1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. MVSU @ ORST
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Oregon State Beavers

Gill Coliseum · at Oregon St
#366MVSUMiss Valley St
@
#99ORSTOregon St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MVSUThis seasonORST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ORST 91–56 · win probability ORST 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ORST has more of the edges

MVSU 0, ORST 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ORSTBig
ORST offense vs MVSU defense
Offense 95th of 366 against a defense 366th, on the model’s ratings
ORSTBig
MVSU offense vs ORST defense
Offense 366th of 366 against a defense 109th, on the model’s ratings
ORSTBig
Three-pointers
MVSU hits 29.5% and allows 37.2%; ORST hits 35.0% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 30.2% and 44.3% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
MVSU has played the 327th-hardest schedule, ORST the 120th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ORSTBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MVSU 33.9, ORST 43.1. Allowed: MVSU 50.8, ORST 35.1
ORSTBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: MVSU 45.2 and allows 55.5; ORST 50.5 and allows 50.3
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: MVSU plays 70.2 a game (111th fastest), ORST 67.2 (272nd). Faster games mean more points
ORSTSmall
Home court
ORST at home. This season: ORST 0-0 at home, MVSU 0-0 away
ORSTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MVSU 26.4%, ORST 26.8%. Defensive: MVSU 64.5%, ORST 67.9%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MVSU 0%, ORST 17%. Transfers in: MVSU 2, ORST 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MVSU 21.9%, ORST 17.7%. Forced: MVSU 17.1%, ORST 15.3%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ORST -34.4—
Total—146.8—
Projected score—MVSU 56.2 · ORST 90.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadORST -20.3—
1H total68.7—
1H projected scoreMVSU 24.2 · ORST 44.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Oregon St has the better starters

Position by position: Miss Valley St 0, Oregon St 1, even 4
Miss Valley StBetterOregon St
G T. Foster TR5.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 20
ORSTBig
G J. Lake13.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.2 ast Score 87
G T. James TR0.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Freitag TR20 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 93
G E. Pippins NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G L. Smiley TR7.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
G A. Abrams NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Rasmussen TR13 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.3 ast Score 43
F T. Williams NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F D. Gory TR13.7 pts · 6.3 reb · 2 ast Score 80
Miss Valley StBetterOregon St
MVSU offense366th of 366 · -17.5
ORSTBig
ORST defense109th of 366 · -1.1
MVSU defense366th of 366 · -14.3
ORSTBig
ORST offense95th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-2.1 · 4 players
ORSTBig
Backcourt+5.7 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+1.1 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMVSU betterORST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Miss Valley St
Guards
T. Foster20 min · TRT. James3 min · TRE. PippinsNewA. AbramsNewM. AngloNewC. CameronNew
Forwards
T. WilliamsNewQ. PangNewG. MartinezNewH. WilsonNewM. McCoyNew
Centers
T. WuNew
Oregon St
Guards
J. Lake34 minD. Freitag34 min · TRL. Smiley21 min · TRC. Johnson16 min · TRS. Blakely Drummond1 min · TRJ. LakeNew
Forwards
J. Rasmussen32 min · TRD. Gory30 min · TRP. Pinnis4 min · TRK. TreacherNew
Centers
D. Evans9 min · TRX. Staton5 min · TRY. AklogNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MVSUORST
Scoring
63.2 #356Points per game71.1 #264
0.90 #364Points per possession1.06 #232
70.2 #111Pace (possessions)67.2 #272
Shooting
45.2 #359Effective FG%50.5 #216
29.5 #3463-point %35.0 #115
30.2 #3513-point attempt rate44.3 #84
33.9 #215Free throw rate43.1 #20
Possessions
21.9 #361Turnover rate17.7 #254
26.4 #313Offensive rebound rate26.8 #303
11.9 #296Assists per game13.8 #159
Defense
83.7 #353Points allowed74.2 #159
1.20 #355Points allowed per possession1.10 #223
55.5 #341Opponent effective FG%50.3 #119
37.2 #346Opponent 3-point %32.9 #116
17.1 #142Turnovers forced15.3 #264
64.5 #346Defensive rebound rate67.9 #265
7.1 #119Steals per game5.5 #293
2.6 #300Blocks per game3.7 #115
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Miss Valley St

2-30 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Grambling52–77
  • L@ Jackson St77–85
  • L@ Alcorn St64–67
  • W@ AR-Pine Bluff70–69
  • L@ Grambling62–83

A week or more of rest.

Oregon St

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga56–65
  • Wvs San Francisco78–77
  • L@ Santa Clara72–93
  • Wvs San Diego92–82
  • Wvs Pepperdine83–73

A week or more of rest.