Pete Mathews Coliseum · at Jax State · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -3.5✓ JXST covered by 0.5
LIB -3.5✓ JXST covered by 0.5Closing total139.5Over by 19.5
| LIB | This season | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| 20-5 | Record | 11-14 |
| 11-14 | ATS | 10-15 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 15-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 71–68 JXST · ✓ LIB (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 27 | 54 | 81 |
| JXST | 34 | 44 | 78 |
1st half: LIB 27, JXST 34 (JXST by 7). The model had LIB by 1.8 and a total of 64.8 (actual 61).
Team stats
| LIB | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-50 56% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 25 3 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny G | 38 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 8-13 | 6-11 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 36 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 36 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Colin Porter G | 36 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| JJ Harper G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Zander Carter G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Torr Sorensen, Drew Grimes, Isaiah Ihnen, Brady Kester, TJ Drain, JC Shirer Jr., Zander Yates
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaye Nash G | 32 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 30 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 26 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 6-17 | 2-4 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 21 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 29 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 24 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Connor Loy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Ben Vungo, AC Bryant, Thomas Tut, Aitor Anabitarte
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -3.5
no move
CloseLIB -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 2
Close139.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LIB -175 · JXST +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -3.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -3
model LIB -3
Opened 141.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 downmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -3.5 | LIB -2.9 | JXST +0.6 | W JXST covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 138.4 | Under 1.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LIB 70.7 · JXST 67.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -1.8 | JXST -7.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 33.3 · JXST 31.5 | LIB 27 · JXST 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| JXST | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
LIB 5–4 JXSTLIB leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 3 meetings · LIB 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | JXST 69 @ LIB 78 | LIB -9.5 | JXST W |
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | JXST 67 vs LIB 79 | LIB -5.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | JXST 55 @ LIB 59 | LIB -6.5 | JXST W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LIB 61 @ JXST 72 | JXST +3.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | LIB 62 @ JXST 73 | JXST +5.5 | JXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vsJXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs NMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs DEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @ MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vs MOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @NMSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @UTEP | W 73-64 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 19 | vsFIU | W 90-89 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 21 | vsWKU | L 73-94 | -7.5 | L −28.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 26 | @KENN | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
−1.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
+2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
−8.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
−28.5
26
@KENN
KENNL 65-74
−10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+7.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
−2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
+26.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
+19.5
26
@KENN
KENNL 65-74
−13.5
over 14under 11avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jax State
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vsWKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @LIB | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vsFIU | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @KENN | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vsSHSU | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsLT | W 64-60 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsMTSU | W 75-58 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @FIU | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 31 | @MOST | L 67-74 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | @WKU | W 71-66 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vsKENN | W 77-58 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 11 | vsUTEP | L 64-69 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | vsNMSU | L 70-79 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 18 | @LT | L 71-77 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 21 | @SHSU | L 78-82 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 26 | vsDEL | W 80-70 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+0.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
+5.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
−0.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−16.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−0.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
+18.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 78-74
+7.5
31
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−2.5
5
@WKU
WKUW 71-66
+9.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 77-58
+20.5
11
vsUTEP
UTEPL 64-69
−11.5
14
vsNMSU
NMSUL 70-79
−10.5
18
@LT
LTL 71-77
−3.5
21
@SHSU
SHSUL 78-82
+2.5
26
vsDEL
DELW 80-70
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+12.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
−15.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
+20.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−11.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
−0.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 78-74
+3.5
31
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
+5.5
5
@WKU
WKUW 71-66
−3.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 77-58
−14.5
11
vsUTEP
UTEPL 64-69
−1.5
14
vsNMSU
NMSUL 70-79
+9.5
18
@LT
LTL 71-77
+15.5
21
@SHSU
SHSUL 78-82
+12.5
26
vsDEL
DELW 80-70
+16.5
over 15under 10avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
20-5 overall · 15-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kennesaw St65–74
- Lvs Western KY73–94
- Wvs FIU90–89
- W@ UTEP73–64
- W@ New Mexico St77–75
2 days since their last game.
Jax State
11-14 overall · 9-8 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Delaware80–70
- L@ Sam Houston78–82
- L@ Louisiana Tech71–77
- Lvs New Mexico St70–79
- Lvs UTEP64–69
2 days since their last game.