KFC Yum! Center · at Louisville · Conference game
Closing line
LOU -14.5✓ LOU covered by 0.5
LOU -14.5✓ LOU covered by 0.5Closing total159.5Under by 20.5
 SYR | This season | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-14 | Record | 20-9 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 16-13 | O/U | 12-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 73–87 LOU · ✓ LOU (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 21 | 41 | 62 |
| LOU | 39 | 38 | 77 |
1st half: SYR 21, LOU 39 (LOU by 18). The model had LOU by 8.2 and a total of 74.6 (actual 60).
Team stats
| SYR | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 27-63 43% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 14-35 40% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naithan George G | 36 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Donnie Freeman F | 32 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Nate Kingz G | 31 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-7 |
| William Kyle III F | 28 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| J.J. Starling G | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kiyan Anthony G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Betsey F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Akir Souare F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Calvin Russell III, Tiefing Diawara, Luke Fennell, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely G | 34 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Ryan Conwell G | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 8-20 | 5-13 |
| J'Vonne Hadley G | 29 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7-9 | 3-3 |
| Adrian Wooley G | 26 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Vangelis Zougris F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kobe Rodgers G | 27 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Sananda Fru F | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Khani Rooths F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Aly Khalifa C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kasean Pryor F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mikel Brown Jr., Will Hanke, Mouhamed Camara, Cole Sherman, Spencer Legg, London Johnson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLOU -16.5
2 → SYR
CloseLOU -14.5
2 pts toward SYR
Total
Open158.5
▲ 1
Close159.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +800 · LOU -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LOU -16.5 · closed LOU -14.5 · moved 2 toward SYRmodel LOU -14
model LOU -14
Opened 158.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 upmodel 159.5 matches the line
model 159.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LOU -14.5 | LOU -14.0 | SYR +0.5 | L LOU covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 159.6 | Over 0.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SYR 72.8 · LOU 86.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LOU -8.2 | LOU -18.0 |
| 1H total | 74.6 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | SYR 33.2 · LOU 41.4 | SYR 21 · LOU 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| LOU | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SYR 4–1 LOUSYR leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · SYR 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | LOU 85 @ SYR 61 | SYR +8.5 | LOU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | SYR 82 @ LOU 76 | LOU +4.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | LOU 92 @ SYR 94 | SYR -8.5 | LOU W |
| Jan 3, 2022-23 | SYR 70 @ LOU 69 | LOU +8.5 | LOU W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | LOU 69 @ SYR 92 | SYR -7.5 | SYR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vs FSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @ BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vs MIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 27 | @ NCSU | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs ND | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 2 | @ UNC | L 77-87 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @ UVA | L 59-72 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vs CAL | W 107-100 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | vs SMU | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 16 | @ DUKE | L 64-101 | +20.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNC | L 64-77 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @ WAKE | L 83-88 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
−9.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+7.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+1.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
+0.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+0.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
+2.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
−16.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−15.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
−1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
+4.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+10.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+5.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
−16.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+58.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
−0.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
+20.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−13.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
+18.5
over 16under 13avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisville
29 games played
Straight up
20-9
69% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SCST | W 104-45 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 6 | vs JKST | W 106-70 | -38.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 11 | vs UK | W 96-88 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 15 | vs OHIO | W 106-81 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 21 | vs CIN | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs EMU | W 87-46 | -33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs NJIT | W 104-47 | -44.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ARK | L 80-89 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs IU | W 87-78 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs MEM | W 99-73 | -16.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | @TENN | L 62-83 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs MONT | W 94-54 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 30 | @CAL | W 90-70 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | @ STAN | L 76-80 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vsDUKE | L 73-84 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vsBC | W 75-62 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | vsUVA | L 70-79 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @PITT | W 100-59 | -7.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsVT | W 85-71 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 26 | @DUKE | L 52-83 | +8.5 | L −22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vsSMU | W 88-74 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 4 | vsND | W 76-65 | -19.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | @WAKE | W 88-80 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 9 | vsNCSU | W 118-77 | -6.5 | W +34.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 14 | vs BAY | W 82-71 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @SMU | L 85-95 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vsGT | W 87-70 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 167.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 23 | @UNC | L 74-77 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | @CLEM | L 75-80 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
−2.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+2.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
−6.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
+1.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
+7.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
+12.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
−10.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+5.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−16.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
+9.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+12.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−11.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−9.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−8.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−13.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+33.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−0.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
31
vsSMU
SMUW 88-74
+4.5
4
vsND
NDW 76-65
−8.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 88-80
−1.5
9
vsNCSU
NCSUW 118-77
+34.5
14
vsBAY
BAYW 82-71
+3.5
17
@SMU
SMUL 85-95
−14.5
21
vsGT
GTW 87-70
−6.5
23
@UNC
UNCL 74-77
−6.5
28
@CLEM
CLEML 75-80
−7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
+10.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+10.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
+12.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
−25.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
−29.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
−7.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
+2.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+2.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−11.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
−18.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+0.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−1.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−4.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−13.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−5.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+6.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−4.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
31
vsSMU
SMUW 88-74
−1.5
4
vsND
NDW 76-65
−14.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 88-80
+5.5
9
vsNCSU
NCSUW 118-77
+33.5
14
vsBAY
BAYW 82-71
−9.5
17
@SMU
SMUL 85-95
+11.5
21
vsGT
GTW 87-70
−10.5
23
@UNC
UNCL 74-77
−11.5
28
@CLEM
CLEML 75-80
+8.5
over 12under 17avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
15-14 overall · 6-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wake Forest83–88
- Lvs North Carolina64–77
- L@ Duke64–101
- Wvs SMU79–78
- Wvs California107–100
3 days since their last game.
Louisville
20-9 overall · 9-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Clemson75–80
- L@ North Carolina74–77
- Wvs Georgia Tech87–70
- L@ SMU85–95
- Wvs Baylor82–71
3 days since their last game.