1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. EWU @ ORE
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Eastern Washington Eagles at Oregon Ducks

Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon
#255EWUE Washington
@
#57OREOregon
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
EWUThis seasonORE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ORE 86–66 · win probability ORE 96%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ORE has more of the edges

EWU 1, ORE 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
OREBig
ORE offense vs EWU defense
Offense 66th of 366 against a defense 322nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
EWU has played the 213th-hardest schedule, ORE the 25th. A record against a soft schedule means less
OREBig
EWU offense vs ORE defense
Offense 189th of 366 against a defense 39th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: EWU plays 69.5 a game (149th fastest), ORE 66.8 (287th). Faster games mean more points
ORESmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: EWU 36.1, ORE 35.0. Allowed: EWU 37.3, ORE 32.0
ORESmall
Home court
ORE at home. This season: ORE 0-0 at home, EWU 0-0 away
EWUSmall
Three-pointers
EWU hits 35.9% and allows 35.2%; ORE hits 32.0% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 34.7% and 42.8% of their shots
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: EWU 31.3%, ORE 32.3%. Defensive: EWU 69.2%, ORE 67.7%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: EWU 17.6%, ORE 17.6%. Forced: EWU 16.3%, ORE 15.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: EWU 30%, ORE 23%. Transfers in: EWU 1, ORE 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: EWU 53.7 and allows 54.9; ORE 49.5 and allows 50.9
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ORE -20.0—
Total—151.4—
Projected score—EWU 65.7 · ORE 85.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadORE -11.8—
1H total70.8—
1H projected scoreEWU 29.5 · ORE 41.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Oregon has the better starters

Position by position: E Washington 0, Oregon 2, even 3
E WashingtonBetterOregon
G J. Griffith TR11.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.4 ast Score 75
Even
G F. Payne TR15.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.7 ast Score 88
G C. Scherer2.1 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
OREBig
G T. Riley TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 78
F A. Hamilton13.6 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 83
Even
F A. Meadow TR12 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast Score 77
F E. Marquardt5.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 31
ORESmall
F S. Stewart6.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 64
F S. Ngoyi0.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F T. Bol Bowen TR6.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 67
E WashingtonBetterOregon
EWU offense189th of 366 · -5.8
OREBig
ORE defense39th of 366 · +3.0
EWU defense322nd of 366 · -8.3
OREBig
ORE offense66th of 366 · +1.8
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
OREBig
Backcourt+4.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
ORESmall
Frontcourt+2.6 · 3 players
Bench-0.3 · 1 player
ORESmall
Bench+1.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestEWU betterORE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
E Washington
Guards
J. Griffith23 min · TRC. Scherer8 minM. Monson3 minA. CookNewT. JacksonNewI. HomeliusNew
Forwards
A. Hamilton28 minE. Marquardt16 minS. Ngoyi4 minJ. MillerNewA. HamiltonNewA. GballouNew
Centers
Z. TrezvantNew
Oregon
Guards
F. Payne35 min · TRT. Riley32 min · TRJ. Easter18 min · TRW. Lin18 minJ. Johnson12 min · TRR. GonzalesNew
Forwards
A. Meadow30 min · TRS. Stewart23 minT. Bol Bowen19 min · TRP. Compton14 min · TRD. Aristode13 min · TRL. Johnson6 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
EWUORE
Scoring
77.7 #102Points per game70.8 #267
1.11 #120Points per possession1.06 #235
69.5 #149Pace (possessions)66.8 #287
Shooting
53.7 #75Effective FG%49.5 #271
35.9 #623-point %32.0 #277
34.7 #2823-point attempt rate42.8 #121
36.1 #148Free throw rate35.0 #181
Possessions
17.6 #241Turnover rate17.6 #244
31.3 #153Offensive rebound rate32.3 #114
13.5 #181Assists per game14.3 #126
Defense
79.2 #304Points allowed73.9 #155
1.15 #320Points allowed per possession1.11 #249
54.9 #326Opponent effective FG%50.9 #148
35.2 #261Opponent 3-point %33.4 #144
16.3 #200Turnovers forced15.8 #231
69.2 #194Defensive rebound rate67.7 #271
5.9 #249Steals per game6.1 #231
3.4 #161Blocks per game3.9 #79
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

E Washington

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Idaho68–81
  • Wvs Weber St84–79
  • Lvs Idaho81–85
  • Wvs N Arizona88–57
  • Wvs N Colorado82–72

A week or more of rest.

Oregon

12-20 in 2025-26 overall · 5-16 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Maryland60–70
  • Wvs Washington85–79
  • L@ Illinois54–80
  • L@ Northwestern62–63
  • Wvs Wisconsin85–71

A week or more of rest.