Gill Coliseum · at Oregon St
#255EWUE Washington
@
#99ORSTOregon St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: E Washington and Oregon St
EWUThis seasonORST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ORST 84–70 · win probability ORST 89%
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ORST has more of the edges

EWU 1, ORST 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ORSTBig
ORST offense vs EWU defense
Offense 95th of 366 against a defense 322nd, on the model’s ratings
EWUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: EWU 31.3%, ORST 26.8%. Defensive: EWU 69.2%, ORST 67.9%
ORSTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: EWU 36.1, ORST 43.1. Allowed: EWU 37.3, ORST 35.1
Context
Schedule so far
EWU has played the 213th-hardest schedule, ORST the 120th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ORSTSmall
EWU offense vs ORST defense
Offense 189th of 366 against a defense 109th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: EWU plays 69.5 a game (149th fastest), ORST 67.2 (272nd). Faster games mean more points
ORSTSmall
Home court
ORST at home. This season: ORST 0-0 at home, EWU 0-0 away
ORSTSmall
Three-pointers
EWU hits 35.9% and allows 35.2%; ORST hits 35.0% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 34.7% and 44.3% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: EWU 17.6%, ORST 17.7%. Forced: EWU 16.3%, ORST 15.3%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: EWU 53.7 and allows 54.9; ORST 50.5 and allows 50.3
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: EWU 30%, ORST 17%. Transfers in: EWU 1, ORST 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ORST -13.8—
Total—153.5—
Projected score—EWU 69.8 · ORST 83.7

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadORST -8.1—
1H total71.8—
1H projected scoreEWU 31.8 · ORST 39.9—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: E Washington 1, Oregon St 1, even 3
E WashingtonBetterOregon St
G J. Griffith TR11.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.4 ast Score 75
Even
G J. Lake13.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.2 ast Score 87
G C. Scherer2.1 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
ORSTBig
G D. Freitag TR20 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 93
F A. Hamilton13.6 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 83
EWUSmall
G L. Smiley TR7.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
F E. Marquardt5.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 31
Even
F J. Rasmussen TR13 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.3 ast Score 43
F S. Ngoyi0.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Gory TR13.7 pts · 6.3 reb · 2 ast Score 80
E WashingtonBetterOregon St
EWU offense189th of 366 · -5.8
ORSTSmall
ORST defense109th of 366 · -1.1
EWU defense322nd of 366 · -8.3
ORSTBig
ORST offense95th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
ORSTBig
Backcourt+5.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt+1.1 · 2 players
Bench-0.3 · 1 player
ORSTSmall
Bench+1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestEWU betterORST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
E Washington
Guards
J. Griffith23 min · TRC. Scherer8 minM. Monson3 minA. CookNewT. JacksonNewI. HomeliusNew
Forwards
A. Hamilton28 minE. Marquardt16 minS. Ngoyi4 minJ. MillerNewA. HamiltonNewA. GballouNew
Centers
Z. TrezvantNew
Oregon St
Guards
J. Lake34 minD. Freitag34 min · TRL. Smiley21 min · TRC. Johnson16 min · TRS. Blakely Drummond1 min · TRJ. LakeNew
Forwards
J. Rasmussen32 min · TRD. Gory30 min · TRP. Pinnis4 min · TRK. TreacherNew
Centers
D. Evans9 min · TRX. Staton5 min · TRY. AklogNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
EWUORST
Scoring
77.7 #102Points per game71.1 #264
1.11 #120Points per possession1.06 #232
69.5 #149Pace (possessions)67.2 #272
Shooting
53.7 #75Effective FG%50.5 #216
35.9 #623-point %35.0 #115
34.7 #2823-point attempt rate44.3 #84
36.1 #148Free throw rate43.1 #20
Possessions
17.6 #241Turnover rate17.7 #254
31.3 #153Offensive rebound rate26.8 #303
13.5 #181Assists per game13.8 #159
Defense
79.2 #304Points allowed74.2 #159
1.15 #320Points allowed per possession1.10 #223
54.9 #326Opponent effective FG%50.3 #119
35.2 #261Opponent 3-point %32.9 #116
16.3 #200Turnovers forced15.3 #264
69.2 #194Defensive rebound rate67.9 #265
5.9 #249Steals per game5.5 #293
3.4 #161Blocks per game3.7 #115

E Washington

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Idaho68–81
  • Wvs Weber St84–79
  • Lvs Idaho81–85
  • Wvs N Arizona88–57
  • Wvs N Colorado82–72

A week or more of rest.

Oregon St

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga56–65
  • Wvs San Francisco78–77
  • L@ Santa Clara72–93
  • Wvs San Diego92–82
  • Wvs Pepperdine83–73

A week or more of rest.