1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 23
  3. LBSU @ FIU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 23

Long Beach State Beach at Florida International Panthers

Ocean Bank Convocation Center · at FIU
#297LBSULong Beach St
@
#178FIUFIU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LBSUThis seasonFIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FIU 81–72 · win probability FIU 78%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 152.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FIU has more of the edges

LBSU 0, FIU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FIUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: LBSU 30.7, FIU 38.6. Allowed: LBSU 42.3, FIU 35.9
FIUBig
FIU offense vs LBSU defense
Offense 144th of 366 against a defense 300th, on the model’s ratings
FIUSmall
LBSU offense vs FIU defense
Offense 285th of 366 against a defense 217th, on the model’s ratings
FIUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LBSU 18.0%, FIU 17.8%. Forced: LBSU 17.5%, FIU 20.0%
FIUSmall
Home court
FIU at home. This season: FIU 0-0 at home, LBSU 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LBSU 8%, FIU 0%. Transfers in: LBSU 5, FIU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LBSU 26.2%, FIU 33.9%. Defensive: LBSU 72.2%, FIU 65.2%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: LBSU 50.6 and allows 53.7; FIU 50.6 and allows 52.9
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: LBSU plays 71.7 a game (46th fastest), FIU 72.4 (26th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
LBSU hits 32.7% and allows 34.4%; FIU hits 34.7% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 34.8% and 32.8% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
LBSU has played the 152nd-hardest schedule, FIU the 151st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FIU -9.0—
Total—152.0—
Projected score—LBSU 71.5 · FIU 80.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFIU -5.2—
1H total71.0—
1H projected scoreLBSU 32.9 · FIU 38.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

FIU has the better starters

Position by position: Long Beach St 0, FIU 1, even 4
Long Beach StBetterFIU
G J. Payne TR6.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 40
FIUBig
G T. Saine TR18.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 91
G Y. Sissoko TR2.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast Score 32
Even
G C. Caulker TR7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 22
G C. Jones3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G H. Cuevas TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
F G. Brcic TR4.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 39
Even
F J. Colonel TR4.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 52
C N. Amenhauser TR5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 57
Even
F R. Seals TR7.5 pts · 4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 61
Long Beach StBetterFIU
LBSU offense285th of 366 · -8.8
FIUSmall
FIU defense217th of 366 · -5.7
LBSU defense300th of 366 · -7.7
FIUBig
FIU offense144th of 366 · -4.3
Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players
FIUSmall
Backcourt-0.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.0 · 2 players
Bench-1.9 · 2 players
FIUSmall
Bench-0.9 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestLBSU betterFIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Long Beach St
Guards
J. Payne22 min · TRY. Sissoko11 min · TRC. Jones10 minJ. TenganNewJ. GrayNewM. AdamsNew
Forwards
G. Brcic17 min · TRK. Smith8 min · TRJ. Chaikovsky6 minB. WrightNewH. LauNewM. VanlaninghamNew
Centers
N. Amenhauser12 min · TR
FIU
Guards
T. Saine34 min · TRC. Caulker31 min · TRH. Cuevas13 min · TRN. MendyNewM. BlazerNewC. HallNew
Forwards
J. Colonel26 min · TRR. Seals18 min · TRJ. Payne7 min · TRG. GiceviciusNewC. RingNewS. N'DiayeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LBSUFIU
Scoring
73.2 #219Points per game77.7 #100
1.02 #303Points per possession1.08 #197
71.7 #46Pace (possessions)72.4 #26
Shooting
50.6 #207Effective FG%50.6 #210
32.7 #2453-point %34.7 #137
34.8 #2803-point attempt rate32.8 #321
30.7 #287Free throw rate38.6 #87
Possessions
18.0 #271Turnover rate17.8 #258
26.2 #315Offensive rebound rate33.9 #69
12.3 #264Assists per game13.6 #173
Defense
79.0 #297Points allowed79.1 #301
1.10 #220Points allowed per possession1.09 #194
53.7 #290Opponent effective FG%52.9 #264
34.4 #212Opponent 3-point %36.2 #313
17.5 #119Turnovers forced20.0 #22
72.2 #60Defensive rebound rate65.2 #335
6.5 #173Steals per game8.8 #12
2.9 #250Blocks per game4.4 #43
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Long Beach St

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ Hawai'i84–75
  • Lvs UC Davis70–76
  • W@ Bakersfield88–87
  • L@ Cal Poly92–102
  • Lvs CSU Northridge76–78

A week or more of rest.

FIU

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Missouri St72–75
  • Wvs Western KY92–67
  • Lvs MTSU67–73
  • W@ Louisiana Tech84–76
  • L@ Sam Houston67–100

A week or more of rest.