1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. TULN vs DAV
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Tulane Green Wave vs Davidson Wildcats

Suncoast Credit Union Arena · Neutral site
#130TULNTulane
vs
#115DAVDavidson
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
TULNThis seasonDAV
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DAV 75–72 · win probability DAV 61%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DAV has more of the edges

TULN 1, DAV 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DAVBig
Three-pointers
TULN hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%; DAV hits 35.4% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 45.0% and 44.5% of their shots
DAVBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: TULN 22.8%, DAV 28.1%. Defensive: TULN 64.2%, DAV 70.0%
TULNBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: TULN 43.5, DAV 31.0. Allowed: TULN 38.1, DAV 37.1
DAVSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: TULN 49.4 and allows 50.7; DAV 52.6 and allows 50.6
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: TULN plays 68.5 a game (205th fastest), DAV 65.0 (347th). Faster games mean more points
Even
DAV offense vs TULN defense
Offense 149th of 366 against a defense 180th, on the model’s ratings
Even
TULN offense vs DAV defense
Offense 114th of 366 against a defense 84th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
TULN has played the 115th-hardest schedule, DAV the 91st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: TULN 40%, DAV 49%. Transfers in: TULN 4, DAV 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: TULN 15.4%, DAV 15.8%. Forced: TULN 17.1%, DAV 17.5%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DAV -3.2—
Total—146.1—
Projected score—TULN 71.5 · DAV 74.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDAV -1.8—
1H total68.3—
1H projected scoreTULN 33.3 · DAV 35.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Davidson has the better starters

Position by position: Tulane 1, Davidson 2, even 2
TulaneBetterDavidson
G K. Lewis TR18.8 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.1 ast Score 65
DAVSmall
G N. Janowski TR16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 81
G T. Nadeau TR13.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
TULNBig
G S. Brown7.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 33
F T. Ringgold9.6 pts · 4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 57
Even
G N. Coval6.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 49
F C. Schwieger10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 32
DAVBig
F J. Scovens11.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 2 ast Score 88
F J. Chappelle TR6.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
Even
C I. Platteeuw3.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 43
TulaneBetterDavidson
TULN offense114th of 366 · -2.4
Even
DAV defense84th of 366 · +0.0
TULN defense180th of 366 · -4.1
Even
DAV offense149th of 366 · -4.5
Backcourt+1.1 · 2 players
TULNSmall
Backcourt-0.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.2 · 3 players
DAVBig
Frontcourt+2.2 · 2 players
Bench-1.1 · 5 players
Even
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestTULN betterDAV betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Tulane
Guards
K. Lewis36 min · TRT. Nadeau27 min · TRK. Greene15 minJ. Moore12 minR. Moore2 minR. BlountNew
Forwards
T. Ringgold25 minC. Schwieger25 minJ. Chappelle24 min · TRJ. Dumont2 min · TRL. Cronin2 min
Centers
D. SalaneNew
Davidson
Guards
N. Janowski32 min · TRS. Brown24 minN. Coval19 minP. Kavu1 minJ. CarterNewE. HeinonenNew
Forwards
J. Scovens25 minJ. Roberts12 minJ. Keith9 min · TRJ. Nowland1 minQ. BashiruNewT. StoiberNew
Centers
I. Platteeuw15 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
TULNDAV
Scoring
72.0 #239Points per game69.9 #289
1.05 #245Points per possession1.08 #189
68.5 #205Pace (possessions)65.0 #347
Shooting
49.4 #275Effective FG%52.6 #121
32.0 #2793-point %35.4 #92
45.0 #683-point attempt rate44.5 #79
43.5 #14Free throw rate31.0 #283
Possessions
15.4 #99Turnover rate15.8 #124
22.8 #352Offensive rebound rate28.1 #265
12.6 #244Assists per game13.4 #184
Defense
75.7 #208Points allowed68.5 #40
1.11 #229Points allowed per possession1.05 #94
50.7 #140Opponent effective FG%50.6 #132
34.5 #216Opponent 3-point %32.6 #92
17.1 #139Turnovers forced17.5 #121
64.2 #352Defensive rebound rate70.0 #157
7.5 #85Steals per game6.4 #189
4.5 #38Blocks per game4.1 #66
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Tulane

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte60–74
  • Wvs Memphis81–69
  • Lvs Memphis95–96
  • L@ Temple60–89
  • L@ South Florida62–90

A week or more of rest.

Davidson

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Oklahoma St80–84
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's58–70
  • Wvs Loyola Chicago64–59
  • W@ St Bonaventure68–63
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's67–70

A week or more of rest.