1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. MVSU @ ORE
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Oregon Ducks

Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon
#366MVSUMiss Valley St
@
#57OREOregon
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MVSUThis seasonORE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ORE 93–52 · win probability ORE 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ORE has more of the edges

MVSU 0, ORE 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
OREBig
MVSU offense vs ORE defense
Offense 366th of 366 against a defense 39th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
MVSU has played the 327th-hardest schedule, ORE the 25th. A record against a soft schedule means less
OREBig
ORE offense vs MVSU defense
Offense 66th of 366 against a defense 366th, on the model’s ratings
OREBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MVSU 33.9, ORE 35.0. Allowed: MVSU 50.8, ORE 32.0
OREBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: MVSU 45.2 and allows 55.5; ORE 49.5 and allows 50.9
OREBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MVSU 26.4%, ORE 32.3%. Defensive: MVSU 64.5%, ORE 67.7%
OREBig
Three-pointers
MVSU hits 29.5% and allows 37.2%; ORE hits 32.0% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 30.2% and 42.8% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: MVSU plays 70.2 a game (111th fastest), ORE 66.8 (287th). Faster games mean more points
ORESmall
Home court
ORE at home. This season: ORE 0-0 at home, MVSU 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MVSU 0%, ORE 23%. Transfers in: MVSU 2, ORE 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MVSU 21.9%, ORE 17.6%. Forced: MVSU 17.1%, ORE 15.8%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ORE -40.5—
Total—144.7—
Projected score—MVSU 52.1 · ORE 92.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadORE -23.9—
1H total67.7—
1H projected scoreMVSU 21.9 · ORE 45.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Oregon has the better starters

Position by position: Miss Valley St 0, Oregon 1, even 4
Miss Valley StBetterOregon
G T. Foster TR5.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 20
OREBig
G F. Payne TR15.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.7 ast Score 88
G T. James TR0.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Riley TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 78
G E. Pippins NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F A. Meadow TR12 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast Score 77
G A. Abrams NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F S. Stewart6.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 64
F T. Williams NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F T. Bol Bowen TR6.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 67
Miss Valley StBetterOregon
MVSU offense366th of 366 · -17.5
OREBig
ORE defense39th of 366 · +3.0
MVSU defense366th of 366 · -14.3
OREBig
ORE offense66th of 366 · +1.8
Backcourt-2.1 · 4 players
OREBig
Backcourt+4.1 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+2.6 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+1.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMVSU betterORE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Miss Valley St
Guards
T. Foster20 min · TRT. James3 min · TRE. PippinsNewA. AbramsNewM. AngloNewC. CameronNew
Forwards
T. WilliamsNewQ. PangNewG. MartinezNewH. WilsonNewM. McCoyNew
Centers
T. WuNew
Oregon
Guards
F. Payne35 min · TRT. Riley32 min · TRJ. Easter18 min · TRW. Lin18 minJ. Johnson12 min · TRR. GonzalesNew
Forwards
A. Meadow30 min · TRS. Stewart23 minT. Bol Bowen19 min · TRP. Compton14 min · TRD. Aristode13 min · TRL. Johnson6 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MVSUORE
Scoring
63.2 #356Points per game70.8 #267
0.90 #364Points per possession1.06 #235
70.2 #111Pace (possessions)66.8 #287
Shooting
45.2 #359Effective FG%49.5 #271
29.5 #3463-point %32.0 #277
30.2 #3513-point attempt rate42.8 #121
33.9 #215Free throw rate35.0 #181
Possessions
21.9 #361Turnover rate17.6 #244
26.4 #313Offensive rebound rate32.3 #114
11.9 #296Assists per game14.3 #126
Defense
83.7 #353Points allowed73.9 #155
1.20 #355Points allowed per possession1.11 #249
55.5 #341Opponent effective FG%50.9 #148
37.2 #346Opponent 3-point %33.4 #144
17.1 #142Turnovers forced15.8 #231
64.5 #346Defensive rebound rate67.7 #271
7.1 #119Steals per game6.1 #231
2.6 #300Blocks per game3.9 #79
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Miss Valley St

2-30 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Grambling52–77
  • L@ Jackson St77–85
  • L@ Alcorn St64–67
  • W@ AR-Pine Bluff70–69
  • L@ Grambling62–83

A week or more of rest.

Oregon

12-20 in 2025-26 overall · 5-16 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Maryland60–70
  • Wvs Washington85–79
  • L@ Illinois54–80
  • L@ Northwestern62–63
  • Wvs Wisconsin85–71

A week or more of rest.