Honda Center · Neutral site
LineNo line yet
Total—
| This season | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects GONZ 78–72 · win probability GONZ 70%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it
GONZ 2, UCLA 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GONZ 34.8%, UCLA 31.1%. Defensive: GONZ 74.3%, UCLA 66.7%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: GONZ plays 70.4 a game (98th fastest), UCLA 66.5 (297th). Faster games mean more points
Shooting
Effective FG%: GONZ 55.6 and allows 46.3; UCLA 53.4 and allows 50.4
Three-pointers
GONZ hits 33.3% and allows 30.6%; UCLA hits 37.9% and allows 32.0%. Threes are 30.8% and 35.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
GONZ has played the 84th-hardest schedule, UCLA the 22nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GONZ 21%, UCLA 50%. Transfers in: GONZ 5, UCLA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
UCLA offense vs GONZ defense
Offense 47th of 366 against a defense 21st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: GONZ 13.7%, UCLA 13.4%. Forced: GONZ 19.9%, UCLA 18.5%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: GONZ 31.0, UCLA 33.1. Allowed: GONZ 30.9, UCLA 34.4
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
GONZ offense vs UCLA defense
Offense 14th of 366 against a defense 14th, on the model’s ratings
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | GONZ -6.0 | — |
| Total | — | 150.2 | — |
| Projected score | — | GONZ 78.1 · UCLA 72.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GONZ -3.7 | — |
| 1H total | 70.2 | — |
| 1H projected score | GONZ 37 · UCLA 33.3 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% | |
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GONZ 4–1 UCLAGONZ leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · GONZ 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025-26 | UCLA 72 vs GONZ 82 | GONZ -10.5 | UCLA W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | GONZ 62 vs UCLA 65 | UCLA +4.5 | UCLA W |
| Nov 22, 2023-24 | GONZ 69 vs UCLA 65 | UCLA +4.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 23, 2022-23 | GONZ 79 vs UCLA 76 | UCLA +1.5 | GONZ W |
| Nov 23, 2021-22 | GONZ 83 vs UCLA 63 | UCLA +7 | GONZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Gonzaga
35 games played
Straight up
31-4
89% wins
Against the spread
18-17
51% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-24
31% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Against the spread
18-1751%
2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 98-43 | -29.5 | W +25.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 83-68 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 90-63 | -12.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 14 | @ | W 77-65 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 122-50 | -35.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 95-85 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 100-61 | -14.5 | W +24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 61-101 | -3.5 | L −43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs | W 94-59 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 109-58 | -42.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 82-72 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 98-70 | -36.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 91-82 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | @ | W 96-56 | -29.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 99-93 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 80-72 | -24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 82-47 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 89-77 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 15 | @ | W 86-65 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 71-50 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 84-60 | -28.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 68-66 | -15.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 73-65 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 80-87 | -22.5 | L −29.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 81-61 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 10 | vs | W 83-53 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 18 | @ | W 80-59 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 71-62 | -22.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 89-48 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 59-70 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 9 | vs | W 65-56 | -20.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 10 | vs | W 79-68 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Mar 19 | vs | W 73-64 | -20.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 21 | vs | L 68-74 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TXSO
W 98-43
+25.5
8
vs
OU
W 83-68
+4.5
11
vs
CREI
W 90-63
+14.5
14
@
ASU
W 77-65
−1.5
17
vs
SUU
W 122-50
+36.5
24
vs
ALA
W 95-85
+5.5
25
vs
MD
W 100-61
+24.5
26
vs
MICH
L 61-101
−43.5
5
vs
UK
W 94-59
+29.5
7
vs
UNF
W 109-58
+8.5
13
vs
UCLA
W 82-72
−0.5
17
vs
CAM
W 98-70
−8.5
21
vs
ORE
W 91-82
−3.5
28
@
PEPP
W 96-56
+10.5
30
@
USD
W 99-93
−23.5
2
vs
SEA
W 80-72
−16.5
4
vs
LMU
W 82-47
+9.5
8
vs
SCU
W 89-77
−5.5
15
@
WSU
W 86-65
+4.5
17
@
SEA
W 71-50
+11.5
21
vs
PEPP
W 84-60
−4.5
24
vs
SF
W 68-66
−13.5
31
vs
SMC
W 73-65
−0.5
4
@
PORT
L 80-87
−29.5
7
@
ORST
W 81-61
+0.5
10
vs
WSU
W 83-53
+8.5
14
@
SCU
W 94-86
+3.5
18
@
SF
W 80-59
+5.5
21
vs
PAC
W 71-62
−13.5
25
vs
PORT
W 89-48
+14.5
28
@
SMC
L 59-70
−13.5
9
vs
ORST
W 65-56
−11.5
10
vs
SCU
W 79-68
+2.5
19
vs
KENN
W 73-64
−11.5
21
vs
TEX
L 68-74
−11.5
covered 18didn’t cover 17avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
TXSO
W 98-43
−16.5
8
vs
OU
W 83-68
−15.5
11
vs
CREI
W 90-63
−11.5
14
@
ASU
W 77-65
−16.5
17
vs
SUU
W 122-50
+11.5
24
vs
ALA
W 95-85
+1.5
25
vs
MD
W 100-61
+3.5
26
vs
MICH
L 61-101
−3.5
5
vs
UK
W 94-59
−6.5
7
vs
UNF
W 109-58
+0.5
13
vs
UCLA
W 82-72
+6.5
17
vs
CAM
W 98-70
+7.5
21
vs
ORE
W 91-82
+17.5
28
@
PEPP
W 96-56
−0.5
30
@
USD
W 99-93
+31.5
2
vs
SEA
W 80-72
−3.5
4
vs
LMU
W 82-47
−25.5
8
vs
SCU
W 89-77
+2.5
15
@
WSU
W 86-65
−4.5
17
@
SEA
W 71-50
−29.5
21
vs
PEPP
W 84-60
−6.5
24
vs
SF
W 68-66
−15.5
31
vs
SMC
W 73-65
−6.5
4
@
PORT
L 80-87
+14.5
7
@
ORST
W 81-61
−7.5
10
vs
WSU
W 83-53
−20.5
14
@
SCU
W 94-86
+21.5
18
@
SF
W 80-59
−12.5
21
vs
PAC
W 71-62
−11.5
25
vs
PORT
W 89-48
−13.5
28
@
SMC
L 59-70
−14.5
9
vs
ORST
W 65-56
−24.5
10
vs
SCU
W 79-68
−10.5
19
vs
KENN
W 73-64
−15.5
21
vs
TEX
L 68-74
−4.5
over 11under 24avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
36 games played
Straight up
24-12
67% wins
Against the spread
17-19
47% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-19
47% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Against the spread
17-1947%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 98-66 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 59-82 | +8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 95-94 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 81-62 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 72-52 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 89-68 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 72-59 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 14 | vs | L 66-73 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 20 | vs | W 75-71 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 22 | vs | L 57-73 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
EWU
W 80-74
−23.5
7
vs
PEPP
W 74-63
−18.5
10
vs
WGA
W 83-62
−9.5
14
vs
ARIZ
L 65-69
−2.5
18
vs
SAC
W 79-48
+3.5
21
vs
PRES
W 86-46
+14.5
25
vs
CAL
L 72-80
−15.5
3
@
WASH
W 82-80
−0.5
6
vs
ORE
W 74-63
+2.5
13
vs
GONZ
L 72-82
+0.5
17
vs
ASU
W 90-77
+3.5
19
vs
CP
W 108-87
−3.5
23
vs
UCR
W 97-65
+7.5
3
@
IOWA
L 61-74
−6.5
6
@
WIS
L 72-80
−4.5
10
vs
MD
W 67-55
−1.5
14
@
PSU
W 71-60
+6.5
17
@
OSU
L 74-86
−7.5
20
vs
PUR
W 69-67
+7.5
24
vs
NU
W 71-64
−0.5
28
@
ORE
W 73-57
+11.5
31
vs
IU
L 97-98
−4.5
3
vs
RUTG
W 98-66
+18.5
7
vs
WASH
W 77-73
−0.5
14
@
MICH
L 56-86
−14.5
17
@
MSU
L 59-82
−14.5
21
vs
ILL
W 95-94
+7.5
24
vs
USC
W 81-62
+12.5
28
@
MINN
L 73-78
−6.5
3
vs
NEB
W 72-52
+18.5
7
@
USC
W 89-68
+16.5
12
vs
RUTG
W 72-59
+2.5
13
vs
MSU
W 88-84
+9.5
14
vs
PUR
L 66-73
+0.5
20
vs
UCF
W 75-71
−1.5
22
vs
CONN
L 57-73
−10.5
covered 17didn’t cover 19avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
EWU
W 80-74
+4.5
7
vs
PEPP
W 74-63
−15.5
10
vs
WGA
W 83-62
−1.5
14
vs
ARIZ
L 65-69
−19.5
18
vs
SAC
W 79-48
−19.5
21
vs
PRES
W 86-46
+0.5
25
vs
CAL
L 72-80
+8.5
3
@
WASH
W 82-80
+20.5
6
vs
ORE
W 74-63
−9.5
13
vs
GONZ
L 72-82
+6.5
17
vs
ASU
W 90-77
+24.5
19
vs
CP
W 108-87
+33.5
23
vs
UCR
W 97-65
+13.5
3
@
IOWA
L 61-74
−5.5
6
@
WIS
L 72-80
−0.5
10
vs
MD
W 67-55
−25.5
14
@
PSU
W 71-60
−17.5
17
@
OSU
L 74-86
+13.5
20
vs
PUR
W 69-67
−11.5
24
vs
NU
W 71-64
−8.5
28
@
ORE
W 73-57
−6.5
31
vs
IU
L 97-98
+50.5
3
vs
RUTG
W 98-66
+21.5
7
vs
WASH
W 77-73
+5.5
14
@
MICH
L 56-86
−14.5
17
@
MSU
L 59-82
+1.5
21
vs
ILL
W 95-94
+42.5
24
vs
USC
W 81-62
−7.5
28
@
MINN
L 73-78
+14.5
3
vs
NEB
W 72-52
−20.5
7
@
USC
W 89-68
+5.5
12
vs
RUTG
W 72-59
−10.5
13
vs
MSU
W 88-84
+30.5
14
vs
PUR
L 66-73
−4.5
20
vs
UCF
W 75-71
−5.5
22
vs
CONN
L 57-73
−5.5
over 17under 19avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Gonzaga has the better starters
Position by position: Gonzaga 2, UCLA 0, even 3
GonzagaBetterUCLA
G J. Bennett TR15.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 85
←GONZSmall
G J. Petty TR9.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 70
G X. Lee TR11.6 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 94
=Even
G T. Perry12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 93
F C. Wiggins TR13.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 81
=Even
F E. Dailey11.6 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 88
F B. Huff17.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 99
←GONZSmall
F S. Macura TR5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 71
C M. Diop TR13.6 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 86
=Even
C X. Booker7.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 75
GonzagaBetterUCLA
GONZ offense14th of 366 · +9.4
=Even
UCLA defense14th of 366 · +6.4
GONZ defense21st of 366 · +5.3
=Even
UCLA offense47th of 366 · +3.8
Backcourt+5.5 · 2 players
←GONZSmall
Backcourt+3.8 · 2 players
Frontcourt+12.3 · 3 players
←GONZBig
Frontcourt+5.0 · 3 players
Bench+2.8 · 2 players
←GONZSmall
Bench+0.2 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestGONZ betterUCLA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
J. Bennett35 min · TRX. Lee27 min · TRD. Fogle17 minI. Harwell14 min · TRN. De SousaNewA. MetzNew
Forwards
C. Wiggins28 min · TRB. Huff26 minI. AlmansaNewP. JeffersonNewS. FunchesNewL. FosterNew
Centers
M. Diop30 min · TR
Guards
J. Petty30 min · TRT. Perry30 minA. Robinson18 min · TRE. Freeny11 minM. AlstonNewJ. HouegbanNew
Forwards
E. Dailey28 minS. Macura19 min · TRB. Williams12 minJ. PhilonNewN. KusturicaNewG. GrinvaldsNew
Centers
X. Booker20 minF. Jovic18 min · TRJ. FloydNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 84.3 #17 | Points per game | 77.0 #115 |
| 1.20 #13 | Points per possession | 1.16 #48 |
| 70.4 #98 | Pace (possessions) | 66.5 #297 |
| Shooting | ||
| 55.6 #25 | Effective FG% | 53.4 #85 |
| 33.3 #212 | 3-point % | 37.9 #19 |
| 30.8 #342 | 3-point attempt rate | 35.5 #259 |
| 31.0 #282 | Free throw rate | 33.1 #237 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.7 #17 | Turnover rate | 13.4 #14 |
| 34.8 #52 | Offensive rebound rate | 31.1 #162 |
| 18.4 #7 | Assists per game | 16.1 #45 |
| Defense | ||
| 66.2 #15 | Points allowed | 71.1 #75 |
| 0.94 #1 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #129 |
| 46.3 #15 | Opponent effective FG% | 50.4 #120 |
| 30.6 #23 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.0 #64 |
| 19.9 #25 | Turnovers forced | 18.5 #76 |
| 74.3 #16 | Defensive rebound rate | 66.7 #304 |
| 8.4 #23 | Steals per game | 6.7 #156 |
| 3.7 #116 | Blocks per game | 3.0 #218 |
Gonzaga
31-4 in 2025-26 overall · 18-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas68–74
- Wvs Kennesaw St73–64
- Wvs Santa Clara79–68
- Wvs Oregon St65–56
- L@ Saint Mary's59–70
A week or more of rest.
UCLA
24-12 in 2025-26 overall · 15-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UConn57–73
- Wvs UCF75–71
- Lvs Purdue66–73
- Wvs Michigan St88–84
- Wvs Rutgers72–59
A week or more of rest.