMU33.9 #181

EMU32.4 #259

3-point attempt rate

CMU34.0 #293

EMU31.8 #332

Free throw rate

CMU31.4 #269

EMU29.3 #325

Possessions

Turnover rate

CMU18.1 #279

EMU17.5 #235

Offensive rebound rate

CMU29.2 #230

EMU27.8 #273

Assists per game

CMU14.4 #120

EMU12.4 #261

Defense

Points allowed

CMU77.7 #258

EMU74.4 #169

Points allowed per possession

CMU1.14 #301

EMU1.07 #142

Opponent effective FG%

CMU54.0 #299

EMU50.3 #115

Opponent 3-point %

CMU35.5 #282

EMU32.9 #111

Turnovers forced

CMU16.9 #157

EMU15.5 #249

Defensive rebound rate

CMU65.7 #323

EMU70.9 #109

Steals per game

CMU6.1 #219

EMU5.7 #269

Blocks per game

CMU4.1 #64

EMU4.1 #61

CMU		EMU
Scoring
71.7 #256	Points per game	70.2 #282
1.05 #248	Points per possession	1.02 #298
68.3 #212	Pace (possessions)	68.9 #190
Shooting
51.8 #158	Effective FG%	49.6 #264
33.9 #181	3-point %	32.4 #259
34.0 #293	3-point attempt rate	31.8 #332
31.4 #269	Free throw rate	29.3 #325
Possessions
18.1 #279	Turnover rate	17.5 #235
29.2 #230	Offensive rebound rate	27.8 #273
14.4 #120	Assists per game	12.4 #261
Defense
77.7 #258	Points allowed	74.4 #169
1.14 #301	Points allowed per possession	1.07 #142
54.0 #299	Opponent effective FG%	50.3 #115
35.5 #282	Opponent 3-point %	32.9 #111
16.9 #157	Turnovers forced	15.5 #249
65.7 #323	Defensive rebound rate	70.9 #109
6.1 #219	Steals per game	5.7 #269
4.1 #64	Blocks per game	4.1 #61

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

C Michigan

8-21 in 2025-26 overall · 6-12 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Ball State69–85
Lvs Akron64–77
W@ Buffalo75–70
L@ Kent State81–83
Wvs W Michigan83–70

A week or more of rest.

E Michigan

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Bowling Green69–77
L@ Buffalo67–72
Lvs Miami OH64–74
L@ Toledo75–94
Wvs C Michigan66–54

A week or more of rest.

Central Michigan Chippewas at Eastern Michigan Eagles

What could decide it: EMU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

C Michigan

E Michigan

E Michigan has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

C Michigan

E Michigan