Bucknell Bison at Cornell Big Red: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 24, 8:00 PM ETNewman Arena · at Cornell

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Bucknell and Cornell
BUCK	This season	COR
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COR 83–72 · win probability COR 84%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 155.7

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COR has more of the edges

BUCK 0, COR 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

CORBig

Three-pointers

BUCK hits 30.6% and allows 37.0%; COR hits 38.3% and allows 37.5%. Threes are 42.8% and 51.6% of their shots

CORBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: BUCK 48.5 and allows 54.7; COR 58.5 and allows 55.9

CORBig

COR offense vs BUCK defense

Offense 111th of 366 against a defense 237th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: BUCK plays 67.7 a game (242nd fastest), COR 72.0 (36th). Faster games mean more points

Context

Schedule so far

BUCK has played the 227th-hardest schedule, COR the 144th. A record against a soft schedule means less

CORSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: BUCK 27.0%, COR 30.2%. Defensive: BUCK 68.7%, COR 69.4%

CORSmall

Home court

COR at home. This season: COR 0-0 at home, BUCK 0-0 away

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: BUCK 39%, COR 53%. Transfers in: BUCK 2, COR 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: BUCK 29.8, COR 30.2. Allowed: BUCK 35.3, COR 37.2

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: BUCK 18.9%, COR 16.1%. Forced: BUCK 17.9%, COR 15.0%

Even

BUCK offense vs COR defense

Offense 317th of 366 against a defense 319th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	COR -11.2	—
Total	—	155.7	—
Projected score	—	BUCK 72.2 · COR 83.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	COR -6.5	—
1H total	72.7	—
1H projected score	BUCK 33.1 · COR 39.6	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BUCK LWLWW	14-19	42%	7-10	—
COR LWLWL	11-15	42%	2-7	—

Venue/role: BUCK away; COR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BUCK UOOUO	13-20	39%	10-23
COR UUOOO	14-12	54%	13-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BUCK	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
COR	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Bucknell

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 27	vs LAS	L57–69LU
Nov 28	@ PENN	L61–80LU
Dec 2	@ DEL	W78–70WU

Cornell

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 2	@ LIU	No recent meeting
Dec 5	@ COLG	W95–94LO
Dec 8	vs UALB	W83–75WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BUCK 0–1 CORCOR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BUCK 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 30, 2025-26	COR 101 @ BUCK 72	BUCK +5.5	COR W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Bucknell

33 games played

Straight up

10-23

30% wins

Against the spread

14-19

42% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2330%

W W L L L L L L L L L W L L W L W W L L L L W W L L L L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1942%

W W L L L L W W L W L W L L W L L W L L L W W W L L L L L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-2039%

U U U O U U U U O O U U U U U U U O O O U O O U U O O U U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsDEL	W 78-70	-2.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 7	@MSM	W 73-62	+1.5	W +12.5	143.5	U 135
Nov 11	@PRIN	L 63-73	+4.5	L −5.5	146.5	U 136
Nov 14	vsHOF	L 77-83	+4.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 160
Nov 17	@PITT	L 50-84	+16.5	L −17.5	141.5	U 134
Nov 20	@SJU	L 49-97	+28.5	L −19.5	158.5	U 146
Nov 24	vsBGSU	L 66-71	+10.5	W +5.5	144.5	U 137
Nov 26	vsBUF	L 71-73	+4.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 144
Nov 30	vsCOR	L 72-101	+5.5	L −23.5	159.5	O 173
Dec 3	@AKR	L 77-97	+23.5	W +3.5	157.5	O 174
Dec 6	vsUMBC	L 66-73	-1.5	L −8.5	143.5	U 139
Dec 9	@RID	W 51-38	-2.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 89
Dec 20	@IOWA	L 39-94	+25.5	L −29.5	133.5	U 133
Dec 31	@HC	L 58-65	-1.5	L −8.5	133.5	U 123
Jan 3	vsLEH	W 72-65	-4.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 7	@NAVY	L 55-76	+8.5	L −12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 10	vsL-MD	W 70-67	-6.5	L −3.5	143.5	U 137
Jan 14	vsLAF	W 76-69	-2.5	W +4.5	137.5	O 145
Jan 17	@COLG	L 76-95	+8.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 171
Jan 21	vsARMY	L 84-87	-4.5	L −7.5	144.5	O 171
Jan 24	@L-MD	L 62-67	+2.5	L −2.5	147.5	U 129
Jan 28	@LAF	L 79-81	+4.5	W +2.5	138.5	O 160
Jan 31	vsBU	W 103-97	+1.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 200
Feb 4	@AMER	W 60-59	+7.5	W +8.5	141.5	U 119
Feb 7	vsCOLG	L 59-78	+5.5	L −13.5	141.5	U 137
Feb 9	vsNAVY	L 60-76	+6.5	L −9.5	135.5	O 136
Feb 14	@BU	L 69-82	+5.5	L −7.5	137.5	O 151
Feb 18	vsAMER	L 57-75	+3.5	L −14.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 22	vsHC	L 63-72	-2.5	L −11.5	142.5	U 135
Feb 25	@ARMY	W 75-73	+2.5	W +4.5	142.5	O 148
Feb 28	@LEH	L 79-89	+5.5	L −4.5	138.5	O 168
Mar 3	vsARMY	W 65-55	-1.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 120
Mar 5	@NAVY	L 69-74	+15.5	W +10.5	133.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

+5.5

MSM

W 73-62

+12.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−5.5

HOF

L 77-83

−1.5

PITT

L 50-84

−17.5

SJU

L 49-97

−19.5

BGSU

L 66-71

+5.5

BUF

L 71-73

+2.5

COR

L 72-101

−23.5

AKR

L 77-97

+3.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−8.5

RID

W 51-38

+10.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−29.5

L 58-65

−8.5

LEH

W 72-65

+2.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−12.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−3.5

LAF

W 76-69

+4.5

COLG

L 76-95

−10.5

ARMY

L 84-87

−7.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−2.5

LAF

L 79-81

+2.5

W 103-97

+7.5

AMER

W 60-59

+8.5

COLG

L 59-78

−13.5

NAVY

L 60-76

−9.5

L 69-82

−7.5

AMER

L 57-75

−14.5

L 63-72

−11.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+4.5

LEH

L 79-89

−4.5

ARMY

W 65-55

+8.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+10.5

covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

−1.5

MSM

W 73-62

−8.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−10.5

HOF

L 77-83

+20.5

PITT

L 50-84

−7.5

SJU

L 49-97

−12.5

BGSU

L 66-71

−7.5

BUF

L 71-73

−2.5

COR

L 72-101

+13.5

AKR

L 77-97

+16.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−4.5

RID

W 51-38

−46.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−0.5

L 58-65

−10.5

LEH

W 72-65

−0.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−6.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−6.5

LAF

W 76-69

+7.5

COLG

L 76-95

+31.5

ARMY

L 84-87

+26.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−18.5

LAF

L 79-81

+21.5

W 103-97

+61.5

AMER

W 60-59

−22.5

COLG

L 59-78

−4.5

NAVY

L 60-76

+0.5

L 69-82

+13.5

AMER

L 57-75

−8.5

L 63-72

−7.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+5.5

LEH

L 79-89

+29.5

ARMY

W 65-55

−24.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+9.5

over 13under 20avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Cornell

26 games played

Straight up

13-13

50% wins

Against the spread

11-15

42% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-12

54% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1350%

L L W W W W L L L W L L L L W W W L W W L L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

11-1542%

L L W L L W L L L W W L L L W W W L W W L L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1254%

O U O U O O O O O U O O O U U O U U U U U U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@KENT	L 102-110	+6.5	L −1.5	164.5	O 212
Nov 9	@ILST	L 65-76	+6.5	L −4.5	164.5	U 141
Nov 13	@LAF	W 97-78	-4.5	W +14.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 18	vsARMY	W 86-73	-17.5	L −4.5	164.5	U 159
Nov 20	vsCOLG	W 95-94	-5.5	L −4.5	161.5	O 189
Nov 30	@BUCK	W 101-72	-5.5	W +23.5	159.5	O 173
Dec 2	@GMU	L 81-99	+10.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 180
Dec 3	@TOW	L 80-93	+6.5	L −6.5	154.5	O 173
Dec 7	@SAM	L 90-93	+2.5	L −0.5	166.5	O 183
Dec 21	@UALB	W 83-75	-6.5	W +1.5	167.5	U 158
Dec 29	@MSU	L 97-114	+23.5	W +6.5	160.5	O 211
Jan 5	vsCOLU	L 99-104	-3.5	L −8.5	170.5	O 203
Jan 10	vsDART	L 91-102	-9.5	L −20.5	175.5	O 193
Jan 17	@YALE	L 68-102	+9.5	L −24.5	174.5	U 170
Jan 19	@BRWN	W 89-67	-2.5	W +19.5	163.5	U 156
Jan 24	@HARV	W 86-79	+1.5	W +8.5	160.5	O 165
Jan 30	vsPRIN	W 87-64	-7.5	W +15.5	158.5	U 151
Jan 31	vsPENN	L 81-91	-7.5	L −17.5	173.5	U 172
Feb 7	@COLU	W 88-67	-1.5	W +19.5	171.5	U 155
Feb 13	@PRIN	W 89-65	-3.5	W +20.5	155.5	U 154
Feb 14	@PENN	L 76-82	-2.5	L −8.5	169.5	U 158
Feb 21	vsHARV	L 54-73	-4.5	L −23.5	155.5	U 127
Feb 27	vsYALE	W 72-69	+4.5	W +7.5	164.5	U 141
Feb 28	vsBRWN	W 86-80	-9.5	L −3.5	156.5	O 166
Mar 7	@DART	W 111-90	-4.5	W +16.5	166.5	O 201
Mar 14	vsYALE	L 76-88	+5.5	L −6.5	163.5	O 164

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

KENT

L 102-110

−1.5

ILST

L 65-76

−4.5

LAF

W 97-78

+14.5

ARMY

W 86-73

−4.5

COLG

W 95-94

−4.5

BUCK

W 101-72

+23.5

GMU

L 81-99

−7.5

TOW

L 80-93

−6.5

SAM

L 90-93

−0.5

UALB

W 83-75

+1.5

MSU

L 97-114

+6.5

COLU

L 99-104

−8.5

DART

L 91-102

−20.5

YALE

L 68-102

−24.5

BRWN

W 89-67

+19.5

HARV

W 86-79

+8.5

PRIN

W 87-64

+15.5

PENN

L 81-91

−17.5

COLU

W 88-67

+19.5

PRIN

W 89-65

+20.5

PENN

L 76-82

−8.5

HARV

L 54-73

−23.5

YALE

W 72-69

+7.5

BRWN

W 86-80

−3.5

DART

W 111-90

+16.5

YALE

L 76-88

−6.5

covered 11didn’t cover 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

KENT

L 102-110

+47.5

ILST

L 65-76

−23.5

LAF

W 97-78

+14.5

ARMY

W 86-73

−5.5

COLG

W 95-94

+27.5

BUCK

W 101-72

+13.5

GMU

L 81-99

+24.5

TOW

L 80-93

+18.5

SAM

L 90-93

+16.5

UALB

W 83-75

−9.5

MSU

L 97-114

+50.5

COLU

L 99-104

+32.5

DART

L 91-102

+17.5

YALE

L 68-102

−4.5

BRWN

W 89-67

−7.5

HARV

W 86-79

+4.5

PRIN

W 87-64

−7.5

PENN

L 81-91

−1.5

COLU

W 88-67

−16.5

PRIN

W 89-65

−1.5

PENN

L 76-82

−11.5

HARV

L 54-73

−28.5

YALE

W 72-69

−23.5

BRWN

W 86-80

+9.5

DART

W 111-90

+34.5

YALE

L 76-88

+0.5

over 14under 12avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Cornell has the better starters

Position by position: Bucknell 0, Cornell 1, even 4

BucknellBetterCornell

G J. Williams7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 23

Even

G J. Beccles7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 37

G A. Pachucki5.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 25

Even

G A. Nimani5.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 30

G K. Marshall TR3.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Not ranked

No call

G M. Rafiq4.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked

G J. Meachem1.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 2

CORSmall

F K. Sepp4.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 28

F L. Soroa Schaller TR5.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 13

Even

F G. Panzini2.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9

BucknellBetterCornell

BUCK offense317th of 366 · -10.4

Even

COR defense319th of 366 · -8.3

BUCK defense237th of 366 · -6.2

CORSmall

COR offense111th of 366 · -1.8

Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players

CORBig

Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players

Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player

Even

Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players

Bench-0.9 · 3 players

Even

Bench-1.3 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestBUCK betterCOR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Bucknell

Guards

J. Williams33 minA. Pachucki21 minK. Marshall17 min · TRJ. Meachem10 minM. Lange3 minR. LamunoNew

Forwards

L. Soroa Schaller21 min · TRP. O'Brien10 minK. Welch2 minE. Marten-ConeyNewL. BergsengNewA. RousseauNew

Centers

D. KennardNew

Cornell

Guards

J. Beccles24 minA. Nimani18 minM. Rafiq8 minD. Fishburn8 minR. Burbach8 minE. GriffinNew

Forwards

K. Sepp19 minG. Panzini10 minI. Imegwu5 minJ. Abalos5 minT. Iwanonkiw3 minB. LecklitnerNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

BUCK67.4 #327

COR85.8 #13

Points per possession

BUCK0.99 #332

COR1.20 #17

Pace (possessions)

BUCK67.7 #242

COR72.0 #36

Shooting

Effective FG%

BUCK48.5 #304

COR58.5 #7

3-point %

BUCK30.6 #328

COR38.3 #14

3-point attempt rate

BUCK42.8 #123

COR51.6 #8

Free throw rate

BUCK29.8 #314

COR30.2 #304

Possessions

Turnover rate

BUCK18.9 #319

COR16.1 #144

Offensive rebound rate

BUCK27.0 #295

COR30.2 #193

Assists per game

BUCK12.7 #235

COR20.0 #1

Defense

Points allowed

BUCK76.3 #226

COR84.6 #358

Points allowed per possession

BUCK1.13 #289

COR1.17 #343

Opponent effective FG%

BUCK54.7 #323

COR55.9 #343

Opponent 3-point %

BUCK37.0 #344

COR37.5 #349

Turnovers forced

BUCK17.9 #100

COR15.0 #287

Defensive rebound rate

BUCK68.7 #216

COR69.4 #187

Steals per game

BUCK7.2 #105

COR5.8 #263

Blocks per game

BUCK1.8 #354

COR2.8 #267

BUCK		COR
Scoring
67.4 #327	Points per game	85.8 #13
0.99 #332	Points per possession	1.20 #17
67.7 #242	Pace (possessions)	72.0 #36
Shooting
48.5 #304	Effective FG%	58.5 #7
30.6 #328	3-point %	38.3 #14
42.8 #123	3-point attempt rate	51.6 #8
29.8 #314	Free throw rate	30.2 #304
Possessions
18.9 #319	Turnover rate	16.1 #144
27.0 #295	Offensive rebound rate	30.2 #193
12.7 #235	Assists per game	20.0 #1
Defense
76.3 #226	Points allowed	84.6 #358
1.13 #289	Points allowed per possession	1.17 #343
54.7 #323	Opponent effective FG%	55.9 #343
37.0 #344	Opponent 3-point %	37.5 #349
17.9 #100	Turnovers forced	15.0 #287
68.7 #216	Defensive rebound rate	69.4 #187
7.2 #105	Steals per game	5.8 #263
1.8 #354	Blocks per game	2.8 #267

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bucknell

10-23 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Navy69–74
Wvs Army65–55
L@ Lehigh79–89
W@ Army75–73
Lvs Holy Cross63–72

A week or more of rest.

Cornell

13-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Yale76–88
W@ Dartmouth111–90
Wvs Brown86–80
Wvs Yale72–69
Lvs Harvard54–73

A week or more of rest.

Bucknell Bison at Cornell Big Red

What could decide it: COR has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Bucknell

Cornell

Cornell has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Bucknell

Cornell