1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. CBU vs PORT
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

California Baptist Lancers vs Portland Pilots

Acrisure Arena · Neutral site
#203CBUCA Baptist
vs
#169PORTPortland
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CBUThis seasonPORT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PORT 74–72 · win probability PORT 56%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CBU has more of the edges

CBU 3, PORT 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CBUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CBU 37.5%, PORT 28.1%. Defensive: CBU 72.8%, PORT 67.5%
CBUBig
Three-pointers
CBU hits 33.4% and allows 29.5%; PORT hits 29.9% and allows 36.1%. Threes are 32.0% and 35.4% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
CBU has played the 202nd-hardest schedule, PORT the 124th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CBUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CBU 48.3 and allows 46.3; PORT 51.2 and allows 52.7
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: CBU plays 68.3 a game (217th fastest), PORT 70.2 (106th). Faster games mean more points
PORTSmall
CBU offense vs PORT defense
Offense 246th of 366 against a defense 202nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CBU 18%, PORT 41%. Transfers in: CBU 2, PORT 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CBU 35.9, PORT 34.4. Allowed: CBU 36.6, PORT 32.6
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CBU 18.0%, PORT 19.6%. Forced: CBU 16.9%, PORT 17.0%
Even
PORT offense vs CBU defense
Offense 156th of 366 against a defense 178th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PORT -1.6—
Total—146.0—
Projected score—CBU 72.2 · PORT 73.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPORT -0.8—
1H total68.3—
1H projected scoreCBU 33.7 · PORT 34.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

CA Baptist has the better starters

Position by position: CA Baptist 1, Portland 0, even 4
CA BaptistBetterPortland
G E. Duncan TR10.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 67
CBUSmall
G J. Olvera TR13.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 51
G J. Muller4.4 pts · 1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 7
Even
G K. Isaac TR5 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 10
G J. Dollar1.9 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Censori-Hercules3.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 22
F R. D'Amelio2.6 pts · 3 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. O'Donnell9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 60
F N. Richart TR0.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F T. George11.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 93
CA BaptistBetterPortland
CBU offense246th of 366 · -7.5
Even
PORT defense202nd of 366 · -5.0
CBU defense178th of 366 · -4.0
Even
PORT offense156th of 366 · -4.7
Backcourt-2.2 · 3 players
CBUBig
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 2 players
PORTBig
Frontcourt+2.9 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.2 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestCBU betterPORT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
CA Baptist
Guards
E. Duncan21 min · TRJ. Muller21 minJ. Dollar5 minT. ConerNewJ. StonkusNewO. BlanksonNew
Forwards
R. D'Amelio11 minN. Richart7 min · TRA. MilenkovicNewJ. ZilinskasNewA. SafinNew
Centers
M. KovacNew
Portland
Guards
J. Olvera29 min · TRK. Isaac24 min · TRD. Censori-Hercules21 minR. Parker19 minH. Adam15 min · TRR. NanceNew
Forwards
J. O'Donnell23 minT. George20 minV. Perkovic7 min · TRO. SukurNewH. SewellNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CBUPORT
Scoring
72.7 #230Points per game72.1 #238
1.07 #209Points per possession1.02 #299
68.3 #217Pace (possessions)70.2 #106
Shooting
48.3 #308Effective FG%51.2 #188
33.4 #2003-point %29.9 #344
32.0 #3303-point attempt rate35.4 #263
35.9 #154Free throw rate34.4 #197
Possessions
18.0 #270Turnover rate19.6 #342
37.5 #13Offensive rebound rate28.1 #266
10.2 #355Assists per game15.9 #51
Defense
67.6 #28Points allowed78.1 #271
0.99 #18Points allowed per possession1.11 #258
46.3 #16Opponent effective FG%52.7 #255
29.5 #5Opponent 3-point %36.1 #308
16.9 #159Turnovers forced17.0 #148
72.8 #41Defensive rebound rate67.5 #281
5.5 #296Steals per game5.8 #251
2.9 #253Blocks per game2.9 #246
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

CA Baptist

25-9 in 2025-26 overall · 15-5 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Kansas60–68
  • Wvs Utah Valley63–61
  • Wvs Utah Tech86–72
  • W@ Southern Utah82–75
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn87–48

A week or more of rest.

Portland

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs San Francisco65–82
  • Wvs Washington St74–68
  • Wvs Pepperdine77–68
  • Wvs San Diego87–74
  • L@ Gonzaga48–89

A week or more of rest.