1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. MAN @ MORG
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Manhattan Jaspers at Morgan State Bears

Hill Field House · at Morgan St
#330MANManhattan
@
#345MORGMorgan St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MANThis seasonMORG
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MORG 77–77 · win probability MORG 52%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MORG has more of the edges

MAN 3, MORG 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MORGBig
Three-pointers
MAN hits 32.0% and allows 36.6%; MORG hits 31.7% and allows 31.5%. Threes are 37.1% and 35.2% of their shots
MANSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: MAN 34.0, MORG 42.7. Allowed: MAN 25.7, MORG 50.9
MANSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MAN 15.6%, MORG 17.8%. Forced: MAN 16.6%, MORG 16.5%
MANSmall
MAN offense vs MORG defense
Offense 301st of 366 against a defense 360th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: MAN plays 69.0 a game (182nd fastest), MORG 71.1 (73rd). Faster games mean more points
MORGSmall
MORG offense vs MAN defense
Offense 293rd of 366 against a defense 346th, on the model’s ratings
MORGSmall
Home court
MORG at home. This season: MORG 0-0 at home, MAN 0-0 away
MORGSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MAN 10%, MORG 36%. Transfers in: MAN 5, MORG 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
MORGSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MAN 28.6%, MORG 30.7%. Defensive: MAN 63.0%, MORG 64.8%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MAN 47.9 and allows 53.9; MORG 45.8 and allows 51.7
Context
Schedule so far
MAN has played the 336th-hardest schedule, MORG the 360th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MORG -0.5—
Total—153.9—
Projected score—MAN 76.7 · MORG 77.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMORG -0.1—
1H total72.0—
1H projected scoreMAN 35.9 · MORG 36—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Manhattan 1, Morgan St 1, even 3
ManhattanBetterMorgan St
G B. Tweedy TR9 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 29
MORGBig
G A. Worrell16.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 70
G J. Sabino TR7.1 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
MANBig
G J. Awoke TR6.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.8 ast Score 12
G Q. Elliott3.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 17
No call
G D. Bumpass2.7 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
G J. Delaney0.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. Horton TR7.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
F O. Stankovic TR1.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F T. Edwards3.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
ManhattanBetterMorgan St
MAN offense301st of 366 · -9.4
MANSmall
MORG defense360th of 366 · -11.0
MAN defense346th of 366 · -9.3
Even
MORG offense293rd of 366 · -9.1
Backcourt-4.3 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-3.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
MANSmall
Frontcourt-2.7 · 2 players
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
MANSmall
Bench-2.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestMAN betterMORG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Manhattan
Guards
B. Tweedy30 min · TRJ. Sabino21 min · TRQ. Elliott12 minJ. Delaney5 minA. Miguel4 minB. PearceNew
Forwards
O. Stankovic6 min · TRK. Kearney4 min · TRL. McChesney3 min · TRI. JohnsonNewD. EricNewN. ManojlovicNew
Morgan St
Guards
A. Worrell30 minJ. Awoke25 min · TRD. Bumpass9 minB. Barnett2 minJ. KwartengNewK. RichardNew
Forwards
K. Horton20 min · TRT. Edwards17 minM. Wade8 minM. Lual7 minI. Traore6 min · TRT. PettigrewNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MANMORG
Scoring
72.4 #232Points per game71.7 #252
1.05 #247Points per possession1.01 #316
69.0 #182Pace (possessions)71.1 #73
Shooting
47.9 #315Effective FG%45.8 #351
32.0 #2803-point %31.7 #295
37.1 #2283-point attempt rate35.2 #274
34.0 #208Free throw rate42.7 #22
Possessions
15.6 #112Turnover rate17.8 #262
28.6 #247Offensive rebound rate30.7 #172
12.3 #268Assists per game12.2 #269
Defense
79.6 #309Points allowed80.1 #321
1.15 #330Points allowed per possession1.13 #288
53.9 #297Opponent effective FG%51.7 #194
36.6 #332Opponent 3-point %31.5 #43
16.6 #175Turnovers forced16.5 #186
63.0 #358Defensive rebound rate64.8 #341
7.8 #54Steals per game4.3 #359
2.3 #325Blocks per game3.3 #172
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Manhattan

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Fairfield60–71
  • Lvs Iona65–69
  • L@ Saint Peter's65–75
  • Lvs Marist70–84
  • W@ Canisius69–65

A week or more of rest.

Morgan St

11-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-5 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Delaware St70–75
  • Wvs Coppin St70–66
  • Wvs Norfolk St90–84
  • Lvs Howard59–84
  • W@ SC State90–83

A week or more of rest.