Bartow Arena · at UAB
#285NICHNicholls
@
#102UABUAB
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: Nicholls and UAB
NICHThis seasonUAB
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UAB 83–69 · win probability UAB 90%
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Winner
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 152.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
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No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UAB has more of the edges

NICH 0, UAB 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UABBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NICH 28.1%, UAB 32.5%. Defensive: NICH 66.3%, UAB 72.3%
UABBig
UAB offense vs NICH defense
Offense 82nd of 366 against a defense 282nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NICH has played the 277th-hardest schedule, UAB the 129th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UABBig
NICH offense vs UAB defense
Offense 283rd of 366 against a defense 141st, on the model’s ratings
UABBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: NICH 34.5, UAB 36.4. Allowed: NICH 37.9, UAB 28.6
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: NICH plays 68.3 a game (210th fastest), UAB 71.2 (61st). Faster games mean more points
UABSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: NICH 50.6 and allows 54.4; UAB 48.4 and allows 50.0
UABSmall
Home court
UAB at home. This season: UAB 0-0 at home, NICH 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NICH 20%, UAB 10%. Transfers in: NICH 6, UAB 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NICH 17.4%, UAB 12.6%. Forced: NICH 20.5%, UAB 16.1%
Even
Three-pointers
NICH hits 33.3% and allows 34.6%; UAB hits 27.8% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 43.9% and 30.5% of their shots

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UAB -14.7—
Total—152.0—
Projected score—NICH 68.6 · UAB 83.4

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadUAB -8.6—
1H total71.1—
1H projected scoreNICH 31.2 · UAB 39.9—

UAB has the better starters

Position by position: Nicholls 1, UAB 2, even 2
NichollsBetterUAB
G D. Cockrill TR11.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 75
NICHSmall
G J. Fernandez TR16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 56
G C. Winborne7.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1 ast Score 29
UABSmall
G J. Elyzee TR11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 61
G S. Sharp4.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 19
UABBig
G D. Jones TR16.4 pts · 4 reb · 3.4 ast Score 91
F A. Dent TR6 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G E. Duval TR15.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast Score 74
F J. Sileu TR0.3 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Caldwell TR9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 56
NichollsBetterUAB
NICH offense283rd of 366 · -8.7
UABBig
UAB defense141st of 366 · -3.1
NICH defense282nd of 366 · -7.0
UABBig
UAB offense82nd of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-2.5 · 3 players
UABBig
Backcourt+2.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt-0.7 · 2 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.3 · 4 players
NICHSmall
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestNICH betterUAB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Nicholls
Guards
D. Cockrill24 min · TRC. Winborne23 minS. Sharp17 minH. Carter4 min · TRC. Simpson3 min · TRJ. Matthews2 min
Forwards
A. Dent13 min · TRJ. Sileu7 min · TRA. Arop2 min · TRM. MboupNewJ. TaylorNew
UAB
Guards
J. Fernandez37 min · TRJ. Elyzee30 min · TRD. Jones29 min · TRE. Duval27 min · TRT. Caldwell20 min · TRS. London20 min
Forwards
A. Alston8 min · TRA. Sandlin-ElNew
Centers
M. MboleNewK. DavisNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NICHUAB
Scoring
71.0 #266Points per game78.2 #92
1.04 #275Points per possession1.10 #141
68.3 #210Pace (possessions)71.2 #61
Shooting
50.6 #205Effective FG%48.4 #305
33.3 #2153-point %27.8 #364
43.9 #903-point attempt rate30.5 #350
34.5 #195Free throw rate36.4 #141
Possessions
17.4 #232Turnover rate12.6 #2
28.1 #263Offensive rebound rate32.5 #104
12.9 #219Assists per game14.2 #135
Defense
75.7 #209Points allowed74.3 #168
1.11 #243Points allowed per possession1.04 #79
54.4 #311Opponent effective FG%50.0 #98
34.6 #224Opponent 3-point %32.6 #95
20.5 #15Turnovers forced16.1 #217
66.3 #314Defensive rebound rate72.3 #53
8.7 #15Steals per game7.5 #74
2.8 #270Blocks per game3.5 #139

Nicholls

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UT Rio Grande68–86
  • Wvs N'Western St61–47
  • Lvs McNeese65–75
  • Wvs SE Louisiana68–60
  • W@ Lamar53–52

A week or more of rest.

UAB

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte78–83
  • Wvs East Carolina90–83
  • W@ Charlotte80–74
  • Lvs North Texas58–62
  • W@ Memphis78–67

A week or more of rest.