Florida A&M Rattlers at UAB Blazers: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 9, 12:00 AM ETBartow Arena · at UAB

#102UABUAB

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Florida A&M and UAB
FAMU	This season	UAB
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UAB 84–66 · win probability UAB 95%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 150.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UAB has more of the edges

FAMU 1, UAB 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

UABBig

UAB offense vs FAMU defense

Offense 82nd of 366 against a defense 303rd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

FAMU has played the 323rd-hardest schedule, UAB the 129th. A record against a soft schedule means less

UABBig

FAMU offense vs UAB defense

Offense 326th of 366 against a defense 141st, on the model’s ratings

UABBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: FAMU 37.4, UAB 36.4. Allowed: FAMU 39.6, UAB 28.6

UABSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: FAMU 30.9%, UAB 32.5%. Defensive: FAMU 69.1%, UAB 72.3%

UABSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: FAMU 21.5%, UAB 12.6%. Forced: FAMU 19.1%, UAB 16.1%

FAMUSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: FAMU 43%, UAB 10%. Transfers in: FAMU 3, UAB 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

UABSmall

Home court

UAB at home. This season: UAB 0-0 at home, FAMU 0-0 away

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: FAMU 49.2 and allows 51.2; UAB 48.4 and allows 50.0

Even

Three-pointers

FAMU hits 32.6% and allows 34.9%; UAB hits 27.8% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 37.7% and 30.5% of their shots

Context

Tempo

About 71 possessions: FAMU plays 70.6 a game (92nd fastest), UAB 71.2 (61st). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	UAB -18.4	—
Total	—	150.3	—
Projected score	—	FAMU 66 · UAB 84.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	UAB -10.8	—
1H total	70.3	—
1H projected score	FAMU 29.7 · UAB 40.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAMU WWWWL	16-13	55%	9-7	—
UAB WLWLL	15-16	48%	5-11	—

Venue/role: FAMU away; UAB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAMU OUOUO	11-18	38%	13-16
UAB UUOOO	14-17	45%	19-12

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAMU	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
UAB	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Florida A&M

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 11	vs KC	No recent meeting
Nov 15	@ UTEP	L53–67LU
Nov 18	@ UTSA	No recent meeting

UAB

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ JXST	No recent meeting
Nov 17	vs FIU	W76–72LU
Nov 20	vs GW	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Florida A&M

29 games played

Straight up

13-16

45% wins

Against the spread

16-13

55% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-18

38% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1645%

L L L L L W L L L L W W W W W L L L L W L W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1355%

L L L W W W L W L W W W W W L L L L L W L W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

11-1838%

O U U U O U U U O O U O U U U U U O U O U O U U O U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@USF	L 67-102	+25.5	L −9.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 8	vsKENN	L 72-92	+11.5	L −8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 11	@UCF	L 60-97	+23.5	L −13.5	169.5	U 157
Nov 17	@UGA	L 57-87	+40.5	W +10.5	170.5	U 144
Dec 2	@JAX	L 82-85	+10.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 167
Dec 17	vsJAX	W 72-65	+3.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 137
Dec 19	@TAR	L 54-78	+14.5	L −9.5	145.5	U 132
Dec 21	@TCU	L 56-80	+29.5	W +5.5	142.5	U 136
Dec 28	@GT	L 65-89	+19.5	L −4.5	146.5	O 154
Jan 3	@BCU	L 83-87	+7.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsSOU	W 67-59	+4.5	W +12.5	153.5	U 126
Jan 12	vsGRAM	W 91-84	+1.5	W +8.5	141.5	O 175
Jan 17	@UAPB	W 71-67	+2.5	W +6.5	149.5	U 138
Jan 19	@MVSU	W 62-48	-11.5	W +2.5	139.5	U 110
Jan 24	vsALCN	W 66-58	-8.5	L −0.5	141.5	U 124
Jan 26	vsJKST	L 65-66	-7.5	L −8.5	150.5	U 131
Jan 31	@AAMU	L 65-72	+3.5	L −3.5	138.5	U 137
Feb 2	@ALST	L 66-79	+3.5	L −9.5	139.5	O 145
Feb 7	vsTXSO	L 57-62	-1.5	L −6.5	146.5	U 119
Feb 9	vsPV	W 100-96	-3.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 196
Feb 14	@JKST	L 60-80	-2.5	L −22.5	144.5	U 140
Feb 16	@ALCN	W 86-78	-2.5	W +5.5	137.5	O 164
Feb 19	vsAAMU	L 61-63	-1.5	L −3.5	139.5	U 124
Feb 21	vsALST	W 76-63	+1.5	W +14.5	144.5	U 139
Feb 26	@SOU	W 82-71	+8.5	W +19.5	147.5	O 153
Feb 28	@GRAM	W 66-59	+4.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 125
Mar 5	vsBCU	W 81-77	+2.5	W +6.5	145.5	O 158
Mar 11	vsJKST	W 70-60	-6.5	W +3.5	141.5	U 130
Mar 13	vsSOU	L 70-73	+1.5	L −1.5	141.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

USF

L 67-102

−9.5

KENN

L 72-92

−8.5

UCF

L 60-97

−13.5

UGA

L 57-87

+10.5

JAX

L 82-85

+7.5

JAX

W 72-65

+10.5

TAR

L 54-78

−9.5

TCU

L 56-80

+5.5

L 65-89

−4.5

BCU

L 83-87

+3.5

SOU

W 67-59

+12.5

GRAM

W 91-84

+8.5

UAPB

W 71-67

+6.5

MVSU

W 62-48

+2.5

ALCN

W 66-58

−0.5

JKST

L 65-66

−8.5

AAMU

L 65-72

−3.5

ALST

L 66-79

−9.5

TXSO

L 57-62

−6.5

W 100-96

+0.5

JKST

L 60-80

−22.5

ALCN

W 86-78

+5.5

AAMU

L 61-63

−3.5

ALST

W 76-63

+14.5

SOU

W 82-71

+19.5

GRAM

W 66-59

+11.5

BCU

W 81-77

+6.5

JKST

W 70-60

+3.5

SOU

L 70-73

−1.5

covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

USF

L 67-102

+15.5

KENN

L 72-92

−2.5

UCF

L 60-97

−12.5

UGA

L 57-87

−26.5

JAX

L 82-85

+28.5

JAX

W 72-65

−2.5

TAR

L 54-78

−13.5

TCU

L 56-80

−6.5

L 65-89

+7.5

BCU

L 83-87

+24.5

SOU

W 67-59

−27.5

GRAM

W 91-84

+33.5

UAPB

W 71-67

−11.5

MVSU

W 62-48

−29.5

ALCN

W 66-58

−17.5

JKST

L 65-66

−19.5

AAMU

L 65-72

−1.5

ALST

L 66-79

+5.5

TXSO

L 57-62

−27.5

W 100-96

+46.5

JKST

L 60-80

−4.5

ALCN

W 86-78

+26.5

AAMU

L 61-63

−15.5

ALST

W 76-63

−5.5

SOU

W 82-71

+5.5

GRAM

W 66-59

−15.5

BCU

W 81-77

+12.5

JKST

W 70-60

−11.5

SOU

L 70-73

+1.5

over 11under 18avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

UAB

31 games played

Straight up

19-12

61% wins

Against the spread

15-16

48% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-17

45% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

19-1261%

W L L W W W W L W L W W L W L W W L L W W L W W L W W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1648%

W L L W W W W L W L W W L W L L W L L L W L L W L W W L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-1745%

O O U U O U U U U O O U U O U O U O U O U O U U U O U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMVSU	W 106-55	-34.5	W +16.5	145.5	O 161
Nov 7	@NCSU	L 70-94	+19.5	L −4.5	162.5	O 164
Nov 11	vsALST	L 74-77	-19.5	L −22.5	164.5	U 151
Nov 14	vsHPU	W 91-74	+1.5	W +18.5	168.5	U 165
Nov 21	vsUSA	W 80-72	-7.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 152
Nov 24	vsSIU	W 81-73	-2.5	W +5.5	161.5	U 154
Nov 25	vsUTEP	W 75-59	-8.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 134
Dec 1	@MTSU	L 61-76	-1.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 137
Dec 5	@DRKE	W 74-69	+1.5	W +6.5	148.5	U 143
Dec 14	vsTROY	L 85-86	-6.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 171
Dec 17	vsCLE	W 101-77	-18.5	W +5.5	156.5	O 178
Dec 21	vsUNCA	W 72-47	-13.5	W +11.5	151.5	U 119
Dec 31	vsWICH	L 70-75	-3.5	L −8.5	149.5	U 145
Jan 4	@USF	W 109-106	+8.5	W +11.5	163.5	O 215
Jan 7	vsFAU	L 71-76	-3.5	L −8.5	162.5	U 147
Jan 11	@ECU	W 87-85	-7.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 172
Jan 14	@TULN	W 82-69	-1.5	W +11.5	153.5	U 151
Jan 18	vsTLSA	L 77-99	-1.5	L −23.5	159.5	O 176
Jan 22	vsUSF	L 69-82	+2.5	L −10.5	168.5	U 151
Jan 28	@UTSA	W 83-73	-12.5	L −2.5	155.5	O 156
Jan 31	@UNT	W 72-68	+1.5	W +5.5	141.5	U 140
Feb 5	vsMEM	L 80-90	-1.5	L −11.5	155.5	O 170
Feb 8	vsRICE	W 71-65	-8.5	L −2.5	153.5	U 136
Feb 11	@TLSA	W 68-63	+10.5	W +15.5	161.5	U 131
Feb 15	vsTULN	L 54-55	-6.5	L −7.5	152.5	U 109
Feb 18	@TEM	W 76-71	+1.5	W +6.5	143.5	O 147
Feb 22	@MEM	W 78-67	+5.5	W +16.5	152.5	U 145
Mar 1	vsUNT	L 58-62	-4.5	L −8.5	142.5	U 120
Mar 4	@CLT	W 80-74	-2.5	W +3.5	146.5	O 154
Mar 8	vsECU	W 90-83	-10.5	L −3.5	151.5	O 173
Mar 13	vsCLT	L 78-83	-5.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 161

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MVSU

W 106-55

+16.5

NCSU

L 70-94

−4.5

ALST

L 74-77

−22.5

HPU

W 91-74

+18.5

USA

W 80-72

+0.5

SIU

W 81-73

+5.5

UTEP

W 75-59

+7.5

MTSU

L 61-76

−16.5

DRKE

W 74-69

+6.5

TROY

L 85-86

−7.5

CLE

W 101-77

+5.5

UNCA

W 72-47

+11.5

WICH

L 70-75

−8.5

USF

W 109-106

+11.5

FAU

L 71-76

−8.5

ECU

W 87-85

−5.5

TULN

W 82-69

+11.5

TLSA

L 77-99

−23.5

USF

L 69-82

−10.5

UTSA

W 83-73

−2.5

UNT

W 72-68

+5.5

MEM

L 80-90

−11.5

RICE

W 71-65

−2.5

TLSA

W 68-63

+15.5

TULN

L 54-55

−7.5

TEM

W 76-71

+6.5

MEM

W 78-67

+16.5

UNT

L 58-62

−8.5

CLT

W 80-74

+3.5

ECU

W 90-83

−3.5

CLT

L 78-83

−10.5

covered 15didn’t cover 16avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MVSU

W 106-55

+15.5

NCSU

L 70-94

+1.5

ALST

L 74-77

−13.5

HPU

W 91-74

−3.5

USA

W 80-72

+2.5

SIU

W 81-73

−7.5

UTEP

W 75-59

−12.5

MTSU

L 61-76

−16.5

DRKE

W 74-69

−5.5

TROY

L 85-86

+15.5

CLE

W 101-77

+21.5

UNCA

W 72-47

−32.5

WICH

L 70-75

−4.5

USF

W 109-106

+51.5

FAU

L 71-76

−15.5

ECU

W 87-85

+21.5

TULN

W 82-69

−2.5

TLSA

L 77-99

+16.5

USF

L 69-82

−17.5

UTSA

W 83-73

+0.5

UNT

W 72-68

−1.5

MEM

L 80-90

+14.5

RICE

W 71-65

−17.5

TLSA

W 68-63

−30.5

TULN

L 54-55

−43.5

TEM

W 76-71

+3.5

MEM

W 78-67

−7.5

UNT

L 58-62

−22.5

CLT

W 80-74

+7.5

ECU

W 90-83

+21.5

CLT

L 78-83

+13.5

over 14under 17avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

UAB has the better starters

Position by position: Florida A&M 0, UAB 4, even 1

Florida A&MBetterUAB

G J. Kempson TR10.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 33

UABSmall

G J. Fernandez TR16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 56

G J. Sanders12 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 42

UABSmall

G J. Elyzee TR11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 61

G A. Baker9.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35

UABBig

G D. Jones TR16.4 pts · 4 reb · 3.4 ast Score 91

G R. Martino6.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 44

UABSmall

G E. Duval TR15.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast Score 74

F D. Williford TR2.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

No call

G T. Caldwell TR9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 56

Florida A&MBetterUAB

FAMU offense326th of 366 · -10.6

UABBig

UAB defense141st of 366 · -3.1

FAMU defense303rd of 366 · -7.8

UABBig

UAB offense82nd of 366 · +0.4

Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players

UABBig

Backcourt+2.8 · 5 players

Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

Bench-0.2 · 2 players

FAMUSmall

Bench-1.4 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestFAMU betterUAB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Florida A&M

Guards

J. Kempson32 min · TRJ. Sanders32 minA. Baker27 minR. Martino22 minC. DavisNewA. WilliamsNew

Forwards

D. Williford6 min · TRT. Onuoha5 minM. StijovicNewJ. LomickaNewB. NdourNew

Centers

A. Mbaye1 min · TRJ. MokwezaNew

UAB

Guards

J. Fernandez37 min · TRJ. Elyzee30 min · TRD. Jones29 min · TRE. Duval27 min · TRT. Caldwell20 min · TRS. London20 min

Forwards

A. Alston8 min · TRA. Sandlin-ElNew

Centers

M. MboleNewK. DavisNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

FAMU70.0 #285

UAB78.2 #92

Points per possession

FAMU0.99 #334

UAB1.10 #141

Pace (possessions)

FAMU70.6 #92

UAB71.2 #61

Shooting

Effective FG%

FAMU49.2 #283

UAB48.4 #305

3-point %

FAMU32.6 #249

UAB27.8 #364

3-point attempt rate

FAMU37.7 #219

UAB30.5 #350

Free throw rate

FAMU37.4 #116

UAB36.4 #141

Possessions

Turnover rate

FAMU21.5 #359

UAB12.6 #2

Offensive rebound rate

FAMU30.9 #168

UAB32.5 #104

Assists per game

FAMU12.7 #236

UAB14.2 #135

Defense

Points allowed

FAMU75.1 #192

UAB74.3 #168

Points allowed per possession

FAMU1.06 #114

UAB1.04 #79

Opponent effective FG%

FAMU51.2 #171

UAB50.0 #98

Opponent 3-point %

FAMU34.9 #243

UAB32.6 #95

Turnovers forced

FAMU19.1 #43

UAB16.1 #217

Defensive rebound rate

FAMU69.1 #198

UAB72.3 #53

Steals per game

FAMU8.1 #35

UAB7.5 #74

Blocks per game

FAMU3.0 #220

UAB3.5 #139

FAMU		UAB
Scoring
70.0 #285	Points per game	78.2 #92
0.99 #334	Points per possession	1.10 #141
70.6 #92	Pace (possessions)	71.2 #61
Shooting
49.2 #283	Effective FG%	48.4 #305
32.6 #249	3-point %	27.8 #364
37.7 #219	3-point attempt rate	30.5 #350
37.4 #116	Free throw rate	36.4 #141
Possessions
21.5 #359	Turnover rate	12.6 #2
30.9 #168	Offensive rebound rate	32.5 #104
12.7 #236	Assists per game	14.2 #135
Defense
75.1 #192	Points allowed	74.3 #168
1.06 #114	Points allowed per possession	1.04 #79
51.2 #171	Opponent effective FG%	50.0 #98
34.9 #243	Opponent 3-point %	32.6 #95
19.1 #43	Turnovers forced	16.1 #217
69.1 #198	Defensive rebound rate	72.3 #53
8.1 #35	Steals per game	7.5 #74
3.0 #220	Blocks per game	3.5 #139

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Florida A&M

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Southern70–73
Wvs Jackson St70–60
Wvs Bethune81–77
W@ Grambling66–59
W@ Southern82–71

A week or more of rest.

UAB

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Charlotte78–83
Wvs East Carolina90–83
W@ Charlotte80–74
Lvs North Texas58–62
W@ Memphis78–67

A week or more of rest.

Florida A&M Rattlers at UAB Blazers

What could decide it: UAB has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Florida A&M

UAB

UAB has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Florida A&M

UAB