1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. TULN @ AKR
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Tulane Green Wave at Akron Zips

James A. Rhodes Arena · at Akron
#130TULNTulane
@
#118AKRAkron
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
TULNThis seasonAKR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects AKR 81–74 · win probability AKR 72%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 155.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AKR has more of the edges

TULN 2, AKR 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
AKRBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: TULN 22.8%, AKR 33.4%. Defensive: TULN 64.2%, AKR 70.1%
AKRBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: TULN 49.4 and allows 50.7; AKR 58.1 and allows 51.2
AKRSmall
Three-pointers
TULN hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%; AKR hits 38.2% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 45.0% and 44.8% of their shots
AKRSmall
AKR offense vs TULN defense
Offense 101st of 366 against a defense 180th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: TULN plays 68.5 a game (205th fastest), AKR 71.1 (70th). Faster games mean more points
TULNSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: TULN 43.5, AKR 29.2. Allowed: TULN 38.1, AKR 30.4
TULNSmall
TULN offense vs AKR defense
Offense 114th of 366 against a defense 168th, on the model’s ratings
AKRSmall
Home court
AKR at home. This season: AKR 0-0 at home, TULN 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
TULN has played the 115th-hardest schedule, AKR the 159th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: TULN 15.4%, AKR 15.5%. Forced: TULN 17.1%, AKR 18.3%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: TULN 40%, AKR 28%. Transfers in: TULN 4, AKR 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—AKR -6.7—
Total—155.3—
Projected score—TULN 74.3 · AKR 81

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadAKR -3.8—
1H total72.6—
1H projected scoreTULN 34.4 · AKR 38.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Tulane 1, Akron 1, even 3
TulaneBetterAkron
G K. Lewis TR18.8 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.1 ast Score 65
Even
G T. Staveskie TR17.3 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.9 ast Score 74
G T. Nadeau TR13.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
Even
G T. Pence TR9.5 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 86
F T. Ringgold9.6 pts · 4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 57
Even
F E. Mahaffey9.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 3.4 ast Score 69
F C. Schwieger10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 32
TULNSmall
F M. Burton TR5.5 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 14
F J. Chappelle TR6.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
AKRSmall
F B. Hammer TR4.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
TulaneBetterAkron
TULN offense114th of 366 · -2.4
TULNSmall
AKR defense168th of 366 · -3.7
TULN defense180th of 366 · -4.1
AKRSmall
AKR offense101st of 366 · -1.1
Backcourt+1.1 · 2 players
AKRSmall
Backcourt+2.7 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.2 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.4 · 3 players
Bench-1.1 · 5 players
TULNSmall
Bench-2.6 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestTULN betterAKR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Tulane
Guards
K. Lewis36 min · TRT. Nadeau27 min · TRK. Greene15 minJ. Moore12 minR. Moore2 minR. BlountNew
Forwards
T. Ringgold25 minC. Schwieger25 minJ. Chappelle24 min · TRJ. Dumont2 min · TRL. Cronin2 min
Centers
D. SalaneNew
Akron
Guards
T. Staveskie36 min · TRT. Pence24 min · TRC. HeadNewT. PerkinsNewJ. HendersonNewE. WilsonNew
Forwards
E. Mahaffey29 minM. Burton25 min · TRB. Hammer14 min · TRZ. Halligan12 minC. White9 min · TRM. Musiime-Kamali9 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
TULNAKR
Scoring
72.0 #239Points per game86.4 #8
1.05 #245Points per possession1.22 #6
68.5 #205Pace (possessions)71.1 #70
Shooting
49.4 #275Effective FG%58.1 #9
32.0 #2793-point %38.2 #15
45.0 #683-point attempt rate44.8 #74
43.5 #14Free throw rate29.2 #327
Possessions
15.4 #99Turnover rate15.5 #104
22.8 #352Offensive rebound rate33.4 #78
12.6 #244Assists per game17.7 #12
Defense
75.7 #208Points allowed75.0 #188
1.11 #229Points allowed per possession1.06 #98
50.7 #140Opponent effective FG%51.2 #173
34.5 #216Opponent 3-point %35.5 #284
17.1 #139Turnovers forced18.3 #86
64.2 #352Defensive rebound rate70.1 #156
7.5 #85Steals per game7.2 #108
4.5 #38Blocks per game2.9 #240
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Tulane

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte60–74
  • Wvs Memphis81–69
  • Lvs Memphis95–96
  • L@ Temple60–89
  • L@ South Florida62–90

A week or more of rest.

Akron

27-6 in 2025-26 overall · 20-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas Tech71–91
  • Wvs Toledo79–76
  • Wvs Kent State75–68
  • Wvs Buffalo73–70
  • Wvs N Illinois94–55

A week or more of rest.