1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. UNCG @ COR
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

UNC Greensboro Spartans at Cornell Big Red

Newman Arena · at Cornell
#284UNCGUNC Greensboro
@
#179CORCornell
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNCGThis seasonCOR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COR 85–76 · win probability COR 78%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 160.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COR has more of the edges

UNCG 2, COR 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UNCGBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNCG 42.0, COR 30.2. Allowed: UNCG 30.6, COR 37.2
CORBig
COR offense vs UNCG defense
Offense 111th of 366 against a defense 299th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UNCG has played the 256th-hardest schedule, COR the 144th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CORSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNCG 5%, COR 53%. Transfers in: UNCG 6, COR 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
CORSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNCG 52.0 and allows 56.2; COR 58.5 and allows 55.9
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: UNCG plays 69.3 a game (157th fastest), COR 72.0 (36th). Faster games mean more points
UNCGSmall
UNCG offense vs COR defense
Offense 260th of 366 against a defense 319th, on the model’s ratings
CORSmall
Home court
COR at home. This season: COR 0-0 at home, UNCG 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
UNCG hits 35.6% and allows 38.0%; COR hits 38.3% and allows 37.5%. Threes are 40.2% and 51.6% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNCG 15.0%, COR 16.1%. Forced: UNCG 13.6%, COR 15.0%
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNCG 28.1%, COR 30.2%. Defensive: UNCG 71.0%, COR 69.4%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COR -8.9—
Total—160.4—
Projected score—UNCG 75.8 · COR 84.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOR -5.2—
1H total74.9—
1H projected scoreUNCG 34.9 · COR 40—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Cornell has the better starters

Position by position: UNC Greensboro 0, Cornell 1, even 4
UNC GreensboroBetterCornell
G B. Stacker TR11.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 47
Even
G J. Beccles7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 37
G C. Grant TR2.2 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 9
CORSmall
G A. Nimani5.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 30
F Z. Fitch TR6.1 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 31
No call
G M. Rafiq4.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
F V. Collins TR1 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. Sepp4.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 28
F A. Beljan TR2.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
F G. Panzini2.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
UNC GreensboroBetterCornell
UNCG offense260th of 366 · -8.0
UNCGSmall
COR defense319th of 366 · -8.3
UNCG defense299th of 366 · -7.7
CORBig
COR offense111th of 366 · -1.8
Backcourt-2.1 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.9 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUNCG betterCOR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UNC Greensboro
Guards
B. Stacker29 min · TRC. Grant11 min · TRC. Bailey6 minR. Greer6 min · TRB. MishakNewJ. ManiNew
Forwards
Z. Fitch23 min · TRV. Collins7 min · TRA. Beljan7 min · TRC. Bynum4 minC. LaFrentzNew
Cornell
Guards
J. Beccles24 minA. Nimani18 minM. Rafiq8 minD. Fishburn8 minR. Burbach8 minE. GriffinNew
Forwards
K. Sepp19 minG. Panzini10 minI. Imegwu5 minJ. Abalos5 minT. Iwanonkiw3 minB. LecklitnerNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNCGCOR
Scoring
76.6 #128Points per game85.8 #13
1.11 #125Points per possession1.20 #17
69.3 #157Pace (possessions)72.0 #36
Shooting
52.0 #146Effective FG%58.5 #7
35.6 #803-point %38.3 #14
40.2 #1653-point attempt rate51.6 #8
42.0 #31Free throw rate30.2 #304
Possessions
15.0 #63Turnover rate16.1 #144
28.1 #259Offensive rebound rate30.2 #193
12.1 #283Assists per game20.0 #1
Defense
81.9 #341Points allowed84.6 #358
1.18 #347Points allowed per possession1.17 #343
56.2 #347Opponent effective FG%55.9 #343
38.0 #357Opponent 3-point %37.5 #349
13.6 #343Turnovers forced15.0 #287
71.0 #104Defensive rebound rate69.4 #187
5.5 #301Steals per game5.8 #263
1.9 #350Blocks per game2.8 #267
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UNC Greensboro

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Furman75–81
  • Wvs Wofford75–72
  • Wvs VMI84–70
  • L@ Samford78–87
  • W@ Chattanooga85–80

A week or more of rest.

Cornell

13-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Yale76–88
  • W@ Dartmouth111–90
  • Wvs Brown86–80
  • Wvs Yale72–69
  • Lvs Harvard54–73

A week or more of rest.