1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 9
  3. UNA @ OU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 9

North Alabama Lions at Oklahoma Sooners

Lloyd Noble Center · at Oklahoma
#292UNANorth Alabama
@
#31OUOklahoma
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNAThis seasonOU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OU 91–60 · win probability OU 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OU has more of the edges

UNA 1, OU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
UNA has played the 294th-hardest schedule, OU the 32nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
OUBig
UNA offense vs OU defense
Offense 308th of 366 against a defense 51st, on the model’s ratings
OUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNA 48.0 and allows 55.2; OU 54.9 and allows 51.0
OUBig
OU offense vs UNA defense
Offense 28th of 366 against a defense 251st, on the model’s ratings
OUBig
Three-pointers
UNA hits 30.7% and allows 35.7%; OU hits 36.5% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 33.6% and 43.6% of their shots
OUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNA 17.5%, OU 14.3%. Forced: UNA 14.6%, OU 15.5%
UNASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNA 37.6, OU 35.5. Allowed: UNA 30.3, OU 34.9
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UNA plays 66.2 a game (304th fastest), OU 69.4 (154th). Faster games mean more points
OUSmall
Home court
OU at home. This season: OU 0-0 at home, UNA 0-0 away
OUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNA 16%, OU 43%. Transfers in: UNA 5, OU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNA 31.2%, OU 32.8%. Defensive: UNA 67.8%, OU 67.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—OU -30.1—
Total—150.9—
Projected score—UNA 60.4 · OU 90.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadOU -17.8—
1H total70.5—
1H projected scoreUNA 26.4 · OU 44.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Oklahoma has the better starters

Position by position: North Alabama 0, Oklahoma 4, even 1
North AlabamaBetterOklahoma
G M. Evbagharu TR9.2 pts · 7 reb · 3.1 ast Score 43
OUBig
G B. Edwards TR12.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 4.9 ast Score 93
G B. Patton6 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.5 ast Score 17
OUBig
G X. Brown15.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 92
G J. Clark TR6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Hendricks TR11.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.9 ast Score 60
F D. Yates TR6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 59
OUBig
F D. Brennan TR12.4 pts · 10.3 reb · 2 ast Score 95
F J. Whitted TR2.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 9
OUBig
F D. Reid11.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 84
North AlabamaBetterOklahoma
UNA offense308th of 366 · -9.6
OUBig
OU defense51st of 366 · +1.9
UNA defense251st of 366 · -6.6
OUBig
OU offense28th of 366 · +6.6
Backcourt-3.3 · 3 players
OUBig
Backcourt+6.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
OUBig
Frontcourt+6.9 · 2 players
Bench-3.8 · 2 players
OUBig
Bench+2.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUNA betterOU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
North Alabama
Guards
M. Evbagharu34 min · TRB. Patton18 minJ. Clark15 min · TRQ. Lax15 min · TRC. Graham-Howard14 minC. HarrisNew
Forwards
D. Yates17 min · TRJ. Whitted15 min · TRD. CarterNewA. OsmanNewJ. GulleyNew
Centers
M. ChaffeeNew
Oklahoma
Guards
B. Edwards33 min · TRX. Brown32 minT. Hendricks31 min · TRP. Isaacs22 min · TRD. Forsythe17 minB. MoserNew
Forwards
D. Brennan31 min · TRD. Reid28 minK. Rooths16 min · TRK. Rogers8 minF. KeeffeNewG. MayfieldNew
Centers
Y. Yaak15 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNAOU
Scoring
67.9 #317Points per game82.9 #29
1.02 #300Points per possession1.19 #23
66.2 #304Pace (possessions)69.4 #154
Shooting
48.0 #312Effective FG%54.9 #40
30.7 #3273-point %36.5 #41
33.6 #3063-point attempt rate43.6 #97
37.6 #111Free throw rate35.5 #161
Possessions
17.5 #238Turnover rate14.3 #33
31.2 #160Offensive rebound rate32.8 #92
9.7 #363Assists per game14.5 #116
Defense
78.0 #267Points allowed77.4 #248
1.18 #350Points allowed per possession1.12 #271
55.2 #337Opponent effective FG%51.0 #162
35.7 #292Opponent 3-point %34.1 #189
14.6 #319Turnovers forced15.5 #247
67.8 #268Defensive rebound rate67.1 #296
6.3 #202Steals per game6.3 #193
3.7 #112Blocks per game3.9 #89
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

North Alabama

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs FGCU58–69
  • L@ West Georgia63–75
  • Wvs Bellarmine73–68
  • L@ Lipscomb51–73
  • Lvs Queens University Royals78–85

A week or more of rest.

Oklahoma

21-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs West Virginia82–89
  • Wvs Baylor82–69
  • Wvs Colorado90–86
  • Lvs Arkansas79–82
  • Wvs Texas A&M83–63

A week or more of rest.