Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · at CA Baptist · Conference game
Closing line
CBU -8.5✓ CBU covered by 6.5
CBU -8.5✓ CBU covered by 6.5Closing total139.5Over by 9.5
 TAR | This season | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-15 | Record | 20-8 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 13-12 | O/U | 9-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TAR 68–74 CBU · ✓ CBU (71%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| CBU | 40 | 42 | 82 |
1st half: TAR 29, CBU 40 (CBU by 11). The model had CBU by 3.7 and a total of 66.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| TAR | CBU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 3-8 38% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 24-29 83% |
| 38 18 off | Rebounds | 33 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mizell G | 28 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Andy Sigiscar F | 13 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Kade Douglas G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dior Johnson G | 29 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 7-17 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Dormu G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Freddy Hicks G | 23 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 22 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Damion Porter Jr. G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Thomas G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Roy Marom G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Martinez G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: AJ Dent, Jaden Jinks, Matyas Vrabel, Malek Archie, Leroy Kelly IV, Cam McDowell
| CBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. G | 37 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 7-19 | 4-11 |
| Martel Williams G | 32 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Jackson G | 28 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Jonathan Griman F | 25 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bradey Henige F | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Thomas Ndong F | 18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Miles Daniels G | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Devon Malcolm G | 14 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Jordan Muller G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jalen Dollar G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Rene D'Amelio F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nate Garcia, OJ Blankson, Chase Mayo Harmon, Mouhamadou Dioum, Monty Bowser
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCBU -8.5
ModelCBU -6.4
Model edgeTAR +2.1
L CBU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
TAR 67.5 · CBU 73.9
TAR 67 · CBU 82
Win probability
CBU 71%
1st half
Spread
CBU -3.7
CBU -11.0
Total
66.2
69 points
Projected score
TAR 31.2 · CBU 34.9
TAR 29 · CBU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCBU -7.5
1 → CBU
CloseCBU -8.5
1 pt toward CBU
Total
Open137.5
▲ 2
Close139.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TAR +295 · CBU -375
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CBU -7.5 · closed CBU -8.5 · moved 1 toward CBUmodel CBU -6.5
model CBU -6.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| CBU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
TAR 3–6 CBUCBU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · TAR 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025-26 | TAR 55 @ CBU 56 | CBU -10.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | CBU 76 @ TAR 81 | TAR -1.5 | TAR W |
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | TAR 51 vs CBU 55 | CBU -5.5 | TAR W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | TAR 48 @ CBU 68 | CBU -7.5 | CBU W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | CBU 57 @ TAR 67 | TAR +3.5 | TAR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tarleton St
25 games played
Straight up
10-15
40% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @ MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 29 | @ UTA | W 69-63 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs UVU | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vsCBU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vs ACU | L 80-84 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 15 | @ SUU | L 105-106 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTU | L 71-75 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @UTA | L 64-71 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsUVU | L 55-83 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 31 | vsUTU | L 59-65 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 5 | @CBU | L 55-56 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 7 | @SUU | W 62-59 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 14 | @ACU | L 59-73 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | vsACU | W 65-62 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 19 | vsSUU | W 78-74 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | vsUTU | L 72-80 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 26 | @UVU | L 72-79 | +17.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
+8.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
−0.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+3.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
−8.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
−4.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−0.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−3.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−21.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−7.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
+9.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
+1.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−10.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
+4.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
−0.5
21
vsUTU
UTUL 72-80
−9.5
26
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
−4.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
+31.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+9.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
+23.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
+60.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−4.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−7.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−16.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−25.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
−27.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
−28.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−2.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
−7.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
+7.5
21
vsUTU
UTUL 72-80
+11.5
26
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+9.5
over 13under 12avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
CA Baptist
28 games played
Straight up
20-8
71% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-19
32% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UPST | W 87-75 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ UCI | W 69-61 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs WIU | W 69-59 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCR | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs GRAM | W 72-59 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs USD | W 76-61 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 29 | @ ORST | W 75-69 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 1 | @ COLO | L 70-78 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ BYU | L 60-91 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ UTAH | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 12 | @ EWU | W 88-83 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs SOU | W 75-67 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs SAC | W 74-67 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @UVU | L 66-73 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | @UTA | L 51-63 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 3 | @TAR | L 76-81 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vsUTU | W 84-72 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vsSUU | W 58-55 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 15 | @ACU | W 74-58 | +1.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 21 | vsUTU | W 73-64 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | vsUVU | W 78-71 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @UTA | W 87-77 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 5 | vsTAR | W 56-55 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 7 | vsACU | W 65-63 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 12 | @SUU | W 83-66 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 14 | @UTU | L 65-70 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 19 | @UVU | L 46-65 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 26 | vsUTA | W 68-56 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
−2.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
+16.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−5.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
+10.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−1.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
+7.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+7.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
+5.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−12.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
−0.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+1.5
16
vsSOU
SOUW 75-67
−4.5
20
vsSAC
SACW 74-67
−7.5
29
@UVU
UVUL 66-73
+0.5
1
@UTA
UTAL 51-63
−14.5
3
@TAR
TARL 76-81
−3.5
8
vsUTU
UTUW 84-72
+4.5
10
vsSUU
SUUW 58-55
−11.5
15
@ACU
ACUW 74-58
+17.5
21
vsUTU
UTUW 73-64
+0.5
24
vsUVU
UVUW 78-71
+5.5
31
@UTA
UTAW 87-77
+8.5
5
vsTAR
TARW 56-55
−9.5
7
vsACU
ACUW 65-63
−6.5
12
@SUU
SUUW 83-66
+11.5
14
@UTU
UTUL 65-70
−7.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 46-65
−10.5
26
vsUTA
UTAW 68-56
+5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
+9.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
−17.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−12.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
−5.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−13.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
−9.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+6.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−2.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−2.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
+30.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+17.5
16
vsSOU
SOUW 75-67
−13.5
20
vsSAC
SACW 74-67
−17.5
29
@UVU
UVUL 66-73
−9.5
1
@UTA
UTAL 51-63
−20.5
3
@TAR
TARL 76-81
+9.5
8
vsUTU
UTUW 84-72
+11.5
10
vsSUU
SUUW 58-55
−37.5
15
@ACU
ACUW 74-58
−8.5
21
vsUTU
UTUW 73-64
−6.5
24
vsUVU
UVUW 78-71
+1.5
31
@UTA
UTAW 87-77
+29.5
5
vsTAR
TARW 56-55
−27.5
7
vsACU
ACUW 65-63
−7.5
12
@SUU
SUUW 83-66
+1.5
14
@UTU
UTUL 65-70
−8.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 46-65
−31.5
26
vsUTA
UTAW 68-56
−10.5
over 9under 19avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tarleton St
10-15 overall · 5-11 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Utah Valley72–79
- Lvs Utah Tech72–80
- Wvs Southern Utah78–74
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn65–62
- L@ Abilene Chrstn59–73
2 days since their last game.
CA Baptist
20-8 overall · 10-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Arlington68–56
- L@ Utah Valley46–65
- L@ Utah Tech65–70
- W@ Southern Utah83–66
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn65–63
2 days since their last game.