1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. FIU @ UAB
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Florida International Panthers at UAB Blazers

Bartow Arena · at UAB
#178FIUFIU
@
#102UABUAB
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FIUThis seasonUAB
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UAB 83–73 · win probability UAB 80%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 156.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UAB has more of the edges

FIU 0, UAB 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UABBig
UAB offense vs FIU defense
Offense 82nd of 366 against a defense 217th, on the model’s ratings
UABBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FIU 33.9%, UAB 32.5%. Defensive: FIU 65.2%, UAB 72.3%
UABSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: FIU 38.6, UAB 36.4. Allowed: FIU 35.9, UAB 28.6
UABSmall
Home court
UAB at home. This season: UAB 0-0 at home, FIU 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: FIU 50.6 and allows 52.9; UAB 48.4 and allows 50.0
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FIU 17.8%, UAB 12.6%. Forced: FIU 20.0%, UAB 16.1%
Context
Schedule so far
FIU has played the 151st-hardest schedule, UAB the 129th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FIU 0%, UAB 10%. Transfers in: FIU 6, UAB 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: FIU plays 72.4 a game (26th fastest), UAB 71.2 (61st). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
FIU hits 34.7% and allows 36.2%; UAB hits 27.8% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 32.8% and 30.5% of their shots
Even
FIU offense vs UAB defense
Offense 144th of 366 against a defense 141st, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UAB -9.6—
Total—156.0—
Projected score—FIU 73.2 · UAB 82.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUAB -5.6—
1H total72.9—
1H projected scoreFIU 33.7 · UAB 39.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

UAB has the better starters

Position by position: FIU 1, UAB 2, even 2
FIUBetterUAB
G T. Saine TR18.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 91
FIUBig
G J. Fernandez TR16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 56
G C. Caulker TR7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 22
UABBig
G J. Elyzee TR11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 61
G H. Cuevas TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Jones TR16.4 pts · 4 reb · 3.4 ast Score 91
F J. Colonel TR4.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 52
UABSmall
G E. Duval TR15.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast Score 74
F R. Seals TR7.5 pts · 4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 61
Even
G T. Caldwell TR9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 56
FIUBetterUAB
FIU offense144th of 366 · -4.3
Even
UAB defense141st of 366 · -3.1
FIU defense217th of 366 · -5.7
UABBig
UAB offense82nd of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-0.8 · 3 players
UABBig
Backcourt+2.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 2 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.9 · 1 player
Even
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestFIU betterUAB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
FIU
Guards
T. Saine34 min · TRC. Caulker31 min · TRH. Cuevas13 min · TRN. MendyNewM. BlazerNewC. HallNew
Forwards
J. Colonel26 min · TRR. Seals18 min · TRJ. Payne7 min · TRG. GiceviciusNewC. RingNewS. N'DiayeNew
UAB
Guards
J. Fernandez37 min · TRJ. Elyzee30 min · TRD. Jones29 min · TRE. Duval27 min · TRT. Caldwell20 min · TRS. London20 min
Forwards
A. Alston8 min · TRA. Sandlin-ElNew
Centers
M. MboleNewK. DavisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FIUUAB
Scoring
77.7 #100Points per game78.2 #92
1.08 #197Points per possession1.10 #141
72.4 #26Pace (possessions)71.2 #61
Shooting
50.6 #210Effective FG%48.4 #305
34.7 #1373-point %27.8 #364
32.8 #3213-point attempt rate30.5 #350
38.6 #87Free throw rate36.4 #141
Possessions
17.8 #258Turnover rate12.6 #2
33.9 #69Offensive rebound rate32.5 #104
13.6 #173Assists per game14.2 #135
Defense
79.1 #301Points allowed74.3 #168
1.09 #194Points allowed per possession1.04 #79
52.9 #264Opponent effective FG%50.0 #98
36.2 #313Opponent 3-point %32.6 #95
20.0 #22Turnovers forced16.1 #217
65.2 #335Defensive rebound rate72.3 #53
8.8 #12Steals per game7.5 #74
4.4 #43Blocks per game3.5 #139
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

FIU

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Missouri St72–75
  • Wvs Western KY92–67
  • Lvs MTSU67–73
  • W@ Louisiana Tech84–76
  • L@ Sam Houston67–100

A week or more of rest.

UAB

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte78–83
  • Wvs East Carolina90–83
  • W@ Charlotte80–74
  • Lvs North Texas58–62
  • W@ Memphis78–67

A week or more of rest.