1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 21
  3. COR @ MORG
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Cornell Big Red at Morgan State Bears

Hill Field House · at Morgan St
#179CORCornell
@
#345MORGMorgan St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CORThis seasonMORG
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COR 86–77 · win probability COR 78%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 162.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COR has more of the edges

COR 3, MORG 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CORBig
COR offense vs MORG defense
Offense 111th of 366 against a defense 360th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
COR has played the 144th-hardest schedule, MORG the 360th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CORSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: COR 58.5 and allows 55.9; MORG 45.8 and allows 51.7
MORGSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: COR 30.2, MORG 42.7. Allowed: COR 37.2, MORG 50.9
CORSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COR 30.2%, MORG 30.7%. Defensive: COR 69.4%, MORG 64.8%
MORGSmall
Home court
MORG at home. This season: MORG 0-0 at home, COR 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COR 53%, MORG 36%. Transfers in: COR 0, MORG 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
MORG offense vs COR defense
Offense 293rd of 366 against a defense 319th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: COR plays 72.0 a game (36th fastest), MORG 71.1 (73rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
COR hits 38.3% and allows 37.5%; MORG hits 31.7% and allows 31.5%. Threes are 51.6% and 35.2% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: COR 16.1%, MORG 17.8%. Forced: COR 15.0%, MORG 16.5%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COR -9.0—
Total—162.9—
Projected score—COR 85.9 · MORG 76.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOR -5.5—
1H total76.0—
1H projected scoreCOR 40.8 · MORG 35.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Cornell 1, Morgan St 1, even 3
CornellBetterMorgan St
G J. Beccles7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 37
MORGSmall
G A. Worrell16.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 70
G A. Nimani5.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 30
CORSmall
G J. Awoke TR6.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.8 ast Score 12
G M. Rafiq4.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Bumpass2.7 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
F K. Sepp4.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 28
Even
F K. Horton TR7.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
F G. Panzini2.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
No call
F T. Edwards3.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
CornellBetterMorgan St
COR offense111th of 366 · -1.8
CORBig
MORG defense360th of 366 · -11.0
COR defense319th of 366 · -8.3
Even
MORG offense293rd of 366 · -9.1
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
CORSmall
Backcourt-3.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.7 · 2 players
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
CORSmall
Bench-2.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestCOR betterMORG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Cornell
Guards
J. Beccles24 minA. Nimani18 minM. Rafiq8 minD. Fishburn8 minR. Burbach8 minE. GriffinNew
Forwards
K. Sepp19 minG. Panzini10 minI. Imegwu5 minJ. Abalos5 minT. Iwanonkiw3 minB. LecklitnerNew
Morgan St
Guards
A. Worrell30 minJ. Awoke25 min · TRD. Bumpass9 minB. Barnett2 minJ. KwartengNewK. RichardNew
Forwards
K. Horton20 min · TRT. Edwards17 minM. Wade8 minM. Lual7 minI. Traore6 min · TRT. PettigrewNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CORMORG
Scoring
85.8 #13Points per game71.7 #252
1.20 #17Points per possession1.01 #316
72.0 #36Pace (possessions)71.1 #73
Shooting
58.5 #7Effective FG%45.8 #351
38.3 #143-point %31.7 #295
51.6 #83-point attempt rate35.2 #274
30.2 #304Free throw rate42.7 #22
Possessions
16.1 #144Turnover rate17.8 #262
30.2 #193Offensive rebound rate30.7 #172
20.0 #1Assists per game12.2 #269
Defense
84.6 #358Points allowed80.1 #321
1.17 #343Points allowed per possession1.13 #288
55.9 #343Opponent effective FG%51.7 #194
37.5 #349Opponent 3-point %31.5 #43
15.0 #287Turnovers forced16.5 #186
69.4 #187Defensive rebound rate64.8 #341
5.8 #263Steals per game4.3 #359
2.8 #267Blocks per game3.3 #172
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Cornell

13-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Yale76–88
  • W@ Dartmouth111–90
  • Wvs Brown86–80
  • Wvs Yale72–69
  • Lvs Harvard54–73

A week or more of rest.

Morgan St

11-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-5 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Delaware St70–75
  • Wvs Coppin St70–66
  • Wvs Norfolk St90–84
  • Lvs Howard59–84
  • W@ SC State90–83

A week or more of rest.