Nicholls Colonels at Tulane Green Wave: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ETAvron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse · at Tulane

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Nicholls and Tulane
NICH	This season	TULN
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TULN 81–70 · win probability TULN 83%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 150.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TULN has more of the edges

NICH 1, TULN 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

TULNBig

TULN offense vs NICH defense

Offense 114th of 366 against a defense 282nd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

NICH has played the 277th-hardest schedule, TULN the 115th. A record against a soft schedule means less

TULNSmall

NICH offense vs TULN defense

Offense 283rd of 366 against a defense 180th, on the model’s ratings

TULNSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: NICH 34.5, TULN 43.5. Allowed: NICH 37.9, TULN 38.1

NICHSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: NICH 28.1%, TULN 22.8%. Defensive: NICH 66.3%, TULN 64.2%

TULNSmall

Home court

TULN at home. This season: TULN 0-0 at home, NICH 0-0 away

TULNSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: NICH 50.6 and allows 54.4; TULN 49.4 and allows 50.7

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: NICH 20%, TULN 40%. Transfers in: NICH 6, TULN 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Three-pointers

NICH hits 33.3% and allows 34.6%; TULN hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 43.9% and 45.0% of their shots

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: NICH 17.4%, TULN 15.4%. Forced: NICH 20.5%, TULN 17.1%

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: NICH plays 68.3 a game (210th fastest), TULN 68.5 (205th). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	TULN -10.8	—
Total	—	150.2	—
Projected score	—	NICH 69.7 · TULN 80.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	TULN -6.3	—
1H total	70.2	—
1H projected score	NICH 32 · TULN 38.3	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NICH WWLWL	15-17	47%	10-9	—
TULN LLWWL	15-17	47%	7-10	—

Venue/role: NICH away; TULN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
NICH UUUUO	17-15	53%	13-19
TULN UOOUU	13-19	41%	17-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NICH	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
TULN	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Nicholls

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs LT	L55–68WU
Nov 17	@ MISS	No recent meeting
Nov 21	vs USM	No recent meeting

Tulane

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ AKR	L71–88LU
Nov 19	@ LT	W61–53WU
Nov 23	vs GAST	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

NICH 0–2 TULNTULN leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · TULN has won the last 2 meetings · NICH 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 28, 2025-26	NICH 72 @ TULN 82	TULN -8.5	TULN W
Nov 6, 2023-24	NICH 81 @ TULN 91	TULN -13.5	NICH W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Nicholls

32 games played

Straight up

13-19

41% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

17-15

53% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1941%

L L L L L L L W W L W W W W W L L L L L W W L L W L L W W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1747%

W L L L W L L W W L W W W L W L L L L L W W L L W L W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

17-1553%

U U U O O O O U O O O U U O O O O U U U U U O O O O O U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@UK	L 51-77	+31.5	W +5.5	157.5	U 128
Nov 7	@EIU	L 57-65	-2.5	L −10.5	135.5	U 122
Nov 12	@VAL	L 63-68	+2.5	L −2.5	144.5	U 131
Nov 15	@MUR	L 79-99	+14.5	L −5.5	157.5	O 178
Nov 22	@OKST	L 81-95	+23.5	W +9.5	155.5	O 176
Nov 28	@TULN	L 72-82	+8.5	L −1.5	148.5	O 154
Dec 2	@CREI	L 76-96	+18.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 172
Dec 6	vsUIW	W 74-67	+1.5	W +8.5	145.5	U 141
Dec 17	vsHCU	W 79-64	-3.5	W +11.5	137.5	O 143
Dec 21	@PAC	L 82-95	+8.5	L −4.5	139.5	O 177
Dec 29	@AMCC	W 76-71	+5.5	W +10.5	137.5	O 147
Dec 31	@RGV	W 71-69	+3.5	W +5.5	145.5	U 140
Jan 3	vsETAM	W 80-58	-6.5	W +15.5	146.5	U 138
Jan 5	vsNWST	W 74-72	-8.5	L −6.5	144.5	O 146
Jan 10	@NOLA	W 90-77	-3.5	W +9.5	154.5	O 167
Jan 12	@MCN	L 68-94	+15.5	L −10.5	146.5	O 162
Jan 17	vsLAM	L 80-90	-3.5	L −13.5	139.5	O 170
Jan 19	vsSFA	L 62-79	+4.5	L −12.5	144.5	U 141
Jan 24	@SELA	L 61-67	+2.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 128
Jan 27	vsNOLA	L 62-80	-4.5	L −22.5	157.5	U 142
Jan 31	@ETAM	W 72-68	+1.5	W +5.5	146.5	U 140
Feb 2	@NWST	W 61-58	-1.5	W +1.5	147.5	U 119
Feb 7	vsAMCC	L 76-83	-1.5	L −8.5	137.5	O 159
Feb 9	vsRGV	L 72-92	+3.5	L −16.5	147.5	O 164
Feb 14	@UIW	W 91-83	+2.5	W +10.5	148.5	O 174
Feb 16	@HCU	L 68-72	+1.5	L −2.5	136.5	O 140
Feb 21	@SFA	L 78-81	+12.5	W +9.5	147.5	O 159
Feb 23	@LAM	W 53-52	+3.5	W +4.5	143.5	U 105
Feb 28	vsSELA	W 68-60	-4.5	W +3.5	139.5	U 128
Mar 2	vsMCN	L 65-75	+9.5	L −0.5	145.5	U 140
Mar 8	vsNWST	W 61-47	-1.5	W +12.5	138.5	U 108
Mar 9	vsRGV	L 68-86	+5.5	L −12.5	143.5	O 154

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 51-77

+5.5

EIU

L 57-65

−10.5

VAL

L 63-68

−2.5

MUR

L 79-99

−5.5

OKST

L 81-95

+9.5

TULN

L 72-82

−1.5

CREI

L 76-96

−1.5

UIW

W 74-67

+8.5

HCU

W 79-64

+11.5

PAC

L 82-95

−4.5

AMCC

W 76-71

+10.5

RGV

W 71-69

+5.5

ETAM

W 80-58

+15.5

NWST

W 74-72

−6.5

NOLA

W 90-77

+9.5

MCN

L 68-94

−10.5

LAM

L 80-90

−13.5

SFA

L 62-79

−12.5

SELA

L 61-67

−3.5

NOLA

L 62-80

−22.5

ETAM

W 72-68

+5.5

NWST

W 61-58

+1.5

AMCC

L 76-83

−8.5

RGV

L 72-92

−16.5

UIW

W 91-83

+10.5

HCU

L 68-72

−2.5

SFA

L 78-81

+9.5

LAM

W 53-52

+4.5

SELA

W 68-60

+3.5

MCN

L 65-75

−0.5

NWST

W 61-47

+12.5

RGV

L 68-86

−12.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 51-77

−29.5

EIU

L 57-65

−13.5

VAL

L 63-68

−13.5

MUR

L 79-99

+20.5

OKST

L 81-95

+20.5

TULN

L 72-82

+5.5

CREI

L 76-96

+28.5

UIW

W 74-67

−4.5

HCU

W 79-64

+5.5

PAC

L 82-95

+37.5

AMCC

W 76-71

+9.5

RGV

W 71-69

−5.5

ETAM

W 80-58

−8.5

NWST

W 74-72

+1.5

NOLA

W 90-77

+12.5

MCN

L 68-94

+15.5

LAM

L 80-90

+30.5

SFA

L 62-79

−3.5

SELA

L 61-67

−13.5

NOLA

L 62-80

−15.5

ETAM

W 72-68

−6.5

NWST

W 61-58

−28.5

AMCC

L 76-83

+21.5

RGV

L 72-92

+16.5

UIW

W 91-83

+25.5

HCU

L 68-72

+3.5

SFA

L 78-81

+11.5

LAM

W 53-52

−38.5

SELA

W 68-60

−11.5

MCN

L 65-75

−5.5

NWST

W 61-47

−30.5

RGV

L 68-86

+10.5

over 17under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Tulane

32 games played

Straight up

17-15

53% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-19

41% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

17-1553%

W W W L L W W W L L W W W W W L L L L L W L W W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1747%

W L L L L W W L L L W L W W W L L W L L W L W W W W L L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-1941%

O O U U O O O U U O U U O U U U U U U O O U U U O O U U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSAM	W 85-72	-7.5	W +5.5	154.5	O 157
Nov 8	vsTXST	W 79-71	-12.5	L −4.5	146.5	O 150
Nov 11	@UL	W 66-62	-5.5	L −1.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 14	vsNOLA	L 63-85	-11.5	L −33.5	153.5	U 148
Nov 21	vsUSU	L 75-96	+8.5	L −12.5	151.5	O 171
Nov 23	vsBC	W 93-90	+2.5	W +5.5	140.5	O 183
Nov 28	vsNICH	W 82-72	-8.5	W +1.5	148.5	O 154
Dec 2	vsGRAM	W 65-63	-11.5	L −9.5	148.5	U 128
Dec 6	vsAKR	L 71-88	+6.5	L −10.5	162.5	U 159
Dec 13	vsUCSD	L 67-93	+5.5	L −20.5	149.5	O 160
Dec 17	vsLT	W 61-53	-4.5	W +3.5	140.5	U 114
Dec 20	vsPRST	W 63-61	-2.5	L −0.5	145.5	U 124
Dec 31	@ECU	W 79-70	-1.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 149
Jan 4	vsFAU	W 69-66	+3.5	W +6.5	158.5	U 135
Jan 10	@UTSA	W 85-52	-7.5	W +25.5	147.5	U 137
Jan 14	vsUAB	L 69-82	+1.5	L −11.5	153.5	U 151
Jan 18	vsUNT	L 63-71	-1.5	L −9.5	137.5	U 134
Jan 21	@FAU	L 74-79	+10.5	W +5.5	155.5	U 153
Jan 23	@CLT	L 70-73	+2.5	L −0.5	143.5	U 143
Jan 28	vsUSF	L 83-97	+8.5	L −5.5	158.5	O 180
Feb 1	@MEM	W 78-76	+8.5	W +10.5	151.5	O 154
Feb 8	vsWICH	L 61-75	+5.5	L −8.5	148.5	U 136
Feb 11	vsTEM	W 77-66	-1.5	W +9.5	144.5	U 143
Feb 15	@UAB	W 55-54	+6.5	W +7.5	152.5	U 109
Feb 19	@UNT	W 77-71	+6.5	W +12.5	137.5	O 148
Feb 22	vsRICE	W 81-75	-4.5	W +1.5	147.5	O 156
Feb 25	vsTLSA	L 56-90	+5.5	L −28.5	156.5	U 146
Mar 1	@USF	L 62-90	+15.5	L −12.5	155.5	U 152
Mar 5	@TEM	L 60-89	+4.5	L −24.5	144.5	O 149
Mar 8	vsMEM	L 95-96	+2.5	W +1.5	154.5	O 191
Mar 11	vsMEM	W 81-69	+4.5	W +16.5	151.5	U 150
Mar 12	vsCLT	L 60-74	+1.5	L −12.5	144.5	U 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SAM

W 85-72

+5.5

TXST

W 79-71

−4.5

W 66-62

−1.5

NOLA

L 63-85

−33.5

USU

L 75-96

−12.5

W 93-90

+5.5

NICH

W 82-72

+1.5

GRAM

W 65-63

−9.5

AKR

L 71-88

−10.5

UCSD

L 67-93

−20.5

W 61-53

+3.5

PRST

W 63-61

−0.5

ECU

W 79-70

+7.5

FAU

W 69-66

+6.5

UTSA

W 85-52

+25.5

UAB

L 69-82

−11.5

UNT

L 63-71

−9.5

FAU

L 74-79

+5.5

CLT

L 70-73

−0.5

USF

L 83-97

−5.5

MEM

W 78-76

+10.5

WICH

L 61-75

−8.5

TEM

W 77-66

+9.5

UAB

W 55-54

+7.5

UNT

W 77-71

+12.5

RICE

W 81-75

+1.5

TLSA

L 56-90

−28.5

USF

L 62-90

−12.5

TEM

L 60-89

−24.5

MEM

L 95-96

+1.5

MEM

W 81-69

+16.5

CLT

L 60-74

−12.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SAM

W 85-72

+2.5

TXST

W 79-71

+3.5

W 66-62

−7.5

NOLA

L 63-85

−5.5

USU

L 75-96

+19.5

W 93-90

+42.5

NICH

W 82-72

+5.5

GRAM

W 65-63

−20.5

AKR

L 71-88

−3.5

UCSD

L 67-93

+10.5

W 61-53

−26.5

PRST

W 63-61

−21.5

ECU

W 79-70

+3.5

FAU

W 69-66

−23.5

UTSA

W 85-52

−10.5

UAB

L 69-82

−2.5

UNT

L 63-71

−3.5

FAU

L 74-79

−2.5

CLT

L 70-73

−0.5

USF

L 83-97

+21.5

MEM

W 78-76

+2.5

WICH

L 61-75

−12.5

TEM

W 77-66

−1.5

UAB

W 55-54

−43.5

UNT

W 77-71

+10.5

RICE

W 81-75

+8.5

TLSA

L 56-90

−10.5

USF

L 62-90

−3.5

TEM

L 60-89

+4.5

MEM

L 95-96

+36.5

MEM

W 81-69

−1.5

CLT

L 60-74

−10.5

over 13under 19avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Tulane has the better starters

Position by position: Nicholls 0, Tulane 2, even 3

NichollsBetterTulane

G D. Cockrill TR11.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 75

Even

G K. Lewis TR18.8 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.1 ast Score 65

G C. Winborne7.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1 ast Score 29

TULNBig

G T. Nadeau TR13.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73

G S. Sharp4.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 19

TULNBig

F T. Ringgold9.6 pts · 4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 57

F A. Dent TR6 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

No call

F C. Schwieger10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 32

F J. Sileu TR0.3 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked

No call

F J. Chappelle TR6.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37

NichollsBetterTulane

NICH offense283rd of 366 · -8.7

TULNSmall

TULN defense180th of 366 · -4.1

NICH defense282nd of 366 · -7.0

TULNBig

TULN offense114th of 366 · -2.4

Backcourt-2.5 · 3 players

TULNBig

Backcourt+1.1 · 2 players

Frontcourt-0.7 · 2 players

NICHSmall

Frontcourt-2.2 · 3 players

Bench-0.3 · 4 players

Even

Bench-1.1 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestNICH betterTULN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Nicholls

Guards

D. Cockrill24 min · TRC. Winborne23 minS. Sharp17 minH. Carter4 min · TRC. Simpson3 min · TRJ. Matthews2 min

Forwards

A. Dent13 min · TRJ. Sileu7 min · TRA. Arop2 min · TRM. MboupNewJ. TaylorNew

Tulane

Guards

K. Lewis36 min · TRT. Nadeau27 min · TRK. Greene15 minJ. Moore12 minR. Moore2 minR. BlountNew

Forwards

T. Ringgold25 minC. Schwieger25 minJ. Chappelle24 min · TRJ. Dumont2 min · TRL. Cronin2 min

Centers

D. SalaneNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

NICH71.0 #266

TULN72.0 #239

Points per possession

NICH1.04 #275

TULN1.05 #245

Pace (possessions)

NICH68.3 #210

TULN68.5 #205

Shooting

Effective FG%

NICH50.6 #205

TULN49.4 #275

3-point %

NICH33.3 #215

TULN32.0 #279

3-point attempt rate

NICH43.9 #90

TULN45.0 #68

Free throw rate

NICH34.5 #195

TULN43.5 #14

Possessions

Turnover rate

NICH17.4 #232

TULN15.4 #99

Offensive rebound rate

NICH28.1 #263

TULN22.8 #352

Assists per game

NICH12.9 #219

TULN12.6 #244

Defense

Points allowed

NICH75.7 #209

TULN75.7 #208

Points allowed per possession

NICH1.11 #243

TULN1.11 #229

Opponent effective FG%

NICH54.4 #311

TULN50.7 #140

Opponent 3-point %

NICH34.6 #224

TULN34.5 #216

Turnovers forced

NICH20.5 #15

TULN17.1 #139

Defensive rebound rate

NICH66.3 #314

TULN64.2 #352

Steals per game

NICH8.7 #15

TULN7.5 #85

Blocks per game

NICH2.8 #270

TULN4.5 #38

NICH		TULN
Scoring
71.0 #266	Points per game	72.0 #239
1.04 #275	Points per possession	1.05 #245
68.3 #210	Pace (possessions)	68.5 #205
Shooting
50.6 #205	Effective FG%	49.4 #275
33.3 #215	3-point %	32.0 #279
43.9 #90	3-point attempt rate	45.0 #68
34.5 #195	Free throw rate	43.5 #14
Possessions
17.4 #232	Turnover rate	15.4 #99
28.1 #263	Offensive rebound rate	22.8 #352
12.9 #219	Assists per game	12.6 #244
Defense
75.7 #209	Points allowed	75.7 #208
1.11 #243	Points allowed per possession	1.11 #229
54.4 #311	Opponent effective FG%	50.7 #140
34.6 #224	Opponent 3-point %	34.5 #216
20.5 #15	Turnovers forced	17.1 #139
66.3 #314	Defensive rebound rate	64.2 #352
8.7 #15	Steals per game	7.5 #85
2.8 #270	Blocks per game	4.5 #38

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Nicholls

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UT Rio Grande68–86
Wvs N'Western St61–47
Lvs McNeese65–75
Wvs SE Louisiana68–60
W@ Lamar53–52

A week or more of rest.

Tulane

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Charlotte60–74
Wvs Memphis81–69
Lvs Memphis95–96
L@ Temple60–89
L@ South Florida62–90

A week or more of rest.

Nicholls Colonels at Tulane Green Wave

What could decide it: TULN has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Nicholls

Tulane

Tulane has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Nicholls

Tulane