1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. UNA @ MIA
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

North Alabama Lions at Miami Hurricanes

Watsco Center · at Miami
#292UNANorth Alabama
@
#25MIAMiami AP #14
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNAThis seasonMIA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MIA 90–57 · win probability MIA 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MIA has more of the edges

UNA 0, MIA 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MIABig
UNA offense vs MIA defense
Offense 308th of 366 against a defense 26th, on the model’s ratings
MIABig
MIA offense vs UNA defense
Offense 30th of 366 against a defense 251st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UNA has played the 294th-hardest schedule, MIA the 75th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MIABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNA 48.0 and allows 55.2; MIA 55.3 and allows 51.8
MIABig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNA 31.2%, MIA 37.2%. Defensive: UNA 67.8%, MIA 74.1%
MIABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNA 17.5%, MIA 16.1%. Forced: UNA 14.6%, MIA 18.3%
MIASmall
Three-pointers
UNA hits 30.7% and allows 35.7%; MIA hits 34.9% and allows 35.8%. Threes are 33.6% and 31.9% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UNA plays 66.2 a game (304th fastest), MIA 69.2 (170th). Faster games mean more points
MIASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNA 16%, MIA 52%. Transfers in: UNA 5, MIA 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
MIASmall
Home court
MIA at home. This season: MIA 0-0 at home, UNA 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNA 37.6, MIA 37.1. Allowed: UNA 30.3, MIA 29.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MIA -33.0—
Total—147.4—
Projected score—UNA 57.2 · MIA 90.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMIA -19.5—
1H total69.0—
1H projected scoreUNA 24.7 · MIA 44.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Miami has the better starters

Position by position: North Alabama 0, Miami 4, even 1
North AlabamaBetterMiami
G M. Evbagharu TR9.2 pts · 7 reb · 3.1 ast Score 43
MIASmall
G B. Bland TR13.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 74
G B. Patton6 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.5 ast Score 17
MIABig
G A. Lewis TR12.2 pts · 3 reb · 5.3 ast Score 92
G J. Clark TR6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Goode TR15.7 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 94
F D. Yates TR6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 59
MIASmall
F S. Henderson13.8 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 81
F J. Whitted TR2.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 9
MIABig
F M. Reneau18.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 98
North AlabamaBetterMiami
UNA offense308th of 366 · -9.6
MIABig
MIA defense26th of 366 · +4.3
UNA defense251st of 366 · -6.6
MIABig
MIA offense30th of 366 · +6.0
Backcourt-3.3 · 3 players
MIABig
Backcourt+4.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
MIABig
Frontcourt+12.3 · 3 players
Bench-3.8 · 2 players
MIABig
Bench+3.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUNA betterMIA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
North Alabama
Guards
M. Evbagharu34 min · TRB. Patton18 minJ. Clark15 min · TRQ. Lax15 min · TRC. Graham-Howard14 minC. HarrisNew
Forwards
D. Yates17 min · TRJ. Whitted15 min · TRD. CarterNewA. OsmanNewJ. GulleyNew
Centers
M. ChaffeeNew
Miami
Guards
B. Bland34 min · TRA. Lewis31 min · TRD. Allen24 minN. Dorn23 min · TRL. Cason19 min · TRQ. Berger17 min · TR
Forwards
D. Goode31 min · TRS. Henderson31 minM. Reneau29 minR. Miller19 min · TRM. Allen19 minC. GaskinsNew
Centers
S. Cyril21 min · TRE. RyzhovNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNAMIA
Scoring
67.9 #317Points per game81.5 #39
1.02 #300Points per possession1.18 #38
66.2 #304Pace (possessions)69.2 #170
Shooting
48.0 #312Effective FG%55.3 #32
30.7 #3273-point %34.9 #127
33.6 #3063-point attempt rate31.9 #331
37.6 #111Free throw rate37.1 #125
Possessions
17.5 #238Turnover rate16.1 #147
31.2 #160Offensive rebound rate37.2 #14
9.7 #363Assists per game16.2 #42
Defense
78.0 #267Points allowed71.2 #79
1.18 #350Points allowed per possession1.03 #60
55.2 #337Opponent effective FG%51.8 #198
35.7 #292Opponent 3-point %35.8 #296
14.6 #319Turnovers forced18.3 #87
67.8 #268Defensive rebound rate74.1 #19
6.3 #202Steals per game7.9 #48
3.7 #112Blocks per game3.3 #174
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

North Alabama

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs FGCU58–69
  • L@ West Georgia63–75
  • Wvs Bellarmine73–68
  • L@ Lipscomb51–73
  • Lvs Queens University Royals78–85

A week or more of rest.

Miami

26-9 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Purdue69–79
  • Wvs Missouri80–66
  • Lvs Virginia62–84
  • Wvs Louisville78–73
  • Lvs Louisville89–92

A week or more of rest.