1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. DEL @ UCLA
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

Delaware Blue Hens at UCLA Bruins

Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA
#206DELDelaware
@
#26UCLAUCLA AP #22
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DELThis seasonUCLA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UCLA 84–59 · win probability UCLA 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UCLA has more of the edges

DEL 0, UCLA 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UCLABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DEL 18.3%, UCLA 13.4%. Forced: DEL 14.0%, UCLA 18.5%
UCLABig
DEL offense vs UCLA defense
Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 14th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DEL has played the 195th-hardest schedule, UCLA the 22nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
UCLABig
UCLA offense vs DEL defense
Offense 47th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings
UCLASmall
Three-pointers
DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%; UCLA hits 37.9% and allows 32.0%. Threes are 46.2% and 35.5% of their shots
UCLASmall
Home court
UCLA at home. This season: UCLA 0-0 at home, DEL 0-0 away
UCLASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DEL 20.8%, UCLA 31.1%. Defensive: DEL 68.9%, UCLA 66.7%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5; UCLA 53.4 and allows 50.4
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DEL 30.6, UCLA 33.1. Allowed: DEL 30.2, UCLA 34.4
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: DEL plays 65.3 a game (337th fastest), UCLA 66.5 (297th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DEL 46%, UCLA 50%. Transfers in: DEL 6, UCLA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UCLA -25.0—
Total—143.1—
Projected score—DEL 59.1 · UCLA 84

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUCLA -14.7—
1H total67.0—
1H projected scoreDEL 26.1 · UCLA 40.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

UCLA has the better starters

Position by position: Delaware 0, UCLA 3, even 2
DelawareBetterUCLA
G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21
UCLABig
G J. Petty TR9.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 2.2 ast Score 70
G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
UCLABig
G T. Perry12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.8 ast Score 93
G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
No call
F E. Dailey11.6 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 88
G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
No call
F S. Macura TR5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 71
F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44
UCLASmall
C X. Booker7.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 75
DelawareBetterUCLA
DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3
UCLABig
UCLA defense14th of 366 · +6.4
DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3
UCLABig
UCLA offense47th of 366 · +3.8
Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players
UCLABig
Backcourt+3.8 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
UCLABig
Frontcourt+5.0 · 3 players
Bench-2.8 · 5 players
UCLASmall
Bench+0.2 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestDEL betterUCLA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Delaware
Guards
D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR
Forwards
K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew
Centers
S. Solano4 min · TR
UCLA
Guards
J. Petty30 min · TRT. Perry30 minA. Robinson18 min · TRE. Freeny11 minM. AlstonNewJ. HouegbanNew
Forwards
E. Dailey28 minS. Macura19 min · TRB. Williams12 minJ. PhilonNewN. KusturicaNewG. GrinvaldsNew
Centers
X. Booker20 minF. Jovic18 min · TRJ. FloydNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DELUCLA
Scoring
67.9 #316Points per game77.0 #115
1.04 #269Points per possession1.16 #48
65.3 #337Pace (possessions)66.5 #297
Shooting
53.3 #89Effective FG%53.4 #85
36.8 #313-point %37.9 #19
46.2 #443-point attempt rate35.5 #259
30.6 #291Free throw rate33.1 #237
Possessions
18.3 #287Turnover rate13.4 #14
20.8 #362Offensive rebound rate31.1 #162
12.2 #271Assists per game16.1 #45
Defense
74.1 #156Points allowed71.1 #75
1.13 #298Points allowed per possession1.07 #129
51.5 #185Opponent effective FG%50.4 #120
35.1 #255Opponent 3-point %32.0 #64
14.0 #334Turnovers forced18.5 #76
68.9 #206Defensive rebound rate66.7 #304
5.7 #273Steals per game6.7 #156
3.0 #219Blocks per game3.0 #218
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
  • Wvs Sam Houston83–80
  • L@ Kennesaw St82–90
  • L@ Jax State70–80
  • L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.

UCLA

24-12 in 2025-26 overall · 15-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn57–73
  • Wvs UCF75–71
  • Lvs Purdue66–73
  • Wvs Michigan St88–84
  • Wvs Rutgers72–59

A week or more of rest.