1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. SUU @ FIU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Florida International Panthers

Ocean Bank Convocation Center · at FIU
#267SUUSouthern Utah
@
#178FIUFIU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SUUThis seasonFIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FIU 82–74 · win probability FIU 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 156.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FIU has more of the edges

SUU 1, FIU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FIUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SUU 20.3%, FIU 17.8%. Forced: SUU 14.8%, FIU 20.0%
FIUBig
FIU offense vs SUU defense
Offense 144th of 366 against a defense 329th, on the model’s ratings
FIUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SUU 28.8%, FIU 33.9%. Defensive: SUU 66.4%, FIU 65.2%
FIUSmall
Three-pointers
SUU hits 33.0% and allows 38.0%; FIU hits 34.7% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 35.5% and 32.8% of their shots
FIUSmall
Home court
FIU at home. This season: FIU 0-0 at home, SUU 0-0 away
SUUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SUU 27%, FIU 0%. Transfers in: SUU 1, FIU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
SUU has played the 187th-hardest schedule, FIU the 151st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: SUU plays 71.2 a game (62nd fastest), FIU 72.4 (26th). Faster games mean more points
Even
SUU offense vs FIU defense
Offense 211th of 366 against a defense 217th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SUU 33.1, FIU 38.6. Allowed: SUU 29.8, FIU 35.9
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: SUU 50.8 and allows 53.3; FIU 50.6 and allows 52.9
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FIU -7.8—
Total—156.3—
Projected score—SUU 74.3 · FIU 82.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFIU -4.5—
1H total73.1—
1H projected scoreSUU 34.3 · FIU 38.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Southern Utah 1, FIU 1, even 3
Southern UtahBetterFIU
G B. Johnson0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Saine TR18.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 91
G Z. Kidd0.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Caulker TR7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 22
F J. Feroah14 pts · 6.9 reb · 1.8 ast Score 87
No call
G H. Cuevas TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
F J. Nicholls TR10.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 95
SUUBig
F J. Colonel TR4.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 52
F C. Barclay4.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
FIUBig
F R. Seals TR7.5 pts · 4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 61
Southern UtahBetterFIU
SUU offense211th of 366 · -6.4
Even
FIU defense217th of 366 · -5.7
SUU defense329th of 366 · -8.6
FIUBig
FIU offense144th of 366 · -4.3
Backcourt-0.4 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-0.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 3 players
SUUBig
Frontcourt-0.0 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.9 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestSUU betterFIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Southern Utah
Guards
B. Johnson4 minZ. Kidd3 minD. SandersNewA. BrelandNewJ. BrownNewC. DegraffenriedNew
Forwards
J. Feroah31 minJ. Nicholls18 min · TRC. Barclay16 minJ. RiakNewJ. NichollsNewD. SmithNew
Centers
M. ProtsenkoNew
FIU
Guards
T. Saine34 min · TRC. Caulker31 min · TRH. Cuevas13 min · TRN. MendyNewM. BlazerNewC. HallNew
Forwards
J. Colonel26 min · TRR. Seals18 min · TRJ. Payne7 min · TRG. GiceviciusNewC. RingNewS. N'DiayeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SUUFIU
Scoring
72.3 #235Points per game77.7 #100
1.01 #310Points per possession1.08 #197
71.2 #62Pace (possessions)72.4 #26
Shooting
50.8 #200Effective FG%50.6 #210
33.0 #2313-point %34.7 #137
35.5 #2613-point attempt rate32.8 #321
33.1 #235Free throw rate38.6 #87
Possessions
20.3 #352Turnover rate17.8 #258
28.8 #239Offensive rebound rate33.9 #69
12.9 #223Assists per game13.6 #173
Defense
81.3 #335Points allowed79.1 #301
1.14 #308Points allowed per possession1.09 #194
53.3 #276Opponent effective FG%52.9 #264
38.0 #358Opponent 3-point %36.2 #313
14.8 #302Turnovers forced20.0 #22
66.4 #309Defensive rebound rate65.2 #335
5.2 #317Steals per game8.8 #12
4.1 #60Blocks per game4.4 #43
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Southern Utah

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UT Arlington63–69
  • Lvs CA Baptist75–82
  • Lvs Utah Valley88–92
  • Wvs Utah Tech81–67
  • L@ Abilene Chrstn83–87

A week or more of rest.

FIU

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Missouri St72–75
  • Wvs Western KY92–67
  • Lvs MTSU67–73
  • W@ Louisiana Tech84–76
  • L@ Sam Houston67–100

A week or more of rest.