Lloyd Noble Center · at Oklahoma · Conference game
Closing line
MIZ -1.5✓ OU covered by 17.5
MIZ -1.5✓ OU covered by 17.5Closing total153.5Under by 9.5
| MIZ | This season | OU |
|---|---|---|
| 20-9 | Record | 15-14 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 11-18 |
| 13-16 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 78–78 OU · ✓ OU (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 26 | 38 | 64 |
| OU | 35 | 45 | 80 |
1st half: MIZ 26, OU 35 (OU by 9). The model had OU by 0.3 and a total of 73.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MIZ | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-51 47% | Field goals | 28-45 62% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 12-22 55% |
| 8-16 50% | Free throws | 12-20 60% |
| 26 10 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 36 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 6-6 | 1-1 |
| Trent Pierce G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Jayden Stone G | 26 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-14 | 1-7 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 26 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Robinson II G | 26 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Trent Burns C | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Crews G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Luke Northweather, Nicholas Randall, Aaron Rowe, Sebastian Mack, Annor Boateng, Jevon Porter
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Tae Davis F | 29 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Derrion Reid F | 27 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 27 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Nijel Pack G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jadon Jones G | 25 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5-5 | 3-3 |
| Dayton Forsythe G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
Did not play: Reid Lovelace, Alec Blair, Kai Rogers, Kuol Atak, Andreas Holst, Jeff Nwankwo, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOU -2.5
4 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -1.5
4 pts toward MIZ
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MIZ -115 · OU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OU -2.5 · closed MIZ -1.5 · moved 4 toward MIZmodel OU -0.5
model OU -0.5
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIZ -1.5 | OU -0.7 | OU +2.1 | W OU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 156.1 | Over 2.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MIZ 77.7 · OU 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OU -0.3 | OU -9.0 |
| 1H total | 73.0 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | MIZ 36.4 · OU 36.6 | MIZ 26 · OU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| OU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MIZ 2–1 OUMIZ leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MIZ 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | OU 87 @ MIZ 88 | MIZ -4.5 | OU W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | MIZ 84 @ OU 96 | OU +4.5 | OU W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | OU 58 @ MIZ 82 | MIZ -9.5 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
29 games played
Straight up
20-9
69% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs AUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs UGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vsOU | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ ALA | L 64-90 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 31 | vs MSST | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ SC | W 78-59 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | @ TA&M | W 86-85 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vs TEX | L 68-85 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 18 | vs VAN | W 81-80 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | @ ARK | L 86-94 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 24 | vs TENN | W 73-69 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | @MSST | W 88-64 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
−3.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−15.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
−1.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
+15.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+8.5
14
vsTEX
TEXL 68-85
−19.5
18
vsVAN
VANW 81-80
+4.5
21
@ARK
ARKL 86-94
+1.5
24
vsTENN
TENNW 73-69
+7.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 88-64
+22.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
+23.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−13.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
+16.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
−10.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+10.5
14
vsTEX
TEXL 68-85
+2.5
18
vsVAN
VANW 81-80
+6.5
21
@ARK
ARKL 86-94
+20.5
24
vsTENN
TENNW 73-69
−1.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 88-64
−2.5
over 13under 16avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oklahoma
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
11-18
38% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vsMISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vsFLA | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vsALA | L 81-83 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 20 | @SC | L 76-85 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @MIZ | L 87-88 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | vsARK | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vsTEX | L 69-79 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 4 | @UK | L 78-94 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @VAN | W 92-91 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 14 | vsUGA | W 94-78 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 18 | @TENN | L 66-89 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | vsTA&M | L 71-75 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 24 | vsAUB | W 91-79 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | @LSU | W 83-67 | +1.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
−9.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
+3.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
−11.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+3.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−0.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−8.5
4
@UK
UKL 78-94
−7.5
7
@VAN
VANW 92-91
+12.5
14
vsUGA
UGAW 94-78
+14.5
18
@TENN
TENNL 66-89
−11.5
21
vsTA&M
TA&ML 71-75
−2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBW 91-79
+15.5
28
@LSU
LSUW 83-67
+17.5
covered 11didn’t cover 18avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
+17.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
−13.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
+10.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+23.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−5.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−7.5
4
@UK
UKL 78-94
+19.5
7
@VAN
VANW 92-91
+23.5
14
vsUGA
UGAW 94-78
+7.5
18
@TENN
TENNL 66-89
+5.5
21
vsTA&M
TA&ML 71-75
−19.5
24
vsAUB
AUBW 91-79
+12.5
28
@LSU
LSUW 83-67
−5.5
over 14under 15avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
20-9 overall · 10-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Mississippi St88–64
- Wvs Tennessee73–69
- L@ Arkansas86–94
- Wvs Vanderbilt81–80
- Lvs Texas68–85
3 days since their last game.
Oklahoma
15-14 overall · 5-11 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ LSU83–67
- Wvs Auburn91–79
- Lvs Texas A&M71–75
- L@ Tennessee66–89
- Wvs Georgia94–78
3 days since their last game.