1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 18
  3. COR @ SYR
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 18

Cornell Big Red at Syracuse Orange

JMA Wireless Dome · at Syracuse
#179CORCornell
@
#63SYRSyracuse
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CORThis seasonSYR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SYR 90–72 · win probability SYR 94%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 161.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SYR has more of the edges

COR 2, SYR 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SYRBig
SYR offense vs COR defense
Offense 60th of 366 against a defense 319th, on the model’s ratings
SYRBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: COR 30.2, SYR 35.1. Allowed: COR 37.2, SYR 32.6
SYRSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: COR 16.1%, SYR 15.9%. Forced: COR 15.0%, SYR 17.4%
CORSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COR 30.2%, SYR 29.2%. Defensive: COR 69.4%, SYR 66.4%
Context
Schedule so far
COR has played the 144th-hardest schedule, SYR the 67th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: COR plays 72.0 a game (36th fastest), SYR 69.1 (173rd). Faster games mean more points
CORSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COR 53%, SYR 19%. Transfers in: COR 0, SYR 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SYRSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: COR 58.5 and allows 55.9; SYR 52.6 and allows 50.3
SYRSmall
Home court
SYR at home. This season: SYR 0-0 at home, COR 0-0 away
SYRSmall
COR offense vs SYR defense
Offense 111th of 366 against a defense 67th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
COR hits 38.3% and allows 37.5%; SYR hits 32.9% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 51.6% and 37.1% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SYR -17.7—
Total—161.2—
Projected score—COR 71.8 · SYR 89.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSYR -10.4—
1H total75.3—
1H projected scoreCOR 32.4 · SYR 42.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Syracuse has the better starters

Position by position: Cornell 0, Syracuse 4, even 1
CornellBetterSyracuse
G J. Beccles7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 37
SYRBig
G G. Doty TR18 pts · 6.9 reb · 2.2 ast Score 94
G A. Nimani5.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 30
SYRBig
G A. Tobiason TR15.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 2 ast Score 82
G M. Rafiq4.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G G. Dual TR8.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.1 ast Score 66
F K. Sepp4.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 28
SYRBig
F F. Folefac TR11.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.2 ast Score 73
F G. Panzini2.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
SYRBig
C L. Wilson TR10.4 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 75
CornellBetterSyracuse
COR offense111th of 366 · -1.8
Even
SYR defense67th of 366 · +0.9
COR defense319th of 366 · -8.3
SYRBig
SYR offense60th of 366 · +2.7
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
SYRBig
Backcourt+6.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
SYRBig
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
SYRBig
Bench+2.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCOR betterSYR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Cornell
Guards
J. Beccles24 minA. Nimani18 minM. Rafiq8 minD. Fishburn8 minR. Burbach8 minE. GriffinNew
Forwards
K. Sepp19 minG. Panzini10 minI. Imegwu5 minJ. Abalos5 minT. Iwanonkiw3 minB. LecklitnerNew
Syracuse
Guards
G. Doty37 min · TRA. Tobiason36 min · TRG. Dual27 min · TRK. Anthony19 minC. Russell2 minN. Lobdell1 min
Forwards
F. Folefac28 min · TRT. Goodrick23 min · TRS. White15 minM. MoranoNew
Centers
L. Wilson29 min · TRI. MartinezNewA. SibyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CORSYR
Scoring
85.8 #13Points per game75.0 #163
1.20 #17Points per possession1.08 #174
72.0 #36Pace (possessions)69.1 #173
Shooting
58.5 #7Effective FG%52.6 #122
38.3 #143-point %32.9 #239
51.6 #83-point attempt rate37.1 #226
30.2 #304Free throw rate35.1 #171
Possessions
16.1 #144Turnover rate15.9 #134
30.2 #193Offensive rebound rate29.2 #228
20.0 #1Assists per game12.8 #225
Defense
84.6 #358Points allowed74.3 #163
1.17 #343Points allowed per possession1.07 #144
55.9 #343Opponent effective FG%50.3 #116
37.5 #349Opponent 3-point %34.1 #186
15.0 #287Turnovers forced17.4 #125
69.4 #187Defensive rebound rate66.4 #310
5.8 #263Steals per game6.2 #214
2.8 #267Blocks per game5.9 #4
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Cornell

13-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Yale76–88
  • W@ Dartmouth111–90
  • Wvs Brown86–80
  • Wvs Yale72–69
  • Lvs Harvard54–73

A week or more of rest.

Syracuse

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SMU69–86
  • Lvs Pitt69–71
  • L@ Louisville62–77
  • L@ Wake Forest83–88
  • Lvs North Carolina64–77

A week or more of rest.