1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 8
  3. L-MD @ MAN
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 8

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Manhattan Jaspers

Draddy Gymnasium · at Manhattan
#314L-MDLoyola MD
@
#330MANManhattan
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
L-MDThis seasonMAN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MAN 77–74 · win probability MAN 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

L-MD 2, MAN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
L-MDBig
Three-pointers
L-MD hits 32.5% and allows 32.8%; MAN hits 32.0% and allows 36.6%. Threes are 47.2% and 37.1% of their shots
L-MDBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: L-MD 27.6%, MAN 28.6%. Defensive: L-MD 71.0%, MAN 63.0%
MANSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: L-MD 29.9, MAN 34.0. Allowed: L-MD 32.7, MAN 25.7
MANSmall
Home court
MAN at home. This season: MAN 0-0 at home, L-MD 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: L-MD 33%, MAN 10%. Transfers in: L-MD 5, MAN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
L-MD offense vs MAN defense
Offense 307th of 366 against a defense 346th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: L-MD 15.4%, MAN 15.6%. Forced: L-MD 15.4%, MAN 16.6%
Context
Schedule so far
L-MD has played the 299th-hardest schedule, MAN the 336th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: L-MD 50.4 and allows 54.7; MAN 47.9 and allows 53.9
Even
MAN offense vs L-MD defense
Offense 301st of 366 against a defense 313th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: L-MD plays 69.3 a game (165th fastest), MAN 69.0 (182nd). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MAN -2.7—
Total—151.3—
Projected score—L-MD 74.3 · MAN 77

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMAN -1.5—
1H total70.8—
1H projected scoreL-MD 34.6 · MAN 36.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Loyola MD 1, Manhattan 1, even 3
Loyola MDBetterManhattan
G T. Cicero5.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 53
L-MDSmall
G B. Tweedy TR9 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 29
G C. Berg-McLean3.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.4 ast Score 21
MANSmall
G J. Sabino TR7.1 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
F S. Springer4.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 4
Even
G Q. Elliott3.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 17
F S. Emenalo3.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 11
No call
G J. Delaney0.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
F D. Harrison TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F O. Stankovic TR1.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
Loyola MDBetterManhattan
L-MD offense307th of 366 · -9.5
Even
MAN defense346th of 366 · -9.3
L-MD defense313th of 366 · -8.1
Even
MAN offense301st of 366 · -9.4
Backcourt-1.4 · 2 players
L-MDSmall
Backcourt-4.3 · 4 players
Frontcourt-4.7 · 3 players
MANBig
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Bench-3.1 · 5 players
MANSmall
Bench-0.5 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestL-MD betterMAN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Loyola MD
Guards
T. Cicero14 minC. Berg-McLean14 minM. Ortega8 min · TRL. RickettsNewR. LongNewS. BiegNew
Forwards
S. Springer17 minS. Emenalo15 minD. Harrison12 min · TRE. Barnes8 minM. Hagedorn7 min · TRA. Huguet7 min · TR
Manhattan
Guards
B. Tweedy30 min · TRJ. Sabino21 min · TRQ. Elliott12 minJ. Delaney5 minA. Miguel4 minB. PearceNew
Forwards
O. Stankovic6 min · TRK. Kearney4 min · TRL. McChesney3 min · TRI. JohnsonNewD. EricNewN. ManojlovicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
L-MDMAN
Scoring
73.7 #212Points per game72.4 #232
1.06 #227Points per possession1.05 #247
69.3 #165Pace (possessions)69.0 #182
Shooting
50.4 #219Effective FG%47.9 #315
32.5 #2513-point %32.0 #280
47.2 #303-point attempt rate37.1 #228
29.9 #312Free throw rate34.0 #208
Possessions
15.4 #101Turnover rate15.6 #112
27.6 #279Offensive rebound rate28.6 #247
12.6 #246Assists per game12.3 #268
Defense
78.5 #280Points allowed79.6 #309
1.14 #304Points allowed per possession1.15 #330
54.7 #321Opponent effective FG%53.9 #297
32.8 #106Opponent 3-point %36.6 #332
15.4 #261Turnovers forced16.6 #175
71.0 #103Defensive rebound rate63.0 #358
6.1 #221Steals per game7.8 #54
3.4 #156Blocks per game2.3 #325
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Loyola MD

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Colgate77–90
  • W@ Holy Cross76–62
  • Lvs Navy51–78
  • L@ Colgate98–101
  • Lvs Army77–87

A week or more of rest.

Manhattan

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Fairfield60–71
  • Lvs Iona65–69
  • L@ Saint Peter's65–75
  • Lvs Marist70–84
  • W@ Canisius69–65

A week or more of rest.