1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. LBSU vs SUU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Long Beach State Beach vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Ocean Bank Convocation Center · Neutral site
#297LBSULong Beach St
vs
#267SUUSouthern Utah
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LBSUThis seasonSUU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SUU 77–76 · win probability SUU 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 152.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LBSU has more of the edges

LBSU 4, SUU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SUUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: LBSU 30.7, SUU 33.1. Allowed: LBSU 42.3, SUU 29.8
LBSUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LBSU 18.0%, SUU 20.3%. Forced: LBSU 17.5%, SUU 14.8%
SUUSmall
SUU offense vs LBSU defense
Offense 211th of 366 against a defense 300th, on the model’s ratings
LBSUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LBSU 26.2%, SUU 28.8%. Defensive: LBSU 72.2%, SUU 66.4%
LBSUSmall
Three-pointers
LBSU hits 32.7% and allows 34.4%; SUU hits 33.0% and allows 38.0%. Threes are 34.8% and 35.5% of their shots
LBSUSmall
LBSU offense vs SUU defense
Offense 285th of 366 against a defense 329th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LBSU has played the 152nd-hardest schedule, SUU the 187th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LBSU 8%, SUU 27%. Transfers in: LBSU 5, SUU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: LBSU 50.6 and allows 53.7; SUU 50.8 and allows 53.3
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: LBSU plays 71.7 a game (46th fastest), SUU 71.2 (62nd). Faster games mean more points
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SUU -1.2—
Total—152.9—
Projected score—LBSU 75.9 · SUU 77

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSUU -0.6—
1H total71.5—
1H projected scoreLBSU 35.5 · SUU 36—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Long Beach St 1, Southern Utah 1, even 3
Long Beach StBetterSouthern Utah
G J. Payne TR6.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 40
No call
G B. Johnson0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
G Y. Sissoko TR2.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast Score 32
No call
G Z. Kidd0.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
G C. Jones3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Feroah14 pts · 6.9 reb · 1.8 ast Score 87
F G. Brcic TR4.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 39
SUUBig
F J. Nicholls TR10.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 95
C N. Amenhauser TR5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 57
LBSUBig
F C. Barclay4.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
Long Beach StBetterSouthern Utah
LBSU offense285th of 366 · -8.8
Even
SUU defense329th of 366 · -8.6
LBSU defense300th of 366 · -7.7
SUUSmall
SUU offense211th of 366 · -6.4
Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players
SUUSmall
Backcourt-0.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
SUUBig
Frontcourt+3.8 · 3 players
Bench-1.9 · 2 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestLBSU betterSUU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Long Beach St
Guards
J. Payne22 min · TRY. Sissoko11 min · TRC. Jones10 minJ. TenganNewJ. GrayNewM. AdamsNew
Forwards
G. Brcic17 min · TRK. Smith8 min · TRJ. Chaikovsky6 minB. WrightNewH. LauNewM. VanlaninghamNew
Centers
N. Amenhauser12 min · TR
Southern Utah
Guards
B. Johnson4 minZ. Kidd3 minD. SandersNewA. BrelandNewJ. BrownNewC. DegraffenriedNew
Forwards
J. Feroah31 minJ. Nicholls18 min · TRC. Barclay16 minJ. RiakNewJ. NichollsNewD. SmithNew
Centers
M. ProtsenkoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LBSUSUU
Scoring
73.2 #219Points per game72.3 #235
1.02 #303Points per possession1.01 #310
71.7 #46Pace (possessions)71.2 #62
Shooting
50.6 #207Effective FG%50.8 #200
32.7 #2453-point %33.0 #231
34.8 #2803-point attempt rate35.5 #261
30.7 #287Free throw rate33.1 #235
Possessions
18.0 #271Turnover rate20.3 #352
26.2 #315Offensive rebound rate28.8 #239
12.3 #264Assists per game12.9 #223
Defense
79.0 #297Points allowed81.3 #335
1.10 #220Points allowed per possession1.14 #308
53.7 #290Opponent effective FG%53.3 #276
34.4 #212Opponent 3-point %38.0 #358
17.5 #119Turnovers forced14.8 #302
72.2 #60Defensive rebound rate66.4 #309
6.5 #173Steals per game5.2 #317
2.9 #250Blocks per game4.1 #60
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Long Beach St

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ Hawai'i84–75
  • Lvs UC Davis70–76
  • W@ Bakersfield88–87
  • L@ Cal Poly92–102
  • Lvs CSU Northridge76–78

A week or more of rest.

Southern Utah

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UT Arlington63–69
  • Lvs CA Baptist75–82
  • Lvs Utah Valley88–92
  • Wvs Utah Tech81–67
  • L@ Abilene Chrstn83–87

A week or more of rest.